Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa Prediction

Marcílio Dias
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Portuguesa
04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel27%SurpriseHighGap+6.9%
Marcílio Dias Rest
6 days
Portuguesa Rest
7 days

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa: result, form and history

Marcílio Dias and Portuguesa drew 1-1 in the Serie D on 4 Jul 2026. Portuguesa had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Marcílio Dias.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.10
X
33%2.55
2
34%2.57
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.44
No
55%1.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.01 + 1.07 = 2.08
Over 1.5
60%1.71
Over 2.5
31%3.19
Over 3.5
14%6.90
Under 1.5
40%1.99
Under 2.5
69%1.29
Under 3.5
86%1.06
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Igor Torres
15'Davi Torres

Team Comparison

Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias
PortuguesaPortuguesa
1570Elo Rating 1608
1.54Attack 0.97
1.65Defense 2.38
17%Hit Rate 61%

Game State Tendencies

Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PortuguesaPortuguesa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias
5W3D2L
28/06/2026
Marcílio DiasCascavel
21
W
21/06/2026
CascavelMarcílio Dias
22
D
07/06/2026
Independiente FSJMarcílio Dias
00
D
02/06/2026
Marcílio DiasAzuriz
01
L
24/05/2026
Sao JoseMarcílio Dias
11
D
16/05/2026
BlumenauMarcílio Dias
01
W
09/05/2026
Marcílio DiasBrasil DE Pelotas
41
W
02/05/2026
Brasil DE PelotasMarcílio Dias
01
W
25/04/2026
Marcílio DiasBlumenau
01
L
19/04/2026
Marcílio DiasSao Jose
21
W
PortuguesaPortuguesa
6W3D1L
27/06/2026
PortuguesaSampaio Corrêa RJ
10
W
20/06/2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJPortuguesa
11
D
06/06/2026
PortuguesaPortuguesa RJ
20
W
30/05/2026
Pouso AlegrePortuguesa
12
W
23/05/2026
PortuguesaAmérica RJ
41
W
16/05/2026
PortuguesaÁgua Santa
00
D
09/05/2026
MadureiraPortuguesa
10
L
03/05/2026
PortuguesaMadureira
21
W
25/04/2026
Água SantaPortuguesa
01
W
18/04/2026
América RJPortuguesa
11
D

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 5

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PortuguesaPortuguesa1063116:6+1021WWWDL
2Água SantaÁgua Santa1052316:8+817LWWDD
3Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ1035214:9+514LDDWD
4América RJAmérica RJ1033411:21-1012WDLWL
5MadureiraMadureira1032511:16-511WLDLW
6Pouso AlegrePouso Alegre102176:14-87LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PortuguesaPortuguesa1016:621
2Água SantaÁgua Santa1016:817
3Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ1014:914
4América RJAmérica RJ1011:2112
5MadureiraMadureira1011:1611
6Pouso AlegrePouso Alegre106:147

Group 8

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau1061314:8+619LWWLD
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias104429:5+416DLDWW
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103433:4-113DLDLD
4Sao JoseSao Jose103436:8-213WWDDW
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas102449:12-310DLDDL
6AzurizAzuriz102357:11-49DWLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau1014:819
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias109:516
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103:413
4Sao JoseSao Jose106:813
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas109:1210
6AzurizAzuriz107:119
Promotion

About the Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Marcílio Dias and Portuguesa have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.