Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic Prediction

Nicaragua National Football Stadium, Managua 05/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Nicaragua Rest
3 days
Dominican Republic Rest
3 days

Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic: result, form and history

Dominican Republic beat Nicaragua 2-1 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 5 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Dominican Republic had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Nicaragua.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%4.40
X
22%4.15
2
55%1.62
Double Chance
1X
45%2.13
X2
77%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.57
No
45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.34 = 2.57
Over 1.5
78%1.14
Over 2.5
57%1.54
Over 3.5
38%2.30
Under 1.5
22%4.80
Under 2.5
43%2.33
Under 3.5
62%1.54
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Luiyi de LucasArgument
5'Edgar Climent Pujol PortorrealFoul
45'Juan Familia-Castillo INLucas Bretón Salcedo out
48'Ramon EstradaFoul
53'Jaime MorenoAssist: widman talavera
58'Heinz Mörschel(Penalty)
63'Raheem ColeFoul
65'Raheem Cole INEfraín Mejía out
66'Lucas Bretón Salcedo
73'Ramon Estrada INJonathan Moncada out
73'widman talavera INJorge García Hurtado out
78'Jeremy baezFoul
79'Juan pineda INJavier Roces Quesada out
84'Luiyi de Lucas INBrian López out
84'Daniel flores INYordy Álvarez out
85'Emmanuel Gómez INOscar Acevedo out
85'Osmin Salinas INJacob Christian Montes out
88'Oscar AcevedoFoul
90'Peter Federico González CarmonaFoul
90+2'Heinz Mörschel INAnyelo Gomez out

Lineups

Nicaragua
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Real
Dominican Republic
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Neveleff
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating6.46
B. Mayorga5.91B. Mayorga
J. Cano6.15J. Cano
M. Fletes6.74M. Fletes
C. Reyes6.621C. Reyes
E. Gomez6.16E. Gomez
2222R. Estrada
O. Salinas6.617O. Salinas
R. Cole5.816R. Cole
W. Talavera6.713W. Talavera
B. Bonilla6.310B. Bonilla
J. Moreno7.69J. Moreno
X. Valdez6.21X. Valdez
J. Baez6.22J. Baez
Edgar Pujol6.74E. Pujol
L. de Lucas6.123L. de Lucas
N. Dollenmayer6.95N. Dollenmayer
D. Flores6.516D. Flores
Jean Carlos López Moscoso6.614J. Carlos López Moscoso
Peter6.019Peter
H. Mörschel7.08H. Mörschel
Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo5.821J. Carlos Familia-Castillo
J. Pineda6.57J. Pineda

Nicaragua Substitutes

18Amadeus Zamora
20J. Moncada73'replaced by Ramon Estrada5.6
3Ó. Acevedo85'for Emmanuel Gómez88'5.8
11O. Bello
7J. Garcia73'for widman talavera6.3
2Joab Gutierrez
8J. Montes85'for Osmin Salinas6.0
19Efraín Mejía65'replaced by Raheem Cole
23Jason Alonso Vega Carmona
14O. Orozco
12H. Ibarra
15M. Hernández

Dominican Republic Substitutes

15B. López84'for Luiyi de Lucas6.4
18maximiliano jerez
11Anyelo Gómez90+2'for Heinz Mörschel
12E. Frias
22P. Espinal
20Lucas Bretón Salcedo45'for Juan Familia-Castillo66'7.5
13Yordy Álvarez84'for Daniel flores6.3
10Javier Roces Quesada79'replaced by Juan pineda

Match Stats

NicaraguaDominican Republic
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots10
1Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots1
13Fouls12
423Total Passes324
354Passes Accurate286
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NicaraguaNicaragua
Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
1385Elo Rating 1504
0.80Attack 1.65
0.00Defense 1.29
0%Hit Rate 63%
8.0Shots per Game 14.7
1.3Shots on Target 4.7
4.2Corners per Game 4.5
2.8Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NicaraguaNicaragua
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NicaraguaNicaragua1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
Dominican RepublicDominican Republic1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

CONCACAF Nations League25/09/2026
Dominican RepublicNicaragua
32
CONCACAF Nations League22/11/2023
NicaraguaDominican Republic
00
CONCACAF Nations League09/09/2023
Dominican RepublicNicaragua
02

Recent Form

NicaraguaNicaragua
1W1D8L
02/10/2026
NicaraguaCosta Rica
03
L
28/09/2026
CuraçaoNicaragua
61
L
25/09/2026
Dominican RepublicNicaragua
32
L
06/06/2026
ParaguayNicaragua
40
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
19/11/2025
HaitiNicaragua
20
L
14/11/2025
NicaraguaHonduras
20
W
14/10/2025
Costa RicaNicaragua
41
L
10/10/2025
NicaraguaHaiti
03
L
10/09/2025
HondurasNicaragua
20
L
Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
4W1D5L
02/10/2026
Dominican RepublicHaiti
14
L
28/09/2026
Trinidad and TobagoDominican Republic
12
W
25/09/2026
Dominican RepublicNicaragua
32
W
04/06/2026
PanamaDominican Republic
42
L
23/06/2025
Dominican RepublicSuriname
00
D
19/06/2025
Costa RicaDominican Republic
21
L
15/06/2025
MexicoDominican Republic
32
L
11/06/2025
Dominican RepublicDominica
50
W
07/06/2025
GuatemalaDominican Republic
42
L
20/11/2024
Dominican RepublicBermuda
61
W

About the Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.