Morton vs Dunfermline Prediction

Morton
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
Cappielow Park, Greenock·C. Graham 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Morton Rest
7 days
Dunfermline Rest
7 days

Morton vs Dunfermline: result, form and history

Dunfermline beat Morton 1-0 in the Championship on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Dunfermline had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Morton.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee C. Graham averages 4.90 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%4.50
X
16%3.70
2
73%1.66
Double Chance
1X
27%2.04
X2
89%1.17
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'Z. Robinson INC. Sandilands out
62'D. LobbanAssist: R. Fraser
64'M. O'Halloran INM. Garrity out
64'K. Robertson ING. Savoury out
70'R. MacLeod INO. Shaw out
70'R. Fraser INL. Robinson out
75'I. Wilson IND. Borso out
75'E. Brophy INS. Bashir out
77'A. Amade INZ. Rudden out
78'J. Cooper INK. Bray out
83'A. Tod INC. Kane out
90+1'C. Okike

Team Comparison

MortonMorton
DunfermlineDunfermline
1328Elo Rating 1564
1.55Attack 2.20
1.82Defense 2.35
59%Hit Rate 73%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MortonMorton
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
DunfermlineDunfermline
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MortonMorton4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
DunfermlineDunfermline4Wins · 40%
2.0Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship04/04/2026
DunfermlineMorton
31
Championship17/02/2026
MortonDunfermline
20
Championship22/11/2025
DunfermlineMorton
10
Championship02/08/2025
MortonDunfermline
00
Championship02/05/2025
MortonDunfermline
20
Championship01/03/2025
DunfermlineMorton
21
Championship21/12/2024
MortonDunfermline
20
Championship19/10/2024
DunfermlineMorton
00
Championship23/03/2024
MortonDunfermline
01
Championship03/02/2024
DunfermlineMorton
05

Recent Form

MortonMorton
0W1D9L
11/09/2026
MortonLivingston
14
L
05/09/2026
Queen's ParkMorton
21
L
29/08/2026
Ayr UtdMorton
11
D
22/08/2026
MortonArbroath
12
L
08/08/2026
StenhousemuirMorton
20
L
01/08/2026
MortonPartick
01
L
25/07/2026
MortonInverness CT
01
L
18/07/2026
ST JohnstoneMorton
30
L
14/07/2026
East FifeMorton
20
L
11/07/2026
MortonLinlithgow Rose
01
L
DunfermlineDunfermline
5W3D2L
12/09/2026
DunfermlineQueen's Park
20
W
05/09/2026
ArbroathDunfermline
11
D
28/08/2026
DunfermlineRaith Rovers
10
W
22/08/2026
LivingstonDunfermline
20
L
15/08/2026
DunfermlineRoss County
12
L
08/08/2026
DunfermlineAyr Utd
11
D
01/08/2026
Inverness CTDunfermline
00
D
26/07/2026
ST MirrenDunfermline
01
W
21/07/2026
DunfermlineCove Rangers
50
W
14/07/2026
DunfermlineDumbarton
41
W

Referee Profile

C. Graham170 matches

4.90Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

C. Graham4.90
Other referees3.99

4.90 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PartickPartick1484218:7+1128WLWDW
2Raith RoversRaith Rovers1474320:9+1125DWLDW
3DunfermlineDunfermline1467115:7+825DWWWD
4StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1472516:16023LLLLD
5LivingstonLivingston1463519:12+721DWWDL
6Inverness CTInverness CT1455418:17+120DLWWL
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1343614:18-415LWLDW
8ArbroathArbroath1442811:23-1214WLLLL
9MortonMorton1341816:23-713WWWWL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park1421118:23-157LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PartickPartick1418:728
2Raith RoversRaith Rovers1420:925
3DunfermlineDunfermline1415:725
4StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1416:1623
5LivingstonLivingston1419:1221
6Inverness CTInverness CT1418:1720
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1314:1815
8ArbroathArbroath1411:2314
9MortonMorton1316:2313
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park148:237
PromotionRelegation

About the Morton vs Dunfermline forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Morton and Dunfermline in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Dunfermline are 3rd in the Championship, while Morton sit 9th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: Morton 16-23, Dunfermline 15-7. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.