Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction

Middlesbrough
4-3
Finished
HT 3-1
Norwich
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalHIGHModel66%RiskMediumGap+5.7%
Middlesbrough Rest
3 days
Norwich Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.85
X
29%3.82
2
28%3.85
Double Chance
1X
72%1.24
X2
57%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.52
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.11 = 2.72
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.60
Over 3.5
33%2.44
Under 1.5
19%4.72
Under 2.5
43%2.27
Under 3.5
67%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.7 = 10.6
Over 8.5
67%1.30
Over 9.5
56%1.55
Over 10.5
48%1.92
Under 8.5
33%3.00
Under 9.5
44%2.24
Under 10.5
52%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.78
Over 4.5
31%2.52
Under 3.5
50%1.97
Under 4.5
69%1.48

Match Events

1'Mohamed Toure
4'Sebastian BerhalterAssist: Tommy Conway
7'Amario Cozier-DuberryAssist: Tommy Conway
36'Sebastian Berhalter
45'Alfie Jones INAshley Phillips out
45'Anis Ben Slimane INJacob Wright out
53'Riley McGreeFoul
62'Mohamed Toure INJ. Makama out
62'Kellen Fisher INJack Stacey out
63'Tommy Conway INMyles Peart-Harris out
63'Riley McGree INKyle Joseph out
70'J. MakamaAssist: Jacob Wright
73'Amario Cozier-Duberry INMax Arfsten out
74'Andre Brooks INParis Maghoma out
75'Jacob WrightAssist: Paris Maghoma
89'Ashley PhillipsFoul
90'Anthony Musaba INOscar Schwartau out
90'Jack StaceyFoul
90+1'Ashley Phillips
90+2'will lankshear INLuke Ayling out

Lineups

Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1Coach: K. Hellberg
Norwich
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Clement
R. Vítek1R. VítekR. Vítek
C. Brittain2C. BrittainC. Brittain
A. Malanda29A. MalandaA. Malanda
A. Jones5A. JonesA. Jones
Neto Borges30N. BorgesNeto Borges
A. Morris10A. MorrisA. Morris
S. Berhalter6S. BerhalterS. Berhalter
A. Cozier-Duberry11A. Cozier-DuberryA. Cozier-Duberry
R. McGree8R. McGreeR. McGree
T. Conway9T. ConwayT. Conway
W. Lankshear7W. LankshearW. Lankshear
V. Kovačević1V. KovačevićV. Kovačević
K. Fisher35K. FisherK. Fisher
Ruairi McConville15R. McConvilleRuairi McConville
J. Córdoba33J. CórdobaJ. Córdoba
B. Chrisene14B. ChriseneB. Chrisene
K. McLean23K. McLeanK. McLean
P. Mattsson7P. MattssonP. Mattsson
A. Brooks11A. BrooksA. Brooks
A. Ben Slimane20A. Ben SlimaneA. Ben Slimane
A. Musaba49A. MusabaA. Musaba
M. Touré21M. TouréM. Touré

Middlesbrough Substitutes

17M. ArfstenD
12L. AylingD
31S. BrynnG
22K. JosephF
14M. Peart-HarrisM
4A. PhillipsD
21R. PukštasM
16J. SarmientoF
13D. StrelecF

Norwich Substitutes

17A. CrnacF
6H. DarlingD
26S. FieldM
32D. GrimshawG
25P. MaghomaM
24J. MakamaF
29O. SchwartauF
3J. StaceyD
16Jacob WrightM

Match Stats

MiddlesbroughNorwich
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
13Fouls9
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
432Total Passes419
352Passes Accurate328
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
NorwichNorwich
1710Elo Rating 1689
1.86Attack 2.41
1.20Defense 1.19
61%Hit Rate 56%
16.2Shots per Game 16.1
5.5Shots on Target 6.1
4.5Corners per Game 4.7
1.7Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend54% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NorwichNorwich
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Middlesbrough 64%Draw 36%0% Norwich
2.51Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
3W1D1L
08/09/2026
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
30
L
05/09/2026
QPRMiddlesbrough
01
W
02/09/2026
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
11
D
29/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWest Brom
31
W
25/08/2026
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
13
W
NorwichNorwich
4W0D1L
09/09/2026
NorwichBirmingham
21
W
05/09/2026
Sheffield UtdNorwich
13
W
01/09/2026
Stoke CityNorwich
10
L
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
W
25/08/2026
CardiffNorwich
12
W

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1West HamWest Ham742120:9+1114WWWWD
2SwanseaSwansea742111:5+614WLDWW
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough742114:10+414DWWDW
4West BromWest Brom742110:7+314DWWDL
5QPRQPR73318:5+312DDLWW
6CharltonCharlton73316:7-112DDLDW
7WolvesWolves632114:10+411WDLWW
8LincolnLincoln73226:6011WWDDW
9SouthamptonSouthampton742118:8+1010WWDDW
10BirminghamBirmingham724110:9+110WLDDW
11MillwallMillwall731313:13010DLWLL
12Stoke CityStoke City731311:11010WDWWL
13Bristol CityBristol City731310:12-210LLWWW
14NorwichNorwich730413:1309LWWLW
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd72328:9-19LWLWD
16BlackburnBlackburn722310:1008WLLDL
17WatfordWatford72237:9-28LWLLD
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137:8-17DWLLW
19WrexhamWrexham71427:11-47LDDWL
20BoltonBolton72147:12-57WLLLL
21CardiffCardiff70437:11-44LDLLD
22DerbyDerby71156:13-74LLLWL
23PrestonPreston71066:13-73LLWLL
24BurnleyBurnley70348:16-83LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1West HamWest Ham720:914
2SwanseaSwansea711:514
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough714:1014
4West BromWest Brom710:714
5QPRQPR78:512
6CharltonCharlton76:712
7WolvesWolves614:1011
8LincolnLincoln76:611
9SouthamptonSouthampton718:810
10BirminghamBirmingham710:910
11MillwallMillwall713:1310
12Stoke CityStoke City711:1110
13Bristol CityBristol City710:1210
14NorwichNorwich713:139
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd78:99
16BlackburnBlackburn710:108
17WatfordWatford77:98
18PortsmouthPortsmouth67:87
19WrexhamWrexham77:117
20BoltonBolton77:127
21CardiffCardiff77:114
22DerbyDerby76:134
23PrestonPreston76:133
24BurnleyBurnley78:163
PromotionRelegation

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Middlesbrough have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Norwich have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Middlesbrough and Norwich have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.51 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.