Morton vs Dunfermline Prediction

Morton
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
Cappielow Park, Greenock· C. Graham 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalGOODModel71%RiskMediumGap-4.5%
Morton Rest
7 days
Dunfermline Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%4.50
X
16%3.70
2
73%1.66
Double Chance
1X
27%2.04
X2
89%1.17
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'Z. Robinson INC. Sandilands out
62'D. LobbanAssist: R. Fraser
64'M. O'Halloran INM. Garrity out
64'K. Robertson ING. Savoury out
70'R. MacLeod INO. Shaw out
70'R. Fraser INL. Robinson out
75'I. Wilson IND. Borso out
75'E. Brophy INS. Bashir out
77'A. Amade INZ. Rudden out
78'J. Cooper INK. Bray out
83'A. Tod INC. Kane out
90+1'C. Okike

Team Comparison

MortonMorton
DunfermlineDunfermline
1312Elo Rating 1518
0.73Attack 1.09
0.98Defense 2.52
0%Hit Rate 66%

Game State Tendencies

MortonMorton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
DunfermlineDunfermline
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Morton 37%Draw 17%46% Dunfermline
2.01Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MortonMorton
0W1D4L
11/09/2026
MortonLivingston
14
L
05/09/2026
Queen's ParkMorton
21
L
29/08/2026
Ayr UtdMorton
11
D
22/08/2026
MortonArbroath
12
L
08/08/2026
StenhousemuirMorton
20
L
DunfermlineDunfermline
2W1D2L
12/09/2026
DunfermlineQueen's Park
20
W
05/09/2026
ArbroathDunfermline
11
D
28/08/2026
DunfermlineRaith Rovers
10
W
22/08/2026
LivingstonDunfermline
20
L
15/08/2026
DunfermlineRoss County
12
L

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir761011:2+919WWWWW
2Raith RoversRaith Rovers742111:3+814DWWLW
3PartickPartick73315:2+312DLWDD
4DunfermlineDunfermline73316:4+212WWDWL
5LivingstonLivingston731310:7+310DWLLW
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd72237:8-18WLLDL
7ArbroathArbroath72234:9-58LLDWW
8Inverness CTInverness CT71427:9-27DWLLD
9Queen's ParkQueen's Park71153:11-84LLWDL
10MortonMorton70164:13-91LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir711:219
2Raith RoversRaith Rovers711:314
3PartickPartick75:212
4DunfermlineDunfermline76:412
5LivingstonLivingston710:710
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd77:88
7ArbroathArbroath74:98
8Inverness CTInverness CT77:97
9Queen's ParkQueen's Park73:114
10MortonMorton74:131
PromotionRelegation

Morton vs Dunfermline Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers Scotland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Morton and Dunfermline have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.01 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.