Serra Branca vs Uberlandia Prediction

Serra Branca
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Uberlandia
04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap0.0%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+7.3%
Serra Branca Rest
6 days
Uberlandia Rest
6 days

Serra Branca vs Uberlandia: the result in context

Uberlandia beat Serra Branca 1-0 in the Serie D on 4 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Serra Branca had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Uberlandia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.25
X
32%2.80
2
21%3.20
Double Chance
1X
78%1.27
X2
53%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.05
No
62%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 0.76 = 2.03
Over 1.5
55%1.48
Over 2.5
30%2.49
Over 3.5
14%4.65
Under 1.5
45%2.35
Under 2.5
70%1.44
Under 3.5
86%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Tomas Bastos

Team Comparison

Serra BrancaSerra Branca
UberlandiaUberlandia
1556Elo Rating 1618
1.21Attack 1.37
2.09Defense 2.54
36%Hit Rate 54%

Game State Tendencies

Serra BrancaSerra Branca
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
UberlandiaUberlandia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

Serra BrancaSerra Branca
5W4D1L
28/06/2026
JuazeirenseSerra Branca
01
W
21/06/2026
Serra BrancaJuazeirense
20
W
14/06/2026
SergipeSerra Branca
11
D
31/05/2026
Serra BrancaRetrô
00
D
24/05/2026
DecisãoSerra Branca
01
W
16/05/2026
Serra BrancaTreze
12
L
09/05/2026
Serra BrancaLagarto
00
D
02/05/2026
LagartoSerra Branca
12
W
25/04/2026
TrezeSerra Branca
11
D
18/04/2026
Serra BrancaDecisão
30
W
UberlandiaUberlandia
5W4D1L
27/06/2026
UberlandiaRio Branco ES
22
D
21/06/2026
Rio Branco ESUberlandia
02
W
14/06/2026
UberlandiaABECAT Ouvidorense
01
L
31/05/2026
IvinhemaUberlandia
11
D
24/05/2026
CRACUberlandia
00
D
19/05/2026
UberlandiaIpatinga
11
D
09/05/2026
Operario FerroviarioUberlandia
12
W
02/05/2026
UberlandiaOperario Ferroviario
21
W
25/04/2026
IpatingaUberlandia
02
W
18/04/2026
UberlandiaCRAC
21
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TrezeTreze1052318:14+417LDLWW
2SergipeSergipe1043315:13+215DLLDW
3Serra BrancaSerra Branca1036112:8+415DDWLD
4LagartoLagarto1034314:15-113WWDDD
5RetrôRetrô1033413:15-212WDDWL
6DecisãoDecisão1022610:17-78LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TrezeTreze1018:1417
2SergipeSergipe1015:1315
3Serra BrancaSerra Branca1012:815
4LagartoLagarto1014:1513
5RetrôRetrô1013:1512
6DecisãoDecisão1010:178

Group 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UberlandiaUberlandia1053212:8+418LDDDW
2IpatingaIpatinga1043312:9+315WLWDD
3CRACCRAC103437:7013DLDWD
4IvinhemaIvinhema103439:12-313DDLLD
5ABECAT OuvidorenseABECAT Ouvidorense103348:9-112WWWLD
6Operario FerroviarioOperario Ferroviario102359:12-39LWLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1UberlandiaUberlandia1012:818
2IpatingaIpatinga1012:915
3CRACCRAC107:713
4IvinhemaIvinhema109:1213
5ABECAT OuvidorenseABECAT Ouvidorense108:912
6Operario FerroviarioOperario Ferroviario109:129
Promotion

About the Serra Branca vs Uberlandia forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Serra Branca and Uberlandia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.