Montpellier vs Boulogne Prediction

Montpellier
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Boulogne
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier·Pierre Gaillouste, France 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Montpellier Rest
7 days
Boulogne Rest
7 days

Montpellier vs Boulogne: result, form and history

Montpellier and Boulogne drew 0-0 in the Ligue 2 on 28 Aug 2026. Montpellier had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Boulogne.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.74
X
24%3.55
2
17%4.70
Double Chance
1X
83%1.17
X2
41%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.91
No
51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 0.79 = 2.58
Over 1.5
77%1.31
Over 2.5
53%2.05
Over 3.5
31%3.67
Under 1.5
23%3.10
Under 2.5
47%1.71
Under 3.5
69%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.83
Over 9.5
50%2.31
Over 10.5
39%3.14
Under 8.5
41%1.88
Under 9.5
50%1.54
Under 10.5
61%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%1.55
Over 4.5
25%2.15
Under 3.5
55%2.20
Under 4.5
75%1.58

Match Events

20'Benjamin BesicFoul
23'Florian TardieuOff the ball foul
29'Florian Tardieu(Penalty missed)
41'Naoufel El HannachFoul
51'Théo BruscoFoul
60'N. Vidal-Cartoux ING. Ayem out
61'N. Mukiele INY. Issoufou out
63'J. Bultel INJ. Martin out
63'A. Platret INA. Nassiri out
74'B. Besic INN. Fatar out
74'T. Epailly INM. Soumah out
80'Théo BruscoFoul
80'Théo BruscoFoul
83' INA. Pinot out
90+2'N. El Hannach IND. Benlahlou out

Lineups

Montpellier
4-2-3-1Coach: Zoumana Camara
Boulogne
5-3-2Coach: Fabien Dagneaux
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.94
S. Ngapandouetnbu8.631S. Ngapandouetnbu
N. El Hannach6.93N. El Hannach
J. LaporteC7.915J. Laporte
D. Meddah8.227D. Meddah
T. Sainte-Luce7.517T. Sainte-Luce
F. Tardieu6.65F. Tardieu
H. Abderrebi6.932H. Abderrebi
N. Pays7.918N. Pays
N. Vidal-Cartoux6.340N. Vidal-Cartoux
N. Mukiele6.319N. Mukiele
L. Megnan-Pave6.09L. Megnan-Pave
B. Noukeu9.999B. Noukeu
A. Platret7.221A. Platret
D. Thiam7.218D. Thiam
A. Kerriou7.525A. Kerriou
T. Brusco6.620T. Brusco
J. Boyer6.512J. Boyer
J. Bultel6.914J. Bultel
N. BinetC7.319N. Binet
T. Epailly6.964T. Epailly
A. Hbouch6.610A. Hbouch
B. Besic6.217B. Besic

Montpellier Substitutes

1M. Michel
35M. Chambon
90G. Ayem60'for N. Vidal-Cartoux6.5
77Everson Jr
7Y. Issoufou61'for N. Mukiele6.9
23D. Benlahlou90+2'for N. El Hannach
34T. Diallo

Boulogne Substitutes

1X. Lenogue
15A. Pinot83'6.6
26O. Lenne
4J. Kapenga
28S. Paillard
8J. Martin63'for J. Bultel6.3
36M. Soumah74'for T. Epailly6.5
11N. Fatar74'for B. Besic6.3
7A. Nassiri63'for A. Platret6.5

Match Stats

MontpellierBoulogne
68%Ball Possession32%
7Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
12Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots2
14Fouls20
0Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves6
575Total Passes280
481Passes Accurate181
84%Pass Accuracy65%

Team Comparison

MontpellierMontpellier
BoulogneBoulogne
1723Elo Rating 1570
2.39Attack 1.48
2.00Defense 2.44
73%Hit Rate 44%
15.0Shots per Game 12.3
5.4Shots on Target 4.2
5.3Corners per Game 4.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+153 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MontpellierMontpellier
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)
BoulogneBoulogne
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MontpellierMontpellier0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BoulogneBoulogne2Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Ligue 216/01/2026
BoulogneMontpellier
10
Ligue 223/09/2025
MontpellierBoulogne
13

Recent Form

MontpellierMontpellier
6W2D2L
21/08/2026
DunkerqueMontpellier
01
W
14/08/2026
NancyMontpellier
01
W
08/08/2026
MontpellierDijon
11
D
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
W
25/07/2026
Clermont FootMontpellier
01
W
22/07/2026
MontpellierCannes
34
L
17/07/2026
MontpellierLe Puy Foot
52
W
11/07/2026
MontpellierAubagne
32
W
09/05/2026
RED Star FC 93Montpellier
11
D
02/05/2026
MontpellierClermont Foot
12
L
BoulogneBoulogne
2W4D4L
21/08/2026
BoulogneRED Star FC 93
11
D
14/08/2026
GuingampBoulogne
10
L
08/08/2026
BoulogneNancy
00
D
31/07/2026
ValenciennesBoulogne
11
D
25/07/2026
BoulogneRouen
01
L
24/07/2026
AmiensBoulogne
01
W
18/07/2026
LensBoulogne
41
L
15/07/2026
Fleury 91Boulogne
02
W
08/07/2026
BoulogneVersailles
01
L
04/07/2026
AnderlechtBoulogne
00
D

Referee Profile

Pierre Gaillouste138 matches

3.88Cards per match
3.55Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pierre Gaillouste3.88
Other referees4.00

3.88 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1291225:11+1428WLWWW
2NancyNancy1281317:9+825WWWWW
3MontpellierMontpellier1273218:9+924LWWWW
4ReimsReims1256124:15+921LWDWD
5PAUPAU1262416:13+320LWWWW
6DijonDijon1253421:19+218WWLLW
7MetzMetz1245320:19+117WLDWL
8RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931252514:17-317LLLLW
9AnnecyAnnecy1251614:18-416LLWLW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1243517:17015WLDWL
11GuingampGuingamp1242616:18-214LWWLL
12BoulogneBoulogne1227310:8+213WLDWD
13RodezRodez1241717:23-613LWWLL
14NantesNantes1233614:18-412WDLLD
15Clermont FootClermont Foot1218311:15-411WDLDL
16SochauxSochaux122558:15-711LLLLD
17GrenobleGrenoble1232713:22-911WLLLL
18LavalLaval1223714:23-99LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1225:1128
2NancyNancy1217:925
3MontpellierMontpellier1218:924
4ReimsReims1224:1521
5PAUPAU1216:1320
6DijonDijon1221:1918
7MetzMetz1220:1917
8RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931214:1717
9AnnecyAnnecy1214:1816
10DunkerqueDunkerque1217:1715
11GuingampGuingamp1216:1814
12BoulogneBoulogne1210:813
13RodezRodez1217:2313
14NantesNantes1214:1812
15Clermont FootClermont Foot1211:1511
16SochauxSochaux128:1511
17GrenobleGrenoble1213:2211
18LavalLaval1214:239
PromotionRelegation

About the Montpellier vs Boulogne forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montpellier and Boulogne in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Montpellier are 3rd and Boulogne 12th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Montpellier 18-9, Boulogne 10-8. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Montpellier and Boulogne have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.