NEC vs UPDF Prediction

NEC
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
UPDF
MTN Omondi Stadium 03/11/2026
NECNEC
1-0
Finished
UPDFUPDF

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
NEC Rest
3 days
UPDF Rest
2 days

NEC vs UPDF: result, form and history

NEC beat UPDF 1-0 in the Premier League on 3 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 6 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.40
X
22%3.80
2
11%6.50
Double Chance
1X
89%1.08
X2
33%2.52
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

48'F. BayoAssist: E. Lubwama

Team Comparison

NECNEC
UPDFUPDF
1643Elo Rating 1427
1.92Attack 0.28
2.47Defense 1.83
83%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+216 Elo

Game State Tendencies

NECNEC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
UPDFUPDF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

NECNEC3Wins · 50%
Draws350%
UPDFUPDF0Wins · 0%
1.3Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Premier League03/03/2026
NECUPDF
10
Premier League16/12/2025
UPDFNEC
00
Premier League04/04/2025
UPDFNEC
00
Premier League24/09/2024
NECUPDF
10
Premier League13/02/2024
UPDFNEC
22
Premier League20/10/2023
NECUPDF
20

Recent Form

NECNEC
6W2D2L
31/10/2026
Blacks PowerNEC
01
W
27/10/2026
NECNtugasaze
51
W
21/10/2026
BULNEC
21
L
14/10/2026
Kigezi HomeBoyzNEC
02
W
08/10/2026
NECExpress
00
D
15/09/2026
NECURA
41
W
11/09/2026
Mbarara CityNEC
00
D
01/09/2026
NECLugazi
31
W
29/08/2026
KCCANEC
02
W
23/05/2026
CalvaryNEC
20
L
UPDFUPDF
2W3D5L
31/10/2026
UPDFKitara
01
L
27/10/2026
UPDFURA
01
L
18/10/2026
UPDFBUL
02
L
15/10/2026
ExpressUPDF
12
W
17/09/2026
UPDFMaroons
10
W
10/09/2026
PoliceUPDF
00
D
01/09/2026
Entebbe UPPCUPDF
21
L
29/08/2026
UPDFKataka
00
D
23/05/2026
SC VillaUPDF
21
L
19/05/2026
UPDFCalvary
00
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NECNEC1072119:5+1423WWWLW
2BULBUL972018:6+1223WDWWD
3SC VillaSC Villa1063119:6+1321LWDWW
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1054111:4+719WDDWD
5KCCAKCCA961212:6+619WWWWW
6PolicePolice1043310:13-315DWWDL
7VipersVipers942315:4+1114WLLDW
8URAURA941411:13-213WWWLD
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1041511:15-413LLDWL
10KitaraKitara63307:4+312DWWWD
11MaroonsMaroons932413:11+211LDWDW
12ExpressExpress1025310:11-111WDDDL
13UPDFUPDF92254:8-48LLLLW
14Mbarara CityMbarara City92255:10-58LLWLW
15LugaziLugazi102266:15-98LLLDD
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz81164:13-94WLLLL
17NtugasazeNtugasaze91176:22-164LDLLW
18KatakaKataka1003710:25-153LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NECNEC1019:523
2BULBUL918:623
3SC VillaSC Villa1019:621
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1011:419
5KCCAKCCA912:619
6PolicePolice1010:1315
7VipersVipers915:414
8URAURA911:1313
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1011:1513
10KitaraKitara67:412
11MaroonsMaroons913:1111
12ExpressExpress1010:1111
13UPDFUPDF94:88
14Mbarara CityMbarara City95:108
15LugaziLugazi106:158
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz84:134
17NtugasazeNtugasaze96:224
18KatakaKataka1010:253

About the NEC vs UPDF forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NEC and UPDF in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, NEC are 1st and UPDF 13th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: NEC 19-5, UPDF 4-8. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

NEC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.