Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Allianz Field, Saint Paul· L. Hernandez 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel45%RiskMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.03
SignalGOODModel43%RiskHighGap+11.2%
Minnesota United FC Rest
3 days
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.36
X
26%3.80
2
41%2.00
Double Chance
1X
59%1.80
X2
67%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.50
No
29%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.38 = 2.69
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.40
Under 1.5
21%4.98
Under 2.5
40%2.35
Under 3.5
67%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.6 = 9.1
Over 8.5
54%1.40
Over 9.5
43%1.71
Over 10.5
29%2.15
Under 8.5
46%2.75
Under 9.5
57%2.03
Under 10.5
71%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%1.48
Over 4.5
54%2.08
Under 3.5
28%2.42
Under 4.5
46%1.69

Match Events

11'R. Veselinovic INM. Gherasimencov out
17'M. Dieng
24'J. Badwal
46'O. Larraz INR. Gauld out
46'C. Sabaly INN. Djordjevic out
57'J. Diaz INC. Harvey out
68'W. Trapp INP. Stroud out
68'K. Yeboah INT. Chancalay out
69'B. White INR. Elloumi out
81'A. Markanich IND. Padelford out
81'K. Duncan INB. Hlongwane out
87'M. Boxall
90'T. Johnson INS. Adekugbe out

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
5-3-2Coach: Cameron Knowles
Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: Jesper Sorensen
Drake Callender12D. CallenderDrake Callender
Kyle Duncan3K. DuncanKyle Duncan
Jefferson Díaz28J. DíazJefferson Díaz
Michael Boxall15M. BoxallMichael Boxall
Morris Duggan23M. DugganMorris Duggan
Anthony Markanich13A. MarkanichAnthony Markanich
Joaquín Pereyra26J. PereyraJoaquín Pereyra
Owen Gene30O. GeneOwen Gene
Wil Trapp20W. TrappWil Trapp
Kelvin Yeboah9K. YeboahKelvin Yeboah
Mamadou  Dieng29M. DiengMamadou Dieng
Yohei Takaoka1Y. TakaokaYohei Takaoka
Mathías Laborda2M. LabordaMathías Laborda
Ranko Veselinović4R. VeselinovićRanko Veselinović
Tristan Blackmon33T. BlackmonTristan Blackmon
Tate Johnson28T. JohnsonTate Johnson
Oliver Larraz8O. LarrazOliver Larraz
Andrés Cubas20A. CubasAndrés Cubas
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly7C. Tidiane SabalyCheick Tidiane Sabaly
Thomas Müller13T. MüllerThomas Müller
Jeevan Badwal59J. BadwalJeevan Badwal
Brian White24B. WhiteBrian White

Minnesota United FC Substitutes

67Carlos HarveyM
6Peter StroudM
8Tomás ChancalayF
2Devin PadelfordD
21Bongokuhle HlongwaneF
1Alec SmirG
24Julian GresselM
18Mauricio GonzálezF
22Marcus CaldeiraF

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

29Mihail GherasimencovD
41Nikola DjordjevicD
25Ryan GauldM
19Rayan ElloumiF
3Sam AdekugbeD
32Isaac BoehmerG
30Adrian ZendejasG
26Jean-Claude NgandoM
63Johnny SelemaniF

Match Stats

Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots1
7Fouls13
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
340Total Passes617
251Passes Accurate542
74%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
1565Elo Rating 1653
2.75Attack 1.39
0.00Defense 1.36
14%Hit Rate 19%
13.1Shots per Game 17.5
5.3Shots on Target 6.1
4.1Corners per Game 6.7
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend34% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Minnesota United FC 17%Draw 23%61% Vancouver Whitecaps
3.13Avg Goals
34%BTTS Rate
61%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
0W2D3L
23/07/2026
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
21
L
23/05/2026
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
11
D
17/05/2026
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC
21
L
14/05/2026
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
01
L
11/05/2026
Minnesota United FCAustin
22
D
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
2W1D2L
23/07/2026
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
43
L
14/07/2026
Cavalry FCVancouver Whitecaps
11
D
09/07/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsCavalry FC
41
W
24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
W
17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
10
L

Referee Profile

L. Hernandez · 16 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
24.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.13 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.