Montpellier vs Boulogne Prediction

Montpellier
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Boulogne
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier· Pierre Gaillouste, France 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel54%RiskMediumGap+5.0%
Montpellier Rest
7 days
Boulogne Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.74
X
24%3.55
2
17%4.70
Double Chance
1X
83%1.17
X2
41%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.91
No
51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 0.79 = 2.58
Over 1.5
77%1.31
Over 2.5
53%2.05
Over 3.5
31%3.67
Under 1.5
23%3.10
Under 2.5
47%1.71
Under 3.5
69%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.83
Over 9.5
50%2.31
Over 10.5
39%3.14
Under 8.5
41%1.88
Under 9.5
50%1.54
Under 10.5
61%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%1.55
Over 4.5
25%2.15
Under 3.5
55%2.20
Under 4.5
75%1.58

Match Events

20'Benjamin BesicFoul
23'Florian TardieuOff the ball foul
29'Florian Tardieu(Penalty missed)
41'Naoufel El HannachFoul
51'Théo BruscoFoul
60'N. Vidal-Cartoux ING. Ayem out
61'N. Mukiele INY. Issoufou out
63'J. Bultel INJ. Martin out
63'A. Platret INA. Nassiri out
74'B. Besic INN. Fatar out
74'T. Epailly INM. Soumah out
80'Théo BruscoFoul
80'Théo BruscoFoul
83' INA. Pinot out
90+2'N. El Hannach IND. Benlahlou out

Lineups

Montpellier
4-2-3-1Coach: Zoumana Camara
Boulogne
5-3-2Coach: Fabien Dagneaux
S. Ngapandouetnbu31S. NgapandouetnbuS. Ngapandouetnbu
N. El Hannach3N. El HannachN. El Hannach
J. Laporte15J. LaporteJ. Laporte
D. Meddah27D. MeddahD. Meddah
T. Sainte-Luce17T. Sainte-LuceT. Sainte-Luce
F. Tardieu5F. TardieuF. Tardieu
H. Abderrebi32H. AbderrebiH. Abderrebi
N. Pays18N. PaysN. Pays
N. Vidal-Cartoux40N. Vidal-CartouxN. Vidal-Cartoux
N. Mukiele19N. MukieleN. Mukiele
L. Megnan-Pave9L. Megnan-PaveL. Megnan-Pave
B. Noukeu99B. NoukeuB. Noukeu
A. Platret21A. PlatretA. Platret
D. Thiam18D. ThiamD. Thiam
A. Kerriou25A. KerriouA. Kerriou
T. Brusco20T. BruscoT. Brusco
J. Boyer12J. BoyerJ. Boyer
J. Bultel14J. BultelJ. Bultel
N. Binet19N. BinetN. Binet
T. Epailly64T. EpaillyT. Epailly
A. Hbouch10A. HbouchA. Hbouch
B. Besic17B. BesicB. Besic

Montpellier Substitutes

1M. MichelG
35M. ChambonD
90G. AyemM
77Everson JrM
7Y. IssoufouF
23D. BenlahlouF
34T. DialloD

Boulogne Substitutes

1X. LenogueG
15A. PinotD
26O. LenneD
4J. KapengaD
28S. PaillardM
8J. MartinM
36M. SoumahM
11N. FatarF
7A. NassiriM

Match Stats

MontpellierBoulogne
68%Ball Possession32%
7Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
12Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots2
14Fouls20
0Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves6
577Total Passes279
485Passes Accurate180
84%Pass Accuracy65%

Team Comparison

MontpellierMontpellier
BoulogneBoulogne
1687Elo Rating 1527
0.83Attack 0.61
2.15Defense 2.13
37%Hit Rate 0%
10.3Shots per Game 12.3
4.3Shots on Target 4.6
5.4Corners per Game 3.7
1.7Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+160 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MontpellierMontpellier
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
BoulogneBoulogne
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Montpellier 0%Draw 0%100% Boulogne
2.38Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MontpellierMontpellier
4W1D0L
21/08/2026
DunkerqueMontpellier
01
W
14/08/2026
NancyMontpellier
01
W
08/08/2026
MontpellierDijon
11
D
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
W
25/07/2026
Clermont FootMontpellier
01
W
BoulogneBoulogne
0W3D2L
21/08/2026
BoulogneRED Star FC 93
11
D
14/08/2026
GuingampBoulogne
10
L
08/08/2026
BoulogneNancy
00
D
31/07/2026
ValenciennesBoulogne
11
D
25/07/2026
BoulogneRouen
01
L

Referee Profile

Pierre Gaillouste, France · 25 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
27.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 38% of referees analysed

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne751119:8+1116DLWWW
2RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9374219:7+214WWWLD
3ReimsReims734015:9+613DWDWW
4MontpellierMontpellier73316:5+112DWLDW
5MetzMetz724110:7+310DLWDD
6NancyNancy73138:7+110WLLWW
7AnnecyAnnecy73139:9010LLWDL
8SochauxSochaux72414:5-110DWDDW
9DijonDijon723210:1009WWDLD
10PAUPAU72236:608WLDDL
11GuingampGuingamp722310:12-28LWDDL
12DunkerqueDunkerque722310:12-28LWDLL
13GrenobleGrenoble72238:11-38DWLWL
14RodezRodez721414:16-27LLLDW
15NantesNantes72149:13-47WLWDL
16Clermont FootClermont Foot70614:6-26DDDDD
17BoulogneBoulogne70523:5-25LDDDD
18LavalLaval71248:14-65DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne719:816
2RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9379:714
3ReimsReims715:913
4MontpellierMontpellier76:512
5MetzMetz710:710
6NancyNancy78:710
7AnnecyAnnecy79:910
8SochauxSochaux74:510
9DijonDijon710:109
10PAUPAU76:68
11GuingampGuingamp710:128
12DunkerqueDunkerque710:128
13GrenobleGrenoble78:118
14RodezRodez714:167
15NantesNantes79:137
16Clermont FootClermont Foot74:66
17BoulogneBoulogne73:55
18LavalLaval78:145
PromotionRelegation

Montpellier vs Boulogne Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ligue 2 fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ligue 2

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Key Factors for This Match

Montpellier and Boulogne have met 2 times recently, averaging 2.38 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.