Neftchi vs Navbahor Prediction

Neftchi
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Navbahor
Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 28/07/2026
NeftchiNeftchi
1-1
Finished
NavbahorNavbahor

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
Neftchi Rest
7 days
Navbahor Rest
5 days

Neftchi vs Navbahor: the result in context

Neftchi and Navbahor drew 1-1 in the Super League on 28 Jul 2026. Neftchi had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Navbahor.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.61
X
21%3.58
2
10%4.80
Double Chance
1X
90%1.13
X2
31%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.95
No
56%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.29
Over 2.5
38%1.96
Over 3.5
18%3.42
Under 1.5
36%3.10
Under 2.5
62%1.73
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'M. UsmonovAssist: D. Kholmatov
9'J. Iskanderov
11'G. Jgerenaia
32'K. Norchaev
57'I. Yuldoshev
60'A. Odilov INF. Sayfiev out
60'S. Perica INZ. Marusic out
60'Ratinho INV. Jovovic out
60'M. Ubaydullaev INK. Giyosov out
61'M. Usmonov INM. Giyosov out
64'A. Jumaev
64'U. Adkhamzoda
68'I. Alibaev
80'V. Ilic INK. Ruziev out
80'D. Kholmatov INS. Abdurakhmonov out
80'R. Jiyanov IND. Komilov out
83'A. Jumaev INN. Abduganiyev out
87'K. Norchaev INJ. Kojo out
90+4'S. Abdurakhmonov
90+5'B. Teidi
90+7'A. GofurovAssist: J. Iskanderov

Team Comparison

NeftchiNeftchi
NavbahorNavbahor
1661Elo Rating 1638
2.25Attack 1.76
0.86Defense 2.13
34%Hit Rate 69%
13.5Shots per Game -
5.2Shots on Target -
5.6Corners per Game -
1.5Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NeftchiNeftchi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NavbahorNavbahor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NeftchiNeftchi2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
NavbahorNavbahor3Wins · 30%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League16/08/2025
NavbahorNeftchi
01
Cup15/04/2025
NavbahorNeftchi
11
Super League05/04/2025
NeftchiNavbahor
32
Super League20/10/2024
NeftchiNavbahor
22
Super League19/05/2024
NavbahorNeftchi
10
Super League01/12/2023
NavbahorNeftchi
11
Super League25/06/2023
NeftchiNavbahor
00
Super League18/10/2022
NeftchiNavbahor
12
Super League17/05/2022
NavbahorNeftchi
00
Cup18/04/2022
NavbahorNeftchi
20

Recent Form

NeftchiNeftchi
7W1D2L
21/07/2026
SogdianaNeftchi
15
W
16/07/2026
NeftchiBuxoro
21
W
08/07/2026
ZenitNeftchi
41
L
03/05/2026
OlmaliqNeftchi
00
D
29/04/2026
NeftchiKokand-1912
40
W
24/04/2026
XorazmNeftchi
02
W
18/04/2026
NeftchiNasaf
21
W
14/04/2026
BunyodkorNeftchi
01
W
09/04/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
01
L
04/04/2026
QizilqumNeftchi
04
W
NavbahorNavbahor
4W3D3L
23/07/2026
NavbahorQizilqum
11
D
17/07/2026
NavbahorOlmaliq
23
L
04/05/2026
NasafNavbahor
00
D
29/04/2026
BunyodkorNavbahor
21
L
23/04/2026
NavbahorSogdiana
11
D
17/04/2026
LokomotivNavbahor
02
W
12/04/2026
NavbahorSurkhon
20
W
07/04/2026
AndijanNavbahor
01
W
03/04/2026
NavbahorMash'al
21
W
18/03/2026
Kokand-1912Navbahor
21
L

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi26194361:23+3861WWWDW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor27178248:26+2259WWLDW
3NavbahorNavbahor27167446:25+2155WWWDD
4NasafNasaf27129639:24+1545WDWDW
5OlmaliqOlmaliq27136839:35+445LWWWD
6LokomotivLokomotiv27127844:34+1043WLDDW
7BuxoroBuxoro27126938:34+442LDDWW
8Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand271071042:40+237WWDLL
9QizilqumQizilqum271051225:32-735LDDWD
10SurkhonSurkhon277101020:29-931DDDDD
11AndijanAndijan27941431:37-631LLDLL
12SogdianaSogdiana27861344:53-930LDLDL
13XorazmXorazm27681323:38-1526WLLDD
14BunyodkorBunyodkor26821627:43-1626LWDLW
15Kokand-1912Kokand-191227591326:39-1324LDLLW
16Mash'alMash'al27122412:53-415DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2661:2361
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2748:2659
3NavbahorNavbahor2746:2555
4NasafNasaf2739:2445
5OlmaliqOlmaliq2739:3545
6LokomotivLokomotiv2744:3443
7BuxoroBuxoro2738:3442
8Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2742:4037
9QizilqumQizilqum2725:3235
10SurkhonSurkhon2720:2931
11AndijanAndijan2731:3731
12SogdianaSogdiana2744:5330
13XorazmXorazm2723:3826
14BunyodkorBunyodkor2627:4326
15Kokand-1912Kokand-19122726:3924
16Mash'alMash'al2712:535
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Neftchi vs Navbahor forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Neftchi and Navbahor in the Super League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Neftchi are 1st in the Super League, 6 points ahead of Navbahor in 3rd. League goal record so far: Neftchi 61-23, Navbahor 46-25. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.