New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison· L. Hernandez 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.59
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+5.8%
New York Red Bulls Rest
4 days
Nashville SC Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.88
X
28%3.80
2
36%2.20
Double Chance
1X
64%1.62
X2
64%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.45
No
36%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.39 = 2.70
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.53
Over 3.5
35%2.31
Under 1.5
23%5.08
Under 2.5
43%2.42
Under 3.5
65%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.61
Over 9.5
45%2.03
Over 10.5
32%2.62
Under 8.5
45%2.15
Under 9.5
55%1.68
Under 10.5
68%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.5 = 5.2
Over 3.5
70%1.72
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%2.05
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

12'D. Lovitz
58'M. Corcoran
61'C. Cowell INM. Jimenez out
61'E. Forsberg INM. Sofo out
61'D. Lovitz INA. Najar out
62'S. Mohammed INC. Espinoza out
70'M. Corcoran INP. Yazbek out
70'E. Saad INA. Qasem out
80'D. Nealis INJ. Marshall-Rutty out
86'R. Baker-Whiting INJ. Bauer out
88'J. Che INT. Parker out
90+1'J. Bazan
90+2'M. WoledziAssist: C. Espinoza

Lineups

New York Red Bulls
4-3-3
Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Callaghan
Ethan Horvath34E. HorvathEthan Horvath
Dylan Nealis12D. NealisDylan Nealis
Justin Che2J. CheJustin Che
Julián Bazán14J. BazánJulián Bazán
Matthew Dos Santos56M. Dos SantosMatthew Dos Santos
Ronald Donkor48R. DonkorRonald Donkor
Adri Mehmeti15A. MehmetiAdri Mehmeti
Emil Forsberg10E. ForsbergEmil Forsberg
Cade Cowell7C. CowellCade Cowell
Julian Hall16J. HallJulian Hall
Jorge Ruvalcaba11J. RuvalcabaJorge Ruvalcaba
Brian Schwake99B. SchwakeBrian Schwake
Reed Baker-Whiting27R. Baker-WhitingReed Baker-Whiting
Jack Maher5J. MaherJack Maher
Maxwell Woledzi3M. WoledziMaxwell Woledzi
Daniel Lovitz2D. LovitzDaniel Lovitz
Matthew Corcoran16M. CorcoranMatthew Corcoran
Edvard Tagseth20E. TagsethEdvard Tagseth
Shakur Mohammed14S. MohammedShakur Mohammed
Hany Mukhtar10H. MukhtarHany Mukhtar
Elias Saad11E. SaadElias Saad
Sam Surridge9S. SurridgeSam Surridge

New York Red Bulls Substitutes

37Mohammed SofoF
91Mijahir JimenezF
3Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyD
26Tim ParkerD
77John McCarthyG
5Omar ValenciaD
39Nehuen BenedettiM
17Cameron HarperF
13Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingF

Nashville SC Substitutes

31Andy NajarD
7Cristian EspinozaF
37Ahmed QasemF
8Patrick YazbekM
22Josh BauerD
1Joe WillisG
4Jeisson PalaciosD
19Alex MuylM
6Bryan AcostaM

Match Stats

New York Red BullsNashville SC
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots3
4Fouls12
0Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves1
483Total Passes395
407Passes Accurate323
84%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Nashville SCNashville SC
1529Elo Rating 1746
0.64Attack 1.85
2.19Defense 1.72
50%Hit Rate 31%
10.5Shots per Game 14.9
2.8Shots on Target 4.3
4.9Corners per Game 5.3
2.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

New York Red Bulls 37%Draw 36%27% Nashville SC
1.41Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

L. Hernandez · 16 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
24.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Nashville SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.41 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.