Nigeria vs Tanzania Prediction

Nigeria
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Tanzania
Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo·Jean-Jacques Ndala 13/11/2026
NigeriaNigeria
3-1
Finished
TanzaniaTanzania

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.18
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-8.5%
Nigeria Rest
38 days
Tanzania Rest
45 days

Nigeria vs Tanzania: the result in context

Nigeria beat Tanzania 3-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 13 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.18
X
17%6.18
2
8%14.50
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
25%4.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Alhassan YusufAssist: Ademola Lookman
12'Alhassan YusufFoul
32'Alphonce MsangaAssist: Novatus Miroshi
45'Alhassan Yusuf INMoses Usor out
45'Tochukwu Nnadi INTolu Arokodare out
45+3'Ademola Lookman INMoses Simon out
52'Tolu ArokodareAssist: Wilfred Ndidi
56'Ibrahim Hamad INCharles M'Mombwa out
60'Tolu ArokodareAssist: Moses Usor
66'Denis Kibu INSimon Msuva out
66'Cyprian Kachwele INIddi Selemani Khamis out
67'Himid Mao Mkami INShekhani Ibrahim Khamis out
78'Akor Adams INFisayo Dele-Bashiru out
85'Anthony Richard Mlingo INAbdul Hamisi Suleiman out
90+3'Ola Aina INSemi Ajayi out

Lineups

Nigeria
4-4-2Coach: Éric Chelle
Tanzania
4-4-2Coach: M. Gamondi
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.36
S. Nwabali6.523S. Nwabali
A. Bewene7.220A. Bewene
B. Fredrick6.85B. Fredrick
C. Bassey7.021C. Bassey
O. Aina6.72O. Aina
A. Yusuf7.814A. Yusuf
A. Iwobi6.517A. Iwobi
W. Ndidi7.64W. Ndidi
T. Nnadi6.618T. Nnadi
A. Lookman7.47A. Lookman
A. Adams6.422A. Adams
A. Manula6.613A. Manula
H. Mnoga5.82H. Mnoga
B. Mwamnyeto6.124B. Mwamnyeto
I. Hamad6.54I. Hamad
1515A. Richard Mlingo
N. Chilambo6.722N. Chilambo
A. Msanga7.017A. Msanga
H. Mao6.07H. Mao
N. Dismas7.320N. Dismas
1111D. Kibu
Cyprian Kachwele6.421C. Kachwele

Nigeria Substitutes

12B. Osayi-Samuel
15M. Simon45+3'for Ademola Lookman6.9
8S. Tijani
11M. Usor45'for Alhassan Yusuf7.7
1F. Uzoho
6S. Ajayi90+3'for Ola Aina
9T. Arokodare45'for Tochukwu Nnadi52'60'8.7
19T. Awoniyi
10F. Dele-Bashiru78'for Akor Adams6.3
13C. Nwaiwu
16A. Okonkwo
3S. Onyemaechi

Tanzania Substitutes

9Abdul Hamisi Suleiman85'replaced by Anthony Richard Mlingo
23Iddi Selemani Khamis66'replaced by Cyprian Kachwele
12Simon Happygod Msuva66'replaced by Denis Kibu6.6
8C. M'Mombwa56'for Ibrahim Hamad6.2
16Shekhani Ibrahim Khamis67'replaced by Himid Mao Mkami
28Z. Foba
19S. Mwalimu
3Evastus Lukanima

Match Stats

NigeriaTanzania
68%Ball Possession32%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
12Fouls14
3Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves4
543Total Passes260
468Passes Accurate204
13Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

NigeriaNigeria
TanzaniaTanzania
1683Elo Rating 1490
1.56Attack 0.77
2.59Defense 1.32
58%Hit Rate 0%
9.9Shots per Game 7.7
4.7Shots on Target 1.7
3.8Corners per Game 2.5
2.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+192 Elo
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NigeriaNigeria
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
TanzaniaTanzania
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

NigeriaNigeria1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
TanzaniaTanzania0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Africa Cup of Nations23/12/2025
NigeriaTanzania
21

Recent Form

NigeriaNigeria
5W2D3L
06/10/2026
RussiaNigeria
33
D
29/09/2026
Guinea-BissauNigeria
30
L
25/09/2026
NigeriaMadagascar
21
W
10/06/2026
PortugalNigeria
21
L
03/06/2026
PolandNigeria
22
D
26/05/2026
NigeriaZimbabwe
20
W
17/01/2026
EgyptNigeria
2040
W
14/01/2026
NigeriaMorocco
2040
L
10/01/2026
AlgeriaNigeria
02
W
05/01/2026
NigeriaMozambique
40
W
TanzaniaTanzania
0W4D6L
29/09/2026
MadagascarTanzania
11
D
25/09/2026
TanzaniaGuinea-Bissau
02
L
04/01/2026
MoroccoTanzania
10
L
30/12/2025
TanzaniaTunisia
11
D
27/12/2025
UgandaTanzania
11
D
23/12/2025
NigeriaTanzania
21
L
08/10/2025
TanzaniaZambia
01
L
09/09/2025
TanzaniaNiger
01
L
05/09/2025
CongoTanzania
11
D
22/08/2025
TanzaniaMorocco
01
L

Referee Profile

Jean-Jacques Ndala60 matches

3.72Cards per match
3.62Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jean-Jacques Ndala3.71
Other referees3.70

3.71 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.70).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Guinea-BissauGuinea-Bissau32106:1+57DWW
2NigeriaNigeria32015:506WLW
3MadagascarMadagascar30213:4-12DDL
4TanzaniaTanzania30122:6-41LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Guinea-BissauGuinea-Bissau36:17
2NigeriaNigeria35:56
3MadagascarMadagascar33:42
4TanzaniaTanzania32:61
Promotion

About the Nigeria vs Tanzania forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Nigeria and Tanzania in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Nigeria are 2nd in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, 5 points ahead of Tanzania in 4th. League goal record so far: Nigeria 5-5, Tanzania 2-6. The full standings are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nigeria and Tanzania have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.