PAU vs Sochaux Prediction

PAU
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sochaux
Nouste Camp, Pau·T. Vincent 04/09/2026
PAUPAU
1-1
Finished
SochauxSochaux

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
PAU Rest
7 days
Sochaux Rest
7 days

PAU vs Sochaux: result, form and history

PAU and Sochaux drew 1-1 in the Ligue 2 on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Sochaux tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.5 for PAU.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.28
X
30%3.20
2
33%3.11
Double Chance
1X
67%1.33
X2
62%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.81
No
51%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.12 = 2.34
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
41%2.10
Over 3.5
24%3.77
Under 1.5
31%3.08
Under 2.5
59%1.72
Under 3.5
76%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.65
Over 9.5
52%2.07
Over 10.5
39%2.63
Under 8.5
37%2.15
Under 9.5
48%1.67
Under 10.5
61%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

20'Samy BaghdadiFoul
29'Lorenzo Rajot
30'T. DebèsDissent
30'Vincent HognonDissent
34'Saad AgouzoulFoul
56'Landry Nomel INBenjamin Gomel out
56'Samy Baghdadi INBenjaloud Youssouf out
65'Dalangunypole Gomis INDylan Tavares out
65'Boubacar Fofana INMathis Clairicia out
66'Mathis ClairiciaAssist: Benjaloud Youssouf
68'Lorenzo Rajot INLuan Gadegbeku out
72'Babacar Leye INAlexis Lefebvre out
72'Cheikh Fall INBilal Brahimi out
82'Kapitbafan Djoco INJonathan Mexique out
82'Anthony Briançon INRony Ulrich Jordan·Mimb Baheng out
82'Tom Pouilly INMathys Tourraine out
90+5'Mathys TourraineFoul

Lineups

PAU
5-3-2Coach: Thierry Debes
Sochaux
4-2-3-1Coach: Vincent Hognon
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.51
B. Maubleu6.51B. Maubleu
T. Pouilly7.42T. Pouilly
G. Paquiez6.929G. Paquiez
A. Briançon7.123A. Briançon
A. Dodote7.04A. Dodote
A. Abdallah6.197A. Abdallah
C. Fall6.76C. Fall
J. Benet7.121J. Benet
L. Rajot8.25L. Rajot
B. Leye6.09B. Leye
H. Benali7.07H. Benali
M. Jeannin7.740M. Jeannin
E. N'Gatta6.726E. N'Gatta
M. Peybernes6.814M. Peybernes
S. Agouzoul5.897S. Agouzoul
D. Gomis6.13D. Gomis
B. Diawara6.321B. Diawara
J. Masson6.523J. Masson
L. Nomel6.277L. Nomel
S. Baghdadi6.15S. Baghdadi
B. Fofana5.910B. Fofana
K. Djoco6.49K. Djoco

PAU Substitutes

8S. Basse
10B. Brahimi72'for Cheikh Fall6.4
14R. Openda
27L. Gadegbeku68'for Lorenzo Rajot6.4
11A. Lefebvre72'for Babacar Leye6.6
22R. Baheng82'for Anthony Briançon6.5
19T. Saettel
30E. Salles
39M. Tourraine82'for Tom Pouilly90+5'6.6

Sochaux Substitutes

30A. Pierre
42Dylan Tavares65'for Dalangunypole Gomis6.3
15J. Mexique82'for Kapitbafan Djoco6.2
33N. K. Mouyema
7B. Gomel56'for Landry Nomel6.6
11L. Deedson
91M. Clairicia65'for Boubacar Fofana66'7.9
8Honoré Bayanginisa
17B. Youssouf56'for Samy Baghdadi6.6

Match Stats

PAUSochaux
56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots3
21Fouls15
7Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves6
424Total Passes354
344Passes Accurate283
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

PAUPAU
SochauxSochaux
1594Elo Rating 1569
1.91Attack 1.23
1.97Defense 1.14
86%Hit Rate 14%
14.2Shots per Game 14.0
5.5Shots on Target 4.3
3.5Corners per Game 7.0
3.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PAUPAU
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
SochauxSochaux
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

PAUPAU1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
SochauxSochaux3Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 215/04/2023
SochauxPAU
23
Ligue 220/08/2022
PAUSochaux
03
Ligue 222/04/2022
PAUSochaux
01
Ligue 203/12/2021
SochauxPAU
21
Ligue 217/04/2021
SochauxPAU
11
Ligue 215/12/2020
PAUSochaux
00

Recent Form

PAUPAU
2W1D7L
28/08/2026
RodezPAU
22
D
21/08/2026
PAUNancy
01
L
14/08/2026
DijonPAU
01
W
08/08/2026
PAUAnnecy
01
L
01/08/2026
PAUReal Unión
12
L
25/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIPAU
40
L
21/07/2026
EspanyolPAU
40
L
11/07/2026
Real SociedadPAU
01
W
09/05/2026
ReimsPAU
53
L
02/05/2026
PAUNancy
13
L
SochauxSochaux
3W4D3L
28/08/2026
Clermont FootSochaux
00
D
21/08/2026
SochauxGuingamp
10
W
14/08/2026
RED Star FC 93Sochaux
00
D
08/08/2026
SochauxSaint Etienne
03
L
01/08/2026
SochauxAuxerre
11
D
25/07/2026
SochauxDijon
03
L
22/07/2026
MetzSochaux
41
L
18/07/2026
SochauxGrenoble
10
W
10/07/2026
FC ZurichSochaux
12
W
15/05/2026
SochauxLe Puy Foot
22
D

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the PAU vs Sochaux forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PAU and Sochaux in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, PAU are 5th and Sochaux 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: PAU 13-10, Sochaux 8-12. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.