South Africa vs Kenya Prediction

South Africa
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Kenya
Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg 13/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
South Africa Rest
39 days
Kenya Rest
43 days

South Africa vs Kenya: the result in context

South Africa and Kenya drew 2-2 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 13 Nov 2026. South Africa had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Kenya.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.25
X
16%5.13
2
7%12.35
Double Chance
1X
93%1.03
X2
23%3.68
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Amos WanjalaOG
44'Michael Olunga(Penalty)
45'Adam Wilson INAlpha Chris Onyango out
45'Elvin Tera INS. Wilson out
57'Iqraam Rayners INLyle Foster out
57'Tshepang Moremi INPuso Dithejane out
72'Michael Olunga INMicah Obiero out
77'Relebohile MofokengAssist: Lyle Foster
81'Job Ochieng INRyan Ogam out
81'William Wilson INErick Otieno out
83'Oswin Appollis INTashreeq Matthews out
84'Teboho Mokoena INBathusi Aubaas out
90'Ryan OgamAssist: Frank Odhiambo
90+2'Relebohile Mofokeng INCassius Mailula out

Lineups

South Africa
4-2-3-1Coach: Pitso Mosimane
Kenya
4-4-2Coach: Benni McCarthy
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.47
R. Williams6.11R. Williams
T. Matuludi6.72T. Matuludi
I. Okon6.621I. Okon
O. Makhanya6.924O. Makhanya
A. Modiba6.46A. Modiba
S. Sithole6.313S. Sithole
T. Mokoena6.74T. Mokoena
T. Moremi5.98T. Moremi
R. Mofokeng7.010R. Mofokeng
O. Appollis6.57O. Appollis
I. Rayners6.012I. Rayners
2323B. Odhiambo
R. Onyango6.316R. Onyango
F. Odhiambo6.65F. Odhiambo
44S. Owino Chino
33O. Khamis
A. Wilson6.010A. Wilson
A. Wanjala5.512A. Wanjala
A. Tera6.020A. Tera
J. Ochieng6.519J. Ochieng
W. Wilson6.411W. Wilson
M. Olunga7.014M. Olunga

South Africa Substitutes

16S. Chaine
11P. Dithejane57'for Tshepang Moremi6.9
9L. Foster57'for Iqraam Rayners6.8
22R. Goss
18S. Kabini
19C. Mailula90+2'for Relebohile Mofokeng
25T. Matthews83'for Oswin Appollis6.6
5T. Mbatha
14M. Mbokazi
23T. Morena
17L. Singh
15B. Aubaas84'for Teboho Mokoena6.0

Kenya Substitutes

7mohammed bajaber
24V. Harper
22M. Obiero72'for Michael Olunga6.6
9H. Ochieng
15R. Ogam81'for Job Ochieng90'8.1
18B. Bwire
17Ben Stanley Omondi
21S. Wilson45'for Elvin Tera6.2
8Alpha Chris Onyango45'replaced by Adam Wilson
13E. Otieno81'for William Wilson5.9
1Farouk Shikalo
2H. Wesonga

Match Stats

South AfricaKenya
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks4
11Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots1
17Fouls15
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
499Total Passes304
421Passes Accurate232
14Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

South AfricaSouth Africa
KenyaKenya
1609Elo Rating 1430
1.30Attack 0.85
1.90Defense 1.22
39%Hit Rate 17%
13.7Shots per Game 7.7
3.9Shots on Target 3.1
4.1Corners per Game 3.1
0.9Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+179 Elo

Game State Tendencies

South AfricaSouth Africa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
KenyaKenya
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Recent Form

South AfricaSouth Africa
5W2D3L
04/10/2026
EgyptSouth Africa
01
W
30/09/2026
EritreaSouth Africa
05
W
26/09/2026
South AfricaGuinea
21
W
28/06/2026
South AfricaCanada
01
L
25/06/2026
South AfricaSouth Korea
10
W
18/06/2026
CzechiaSouth Africa
11
D
11/06/2026
MexicoSouth Africa
20
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
04/01/2026
South AfricaCameroon
12
L
29/12/2025
ZimbabweSouth Africa
23
W
KenyaKenya
4W2D4L
01/10/2026
GuineaKenya
10
L
26/09/2026
KenyaEritrea
11
D
07/06/2026
KenyaLesotho
40
W
04/06/2026
LesothoKenya
11
D
14/10/2025
Ivory CoastKenya
30
L
09/10/2025
BurundiKenya
01
W
09/09/2025
KenyaSeychelles
50
W
05/09/2025
KenyaGambia
13
L
22/08/2025
KenyaMadagascar
3141
L
17/08/2025
ZambiaKenya
01
W

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South AfricaSouth Africa32109:3+67DWW
2GuineaGuinea32014:3+16WWL
3KenyaKenya30213:4-12DLD
4EritreaEritrea30122:8-61DWW
#TeamMPGPts
1South AfricaSouth Africa39:37
2GuineaGuinea34:36
3KenyaKenya33:42
4EritreaEritrea32:81
Promotion

About the South Africa vs Kenya forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

South Africa and Kenya in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: South Africa are 1st in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, 5 points ahead of Kenya in 3rd. League goal record so far: South Africa 9-3, Kenya 3-4. The full standings are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

South Africa and Kenya have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.