Morton vs Raith Rovers Prediction

Morton
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Raith Rovers
Cappielow Park, Greenock·S. Murdoch 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.54
SignalSOLIDModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-1.4%
Morton Rest
7 days
Raith Rovers Rest
7 days

Morton vs Raith Rovers: result, form and history

Raith Rovers beat Morton 2-1 in the Championship on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Raith Rovers had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Morton.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
14%5.50
X
19%3.90
2
67%1.54
Double Chance
1X
33%2.30
X2
86%1.11
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'J. RoweAssist: K. Turner
26'P. Croker
31'J. Robertson IND. Easton out
53'M. GarrityAssist: C. Ballantyne
55'K. Turner
57'S. Bashir IND. Borso out
67'G. OakleyAssist: D. Easton
71'A. Lyall INL. Vaughan out
71'K. Turner INK. Montagu out
71'J. Longridge INL. Murphy out
83'M. Garrity IND. Black out
84'D. Easton INL. Stevenson out

Team Comparison

MortonMorton
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
1321Elo Rating 1513
1.19Attack 0.95
1.91Defense 1.78
50%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

MortonMorton
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MortonMorton2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
Raith RoversRaith Rovers2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship11/04/2026
Raith RoversMorton
32
Championship14/02/2026
MortonRaith Rovers
00
Championship01/11/2025
Raith RoversMorton
11
Championship06/09/2025
MortonRaith Rovers
01
Championship26/04/2025
Raith RoversMorton
11
Championship25/03/2025
MortonRaith Rovers
33
Championship16/11/2024
Raith RoversMorton
23
Championship05/10/2024
MortonRaith Rovers
20
Championship27/04/2024
MortonRaith Rovers
00
Championship27/02/2024
Raith RoversMorton
00

Recent Form

MortonMorton
0W1D9L
25/09/2026
Inverness CTMorton
20
L
19/09/2026
MortonDunfermline
01
L
11/09/2026
MortonLivingston
14
L
05/09/2026
Queen's ParkMorton
21
L
29/08/2026
Ayr UtdMorton
11
D
22/08/2026
MortonArbroath
12
L
08/08/2026
StenhousemuirMorton
20
L
01/08/2026
MortonPartick
01
L
25/07/2026
MortonInverness CT
01
L
18/07/2026
ST JohnstoneMorton
30
L
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
5W2D3L
25/09/2026
Raith RoversLivingston
02
L
19/09/2026
PartickRaith Rovers
00
D
12/09/2026
Raith RoversArbroath
40
W
05/09/2026
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
02
W
28/08/2026
DunfermlineRaith Rovers
10
L
22/08/2026
Raith RoversAyr Utd
20
W
08/08/2026
Queen's ParkRaith Rovers
12
W
01/08/2026
Raith RoversStenhousemuir
11
D
24/07/2026
Raith RoversHeart Of Midlothian
01
L
21/07/2026
Raith RoversPeterhead
10
W

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PartickPartick1274115:4+1125WDWWW
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1172213:8+523LDLWW
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1263316:9+721LDWWL
4Inverness CTInverness CT1254316:11+519WWLWW
5DunfermlineDunfermline114619:6+318WDDDW
6LivingstonLivingston1252515:11+417WDLLW
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1133510:12-212LDWLW
8ArbroathArbroath123277:18-1111LLLLW
9MortonMorton112189:18-97WWLLL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park122196:19-137LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PartickPartick1215:425
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1113:823
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1216:921
4Inverness CTInverness CT1216:1119
5DunfermlineDunfermline119:618
6LivingstonLivingston1215:1117
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1110:1212
8ArbroathArbroath127:1811
9MortonMorton119:187
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park126:197
PromotionRelegation

About the Morton vs Raith Rovers forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Morton and Raith Rovers in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Raith Rovers are 3rd in the Championship, while Morton sit 9th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Morton 9-18, Raith Rovers 16-9. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.