Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction

Norwich
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Birmingham
Carrow Road, Norwich 09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel69%RiskMediumGap+5.0%
Norwich Rest
4 days
Birmingham Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%1.88
X
30%3.60
2
31%4.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.24
X2
61%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.67
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.24 = 2.66
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.79
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.80
Under 2.5
47%2.00
Under 3.5
69%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.45
Over 9.5
53%1.77
Over 10.5
43%2.20
Under 8.5
37%2.50
Under 9.5
47%1.95
Under 10.5
57%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%2.00
Over 4.5
36%2.87
Under 3.5
44%1.73
Under 4.5
64%1.32

Match Events

13'Benjamin ChriseneFoul
25'Jose CordobaFoul
28'Oscar SchwartauAssist: Mathias Kvistgaarden
39'Papa Amadou DialloAssist: Andre Brooks
45'Papa Amadou Diallo INAnthony Musaba out
59'Jack StaceyFoul
60'Oscar Schwartau
60'Carlos VicenteDissent
62'Kristoffer Lund INAlex Cochrane out
62'Bright Osayi-Samuel INEthan Laird out
64'Carlos VicenteAssist: Liam Millar
65'Andre Brooks INAnte Crnac out
71'Oscar Schwartau INJacob Wright out
71'Mathias Kvistgaarden INJ. Makama out
82'August Priske INMarvin Ducksch out
82'Tomoki Iwata INLuis Vasquez out
83'Phil NeumannArgument
83'J. MakamaArgument
90+1'Benjamin Chrisene INHarry Darling out
90+4'Ante CrnacArgument

Lineups

Norwich
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Clement
Birmingham
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Davies
V. Kovačević1V. KovačevićV. Kovačević
J. Stacey3J. StaceyJ. Stacey
Ruairi McConville15R. McConvilleRuairi McConville
J. Córdoba33J. CórdobaJ. Córdoba
B. Chrisene14B. ChriseneB. Chrisene
K. McLean23K. McLeanK. McLean
P. Mattsson7P. MattssonP. Mattsson
A. Brooks11A. BrooksA. Brooks
P. Diallo19P. DialloP. Diallo
O. Schwartau29O. SchwartauO. Schwartau
M. Kvistgaarden30M. KvistgaardenM. Kvistgaarden
J. Beadle1J. BeadleJ. Beadle
B. Osayi-Samuel26B. Osayi-SamuelB. Osayi-Samuel
P. Neumann5P. NeumannP. Neumann
C. Klarer4C. KlarerC. Klarer
K. Lund25K. LundK. Lund
T. Iwata24T. IwataT. Iwata
Paik Seung-Ho8P. Seung-HoPaik Seung-Ho
Carlos Vicente7C. VicenteCarlos Vicente
J. Stansfield28J. StansfieldJ. Stansfield
L. Millar17L. MillarL. Millar
A. Priske9A. PriskeA. Priske

Norwich Substitutes

17A. CrnacF
6H. DarlingD
35K. FisherD
32D. GrimshawG
25P. MaghomaM
24J. MakamaF
49A. MusabaF
16Jacob WrightM
13D. YongwaD

Birmingham Substitutes

23D. FryD
27K. FujimotoM
2E. LairdD
30Bradley MayoG
32L. VázquezF
33M. DuckschF
20A. CochraneD
3L. BuchananD
21R. AllsopG

Match Stats

NorwichBirmingham
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks7
6Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots4
12Fouls9
3Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
346Total Passes327
247Passes Accurate217
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NorwichNorwich
BirminghamBirmingham
1689Elo Rating 1661
2.41Attack 1.61
1.19Defense 1.58
56%Hit Rate 41%
16.1Shots per Game 15.1
6.1Shots on Target 6.0
4.7Corners per Game 6.1
3.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NorwichNorwich
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BirminghamBirmingham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Norwich 31%Draw 0%69% Birmingham
3.04Avg Goals
64%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5

Recent Form

NorwichNorwich
3W0D2L
05/09/2026
Sheffield UtdNorwich
13
W
01/09/2026
Stoke CityNorwich
10
L
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
W
25/08/2026
CardiffNorwich
12
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
L
BirminghamBirmingham
1W3D1L
06/09/2026
BirminghamWolves
22
D
01/09/2026
BirminghamSouthampton
11
D
28/08/2026
WrexhamBirmingham
12
W
25/08/2026
BirminghamBrentford
16
L
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1West HamWest Ham742120:9+1114WWWWD
2SwanseaSwansea742111:5+614WLDWW
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough742114:10+414DWWDW
4West BromWest Brom742110:7+314DWWDL
5QPRQPR73318:5+312DDLWW
6CharltonCharlton73316:7-112DDLDW
7WolvesWolves632114:10+411WDLWW
8LincolnLincoln73226:6011WWDDW
9SouthamptonSouthampton742118:8+1010WWDDW
10BirminghamBirmingham724110:9+110WLDDW
11MillwallMillwall731313:13010DLWLL
12Stoke CityStoke City731311:11010WDWWL
13Bristol CityBristol City731310:12-210LLWWW
14NorwichNorwich730413:1309LWWLW
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd72328:9-19LWLWD
16BlackburnBlackburn722310:1008WLLDL
17WatfordWatford72237:9-28LWLLD
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137:8-17DWLLW
19WrexhamWrexham71427:11-47LDDWL
20BoltonBolton72147:12-57WLLLL
21CardiffCardiff70437:11-44LDLLD
22DerbyDerby71156:13-74LLLWL
23PrestonPreston71066:13-73LLWLL
24BurnleyBurnley70348:16-83LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1West HamWest Ham720:914
2SwanseaSwansea711:514
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough714:1014
4West BromWest Brom710:714
5QPRQPR78:512
6CharltonCharlton76:712
7WolvesWolves614:1011
8LincolnLincoln76:611
9SouthamptonSouthampton718:810
10BirminghamBirmingham710:910
11MillwallMillwall713:1310
12Stoke CityStoke City711:1110
13Bristol CityBristol City710:1210
14NorwichNorwich713:139
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd78:99
16BlackburnBlackburn710:108
17WatfordWatford77:98
18PortsmouthPortsmouth67:87
19WrexhamWrexham77:117
20BoltonBolton77:127
21CardiffCardiff77:114
22DerbyDerby76:134
23PrestonPreston76:133
24BurnleyBurnley78:163
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Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Norwich have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Norwich and Birmingham have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.04 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.