Miramar vs La Luz Prediction

Miramar
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
La Luz
Parque Palermo, Montevideo 27/07/2026
MiramarMiramar
0-1
Finished
La LuzLa Luz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel32%SurpriseHighGap+11.8%
Miramar Rest
0 days
La Luz Rest
13 days

Miramar vs La Luz: the result in context

La Luz beat Miramar 1-0 in the Segunda División on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.74
X
32%2.87
2
25%2.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.40
X2
57%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.06
No
53%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.96 = 2.26
Over 1.5
64%1.50
Over 2.5
37%2.52
Over 3.5
18%4.50
Under 1.5
36%2.41
Under 2.5
63%1.44
Under 3.5
82%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'

Team Comparison

MiramarMiramar
La LuzLa Luz
1490Elo Rating 1466
1.21Attack 1.47
1.57Defense 2.01
36%Hit Rate 56%

Game State Tendencies

MiramarMiramar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
La LuzLa Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MiramarMiramar0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
La LuzLa Luz1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División30/07/2022
MiramarLa Luz
11
Segunda División08/05/2022
La LuzMiramar
31

Recent Form

MiramarMiramar
3W3D4L
26/07/2026
Cashmere TechnicalMiramar
21
L
12/07/2026
CerritoMiramar
10
L
06/07/2026
MiramarAtenas
11
D
28/06/2026
PaysanduMiramar
23
W
19/06/2026
MiramarSportivo Huracan
01
L
13/06/2026
Uruguay MontevideoMiramar
13
W
08/06/2026
MiramarOriental
22
D
31/05/2026
ColónMiramar
13
W
25/05/2026
MiramarFenix
11
D
17/05/2026
RentistasMiramar
10
L
La LuzLa Luz
3W4D3L
13/07/2026
La LuzTacuarembo
20
W
04/07/2026
Plaza ColoniaLa Luz
10
L
28/06/2026
CA River PlateLa Luz
00
D
21/06/2026
La LuzCerrito
20
W
14/06/2026
AtenasLa Luz
40
L
06/06/2026
La LuzPaysandu
12
L
31/05/2026
Sportivo HuracanLa Luz
11
D
24/05/2026
La LuzUruguay Montevideo
20
W
18/05/2026
OrientalLa Luz
00
D
09/05/2026
La LuzColón
00
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WLWWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DWWLD
3FenixFenix632113:7+611DWLDW
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310WDLWW
5ColónColón62318:5+39DLWWD
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19LWWDD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17LWLDL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WWLDD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64WDWLD
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74WDLLD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas25135735:23+1244WDWLD
2RentistasRentistas25117734:27+740LWWDD
3ColónColón25116829:27+239DLWWD
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia25108731:25+638DWWLD
5PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
6OrientalOriental25810734:30+434WLWWW
7CA River PlateCA River Plate26971037:34+334WDLLD
8CerritoCerrito25810732:29+334DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz2597924:27-334LWLDL
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan26971027:33-634WDLWW
11FenixFenix25710828:30-231DWLDW
12MiramarMiramar2579926:31-530WWLDD
13TacuaremboTacuarembo25681119:28-926DDLLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2535:2344
2RentistasRentistas2534:2740
3ColónColón2529:2739
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2531:2538
5PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
6OrientalOriental2534:3034
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2637:3434
8CerritoCerrito2532:2934
9La LuzLa Luz2524:2734
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2627:3334
11FenixFenix2528:3031
12MiramarMiramar2526:3130
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2519:2826
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Miramar vs La Luz forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Miramar and La Luz in the Segunda División table

La Luz and Miramar are close in the Segunda División table, 9th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Miramar 3-7, La Luz 5-6. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Miramar and La Luz have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.