Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema Prediction

Mebrat Hayl
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Awassa Kenema
28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel12%SurpriseHighGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel9%SurpriseHighGap+5.7%
Mebrat Hayl Rest
6 days
Awassa Kenema Rest
7 days

Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema: result, form and history

Mebrat Hayl and Awassa Kenema drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Awassa Kenema have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.83
X
31%2.67
2
31%2.62
Double Chance
1X
69%1.40
X2
63%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.24
No
56%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.60
Over 2.5
37%2.85
Over 3.5
18%6.05
Under 1.5
37%2.17
Under 2.5
63%1.35
Under 3.5
82%1.07
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'H. Hussien
61'G. Kebede

Team Comparison

Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl
Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema
1520Elo Rating 1491
0.58Attack 0.97
2.66Defense 1.67
44%Hit Rate 0%
-Shots per Game 3.0
-Shots on Target 2.0
-Corners per Game 0.0
-Cards per Game 1.0

Game State Tendencies

Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema3Wins · 60%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Premier League30/01/2026
Awassa KenemaMebrat Hayl
20
Premier League09/04/2025
Mebrat HaylAwassa Kenema
11
Premier League01/11/2024
Awassa KenemaMebrat Hayl
12
Premier League14/12/2022
Awassa KenemaMebrat Hayl
10
Premier League25/10/2022
Awassa KenemaMebrat Hayl
10

Recent Form

Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl
3W3D4L
22/06/2026
Welayta DichaMebrat Hayl
12
W
16/06/2026
Mebrat HaylMekelle Kenema
00
D
30/05/2026
Ethiopia Nigd BankMebrat Hayl
21
L
20/05/2026
Mebrat HaylDire Dawa Kenema
11
D
16/05/2026
Welwalo Adigrat UniMebrat Hayl
21
L
10/05/2026
Mebrat HaylFasil Ketema
31
W
05/05/2026
Suhul ShireMebrat Hayl
10
L
29/04/2026
Mebrat HaylMekelakeya
01
L
20/04/2026
Mebrat HaylEthiopian Medhin
11
D
14/04/2026
Adama KenemaMebrat Hayl
01
W
Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema
1W5D4L
21/06/2026
Awassa KenemaBahardar
00
D
15/06/2026
Negelle ArsiAwassa Kenema
21
L
28/05/2026
Awassa KenemaEthiopia Bunna
10
W
20/05/2026
Kedus GiorgisAwassa Kenema
10
L
16/05/2026
Awassa KenemaArba Minch Kenema
00
D
09/05/2026
Hadiya HosaenaAwassa Kenema
10
L
04/05/2026
Awassa KenemaSheger Ketema
11
D
29/04/2026
Ethiopian MedhinAwassa Kenema
21
L
19/04/2026
MekelakeyaAwassa Kenema
00
D
15/04/2026
Awassa KenemaSuhul Shire
00
D

League Table

Premier League 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sidama BunnaSidama Bunna381911843:23+2068LWDWW
2Negelle ArsiNegelle Arsi381515837:30+760LWDWD
3MekelakeyaMekelakeya381415944:31+1357DLWLL
4Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema3814131128:28055WLWWL
5Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl3813151032:26+654WDWDL
6Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis3814121233:31+254DWDWW
7Welayta DichaWelayta Dicha381118937:31+651DWLWD
8Ethiopia BunnaEthiopia Bunna3813121340:39+151DWDLL
9Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema3812141237:32+550LDDLW
10Sheger KetemaSheger Ketema3811171034:31+350WWLDW
11BahardarBahardar38921828:28048DLDLD
12Hadiya HosaenaHadiya Hosaena3811151231:35-448DDWLD
13Ethiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:45047DLDLW
14Ethiopian MedhinEthiopian Medhin3810161230:31-146LLLWD
15Adama KenemaAdama Kenema3810161235:39-446WLDWL
16Welwalo Adigrat UniWelwalo Adigrat Uni3810161232:36-446DWLDD
17Suhul ShireSuhul Shire389151424:32-842LWDLD
18Dire Dawa KenemaDire Dawa Kenema389151427:41-1442WDWLL
19Mekelle KenemaMekelle Kenema388161426:38-1240WLDDD
20Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema387141730:46-1635LLLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Sidama BunnaSidama Bunna3843:2368
2Negelle ArsiNegelle Arsi3837:3060
3MekelakeyaMekelakeya3844:3157
4Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema3828:2855
5Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl3832:2654
6Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis3833:3154
7Welayta DichaWelayta Dicha3837:3151
8Ethiopia BunnaEthiopia Bunna3840:3951
9Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema3837:3250
10Sheger KetemaSheger Ketema3834:3150
11BahardarBahardar3828:2848
12Hadiya HosaenaHadiya Hosaena3831:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd Bank3845:4547
14Ethiopian MedhinEthiopian Medhin3830:3146
15Adama KenemaAdama Kenema3835:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat UniWelwalo Adigrat Uni3832:3646
17Suhul ShireSuhul Shire3824:3242
18Dire Dawa KenemaDire Dawa Kenema3827:4142
19Mekelle KenemaMekelle Kenema3826:3840
20Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema3830:4635
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About the Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mebrat Hayl and Awassa Kenema in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Mebrat Hayl are 5th and Awassa Kenema 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Mebrat Hayl 32-26, Awassa Kenema 37-32. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2025 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.