Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS Prediction

Maranhão
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Ypiranga-RS

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel28%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
Maranhão Rest
7 days
Ypiranga-RS Rest
7 days

Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS: the result in context

Maranhão beat Ypiranga-RS 2-1 in the Serie C on 12 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Ypiranga-RS had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Maranhão.

Referee E. R. de Almeida Andrade averages 7.00 cards a game, 1.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.25
X
29%3.00
2
36%3.08
Double Chance
1X
64%1.30
X2
65%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.95
No
56%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.40
Over 2.5
38%2.27
Over 3.5
18%4.24
Under 1.5
36%2.67
Under 2.5
62%1.57
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'Keven
45'Andre Radija(Penalty)
46'Leo Rafael INWalce out
46'Renan Gorne INAlex Goncalves out
50'Ramon Vinicius
64'Dionisio INLucas Ramos out
64'Mago INVini Charopem out
66'Erverson INFelipe Cruz out
69'Jorge Rocha INC. Peu out
71'Nicolas INDudu out
77'Vini Charopem(Penalty)
81'Gabriel Werner
83'Andre Radija(Penalty)
86'Cleiton
87'Will INEdson Fernando out
87'Pimentinha INRicharles out
90+6'Leo Gobo

Lineups

Maranhão
Coach: Marcinho Guerreiro
Ypiranga-RS
Coach: Teo Chrysosthemos

Maranhão Starting XI

1Jean
8Vander
9Erverson66'replaced by Felipe Cruz
10Jorge Rocha69'replaced by C. Peu
11Pimentinha87'replaced by Richarles
14Tiburcio
15Rosivan
16Andre Radija45'83'
17Will87'replaced by Edson Fernando
18Keven13'
20Vagalume

Ypiranga-RS Starting XI

29Gabriel Werner81'
2Cleiton86'
21Leo Gobo90+6'
3Willian Gomes
6Nicolas71'replaced by Dudu
43Ramon Vinicius50'
27Dionisio64'replaced by Lucas Ramos
79Leo Rafael46'replaced by Walce
80Marcelinho
15Mago64'replaced by Vini Charopem
9Renan Gorne46'replaced by Alex Goncalves

Maranhão Substitutes

12Vitao
3Edson Fernando87'for Will
5Railson
6Lucas Santos
Kessinho
13Caio Victor
19Rafael Teixeira
Richarles87'for Pimentinha
Ronald Makalysten
26Luis Gustavo
29Felipe Cruz66'for Erverson
C. Peu69'for Jorge Rocha

Ypiranga-RS Substitutes

85Lucas Maticoli
22Walce46'for Leo Rafael
20Dudu71'for Nicolas
17Ranisson
16Lucas Ramos64'for Dionisio
5Rian
7Felipe Ferreira
11Vini Charopem64'for Mago77'
33Alex Goncalves46'for Renan Gorne

Team Comparison

MaranhãoMaranhão
Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS
1567Elo Rating 1516
1.71Attack 1.96
2.07Defense 1.91
59%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

MaranhãoMaranhão
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

MaranhãoMaranhão
3W4D3L
04/07/2026
MaranhãoInter De Limeira
01
L
29/06/2026
ItuanoMaranhão
00
D
21/06/2026
MaranhãoPaysandu
01
L
16/06/2026
MaringáMaranhão
00
D
31/05/2026
AnápolisMaranhão
00
D
24/05/2026
MaranhãoCaxias
00
D
19/05/2026
ConfiançaMaranhão
21
L
09/05/2026
MaranhãoBotafogo PB
31
W
05/05/2026
FlorestaMaranhão
12
W
26/04/2026
MaranhãoVolta Redonda
21
W
Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS
3W2D5L
05/07/2026
Ypiranga-RSPaysandu
10
W
29/06/2026
Ypiranga-RSConfiança
11
D
21/06/2026
Santa CruzYpiranga-RS
01
W
16/06/2026
Ypiranga-RSBotafogo PB
11
D
31/05/2026
Inter De LimeiraYpiranga-RS
21
L
25/05/2026
Volta RedondaYpiranga-RS
21
L
16/05/2026
Ypiranga-RSMaringá
14
L
11/05/2026
BrusqueYpiranga-RS
30
L
05/05/2026
Ypiranga-RSItuano
20
W
28/04/2026
CaxiasYpiranga-RS
21
L

Referee Profile

E. R. de Almeida Andrade92 matches

7.00Cards per match
6.42Yellow cards per match
0.58Red cards per match
31.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

E. R. de Almeida Andrade7.00
Other referees5.39

7.00 cards a match, 1.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.39).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB19103628:19+933LLLLW
2BrusqueBrusque1995528:22+632WDWWD
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1986522:15+730DWDDL
4MaringáMaringá1986532:30+230LWLLW
5FlorestaFloresta1986522:20+230DLWDD
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1986522:20+230LWDDW
7PaysanduPaysandu1992826:27-129WWWDD
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1985620:15+529WLLLD
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1985627:24+329DWDWW
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1977534:24+1028DLDLW
11FigueirenseFigueirense1977519:22-328WDWDW
12MaranhãoMaranhão1976619:18+127LWWWD
13AmazonasAmazonas1975721:23-226DDDWW
14CaxiasCaxias1967617:16+125DLLWL
15ItuanoItuano1964918:21-322LLLWL
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda19631013:25-1221LLWLL
17BarraBarra1956821:21021WLWLL
18AnápolisAnápolis19541017:22-519DWLWW
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana19451014:27-1317LLLLD
20ConfiançaConfiança19341211:20-913LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB1928:1933
2BrusqueBrusque1928:2232
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1922:1530
4MaringáMaringá1932:3030
5FlorestaFloresta1922:2030
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1922:2030
7PaysanduPaysandu1926:2729
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1920:1529
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1927:2429
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1934:2428
11FigueirenseFigueirense1919:2228
12MaranhãoMaranhão1919:1827
13AmazonasAmazonas1921:2326
14CaxiasCaxias1917:1625
15ItuanoItuano1918:2122
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda1913:2521
17BarraBarra1921:2121
18AnápolisAnápolis1917:2219
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana1914:2717
20ConfiançaConfiança1911:2013
Relegation

About the Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maranhão and Ypiranga-RS in the Serie C table

In the Serie C table, Ypiranga-RS are 9th and Maranhão 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Maranhão 19-18, Ypiranga-RS 27-24. The full standings are on the Serie C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Maranhão and Ypiranga-RS have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.