Nantes vs Rodez Prediction

Nantes
2-5
Finished
HT 2-1
Rodez
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes·Ahmed Taleb, France 22/08/2026
NantesNantes
2-5
Finished
RodezRodez

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Nantes Rest
7 days
Rodez Rest
7 days

Nantes vs Rodez: result, form and history

Rodez beat Nantes 5-2 in the Ligue 2 on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.73
X
27%3.75
2
22%4.41
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
48%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.73
No
49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.96 = 2.33
Over 1.5
70%1.25
Over 2.5
46%1.83
Over 3.5
25%3.00
Under 1.5
30%3.75
Under 2.5
54%1.97
Under 3.5
75%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
51%1.56
Over 10.5
41%1.87
Under 8.5
38%2.95
Under 9.5
49%2.27
Under 10.5
59%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

4'K. CorredorAssist: M. Cafaro
7'C. IssanchouFoul
15'I. BaldeAssist: R. Ponti
24'K. CorredorAssist: W. Younoussa
45+3'K. Corredor IND. Tabibou out
47'R. Ponti
55'M. CafaroFoul
63'R. Ponti INE. Jean-Lambert out
63'D. Pavlovic INO. Joly out
68'J. MendesFoul
69'I. Sissoko INB. Deuff out
69'J. Lepenant INL. Leroux out
69'M. Cafaro INM. Dabo out
71'I. BaldeAssist: R. Lipinski
72'I. BaldeAssist: R. Lipinski
73'I. BaldeUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'C. Issanchou INS. Luyambula out
74'I. Balde INK. Nagera out
76'W. YounoussaFoul
86'M. Touho INN. Nsingi out
87'H. Guirassy INJ. Kone out
90+5'S. SowOG

Lineups

Nantes
4-1-4-1Coach: Michel Der Zakarian
Rodez
5-3-2Coach: Didier Santini
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.99
Maxime Dupé5.31M. Dupé
Frédéric GuilbertC6.224F. Guilbert
Saïdou Sow5.24S. Sow
Lucas Perrin6.25L. Perrin
Kelvin Amian5.698K. Amian
Ibrahima Sissoko6.928I. Sissoko
Mathieu Cafaro7.920M. Cafaro
Johann Lepenant6.68J. Lepenant
Wilitty Younoussa7.323W. Younoussa
Bahereba Guirassy6.211B. Guirassy
Killian Corredor8.312K. Corredor
Lucas Margueron6.616L. Margueron
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou6.313C. Issanchou Roubiou
Loni Laurent7.324L. Laurent
Mathis Magnin6.64M. Magnin
Raphaël LipinskiC7.63R. Lipinski
Ryan Ponti7.520R. Ponti
Jordan Mendes Correia6.56J. Mendes Correia
Damjan Pavlović6.38D. Pavlović
Antonin Cartillier7.229A. Cartillier
Ibrahima Baldé10.018I. Baldé
Mathis Touho5.911M. Touho

Nantes Substitutes

17Dehmaine Tabibou45+3'for K. Corredor5.9
52Bahmed Deuff69'for I. Sissoko6.7
19Louis Leroux69'for J. Lepenant6.3
47Moustapha Dabo69'for M. Cafaro6.5
49Doumbia Koné87'for H. Guirassy6.3
16Alexis Mirbach
65Hugo Lamy
78Tylel Tati
99Mohamed Camara

Rodez Substitutes

15Evan’s Jean-Lambert63'for R. Ponti6.9
22Octave Joly63'for D. Pavlovic6.9
28Steven Luyambula Biwa74'for C. Issanchou7.0
7Kenny Nagera74'for I. Balde6.7
9Nachon Nsingi86'for M. Touho6.5
30Enzo Crombez
17Luzolo Vangi Vungele
5Clément Jolibois

Match Stats

NantesRodez
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
10Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
14Fouls18
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
512Total Passes341
447Passes Accurate279
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

NantesNantes
RodezRodez
1589Elo Rating 1619
0.94Attack 1.15
1.78Defense 1.29
14%Hit Rate 50%
12.0Shots per Game 13.5
3.7Shots on Target 4.7
6.0Corners per Game 5.2
2.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NantesNantes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RodezRodez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NantesNantes
3W1D6L
14/08/2026
LavalNantes
21
L
08/08/2026
NantesRED Star FC 93
01
L
31/07/2026
NantesAl Wakrah
51
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
L
22/07/2026
NantesLa Roche VF
11
D
18/07/2026
LorientNantes
10
L
11/07/2026
Fleury 91Nantes
05
W
08/05/2026
LensNantes
10
L
02/05/2026
NantesMarseille
30
W
26/04/2026
RennesNantes
21
L
RodezRodez
6W1D3L
14/08/2026
AnnecyRodez
20
L
08/08/2026
RodezLaval
31
W
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
L
25/07/2026
ToulouseRodez
11
D
22/07/2026
RodezNimes
21
W
17/07/2026
RodezCannes
41
W
10/07/2026
RodezBastia
53
W
15/05/2026
Saint EtienneRodez
7060
L
12/05/2026
RED Star FC 93Rodez
23
W
09/05/2026
AnnecyRodez
12
W

Referee Profile

Ahmed Taleb115 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.23Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ahmed Taleb3.50
Other referees3.98

3.50 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1291225:11+1428WLWWW
2NancyNancy1281317:9+825WWWWW
3MontpellierMontpellier1273218:9+924LWWWW
4ReimsReims1256124:15+921LWDWD
5PAUPAU1262416:13+320LWWWW
6DijonDijon1253421:19+218WWLLW
7MetzMetz1245320:19+117WLDWL
8RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931252514:17-317LLLLW
9AnnecyAnnecy1251614:18-416LLWLW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1243517:17015WLDWL
11GuingampGuingamp1242616:18-214LWWLL
12BoulogneBoulogne1227310:8+213WLDWD
13RodezRodez1241717:23-613LWWLL
14NantesNantes1233614:18-412WDLLD
15Clermont FootClermont Foot1218311:15-411WDLDL
16SochauxSochaux122558:15-711LLLLD
17GrenobleGrenoble1232713:22-911WLLLL
18LavalLaval1223714:23-99LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1225:1128
2NancyNancy1217:925
3MontpellierMontpellier1218:924
4ReimsReims1224:1521
5PAUPAU1216:1320
6DijonDijon1221:1918
7MetzMetz1220:1917
8RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931214:1717
9AnnecyAnnecy1214:1816
10DunkerqueDunkerque1217:1715
11GuingampGuingamp1216:1814
12BoulogneBoulogne1210:813
13RodezRodez1217:2313
14NantesNantes1214:1812
15Clermont FootClermont Foot1211:1511
16SochauxSochaux128:1511
17GrenobleGrenoble1213:2211
18LavalLaval1214:239
PromotionRelegation

About the Nantes vs Rodez forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nantes and Rodez in the Ligue 2 table

Rodez and Nantes are close in the Ligue 2 table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Nantes 14-18, Rodez 17-23. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nantes and Rodez have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.