Ivory Coast vs Gambia Prediction

Ivory Coast
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Gambia
Stade de la Paix, Bouake·Abdou Abdel Mefire 12/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalHIGHModel80%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Ivory Coast Rest
40 days
Gambia Rest
44 days

Ivory Coast vs Gambia: result, form and history

Ivory Coast beat Gambia 2-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 12 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ivory Coast tend to win more corners, 7.9 a game to 1.5 for Gambia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.20
X
17%5.72
2
8%12.00
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
25%4.10
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Malick YalcouyéAssist: Nicolas Pépé
24'Sepe Elye WahiAssist: Yan Diomande
38'Musa BarrowAssist: Alagie Saine
45'Ebrima Colley INYankuba Minteh out
45+3'Amad DialloTime wasting
63'Mahmudu Bajo INAbubakr Barry out
63'Muhammed Badammosi INAbdoulie Ceesay out
70'Nicolas Pépé INKassoum Ouattara out
70'Sepe Elye Wahi INOumar Diakité out
70'Hassane Kamara INFranck Kessié out
76'Joseph Ceesay INAbdoulie Sanyang out
81'Amad Diallo INMartial Godo out
83'Ebou Adams INKaramba Gassama out
87'Ibrahim SangaréFoul
90+2'Malick Yalcouyé INEmmanuel Agbadou out

Lineups

Ivory Coast
4-3-3Coach: H. Renard
Gambia
5-4-1Coach: Johnny McKinstry
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.30
Y. Fofana6.91Y. Fofana
L. Zogbe6.717L. Zogbe
O. Diomande6.72O. Diomande
E. Ndicka6.521E. Ndicka
H. Kamara7.07H. Kamara
A. Diallo6.815A. Diallo
I. Sangaré7.118I. Sangaré
M. Yalcouyé8.213M. Yalcouyé
N. Pépé7.219N. Pépé
E. Wahi7.912E. Wahi
Y. Diomande7.610Y. Diomande
B. Gaye6.418B. Gaye
J. Ceesay5.415J. Ceesay
A. Saine6.74A. Saine
O. Colley6.85O. Colley
Y. Bojang6.66Y. Bojang
I. Touray5.813I. Touray
E. Colley6.019E. Colley
M. Bajo6.12M. Bajo
E. Adams5.98E. Adams
M. Barrow7.510M. Barrow
M. Badamosi6.423M. Badamosi

Ivory Coast Substitutes

14O. Diakité70'for Sepe Elye Wahi6.9
9Y. Fofana
11M. Godo81'for Amad Diallo6.4
4C. Inao Oulaï
8F. Kessié70'for Hassane Kamara6.4
16M. Koné
23A. Lafont
22K. Ouattara70'for Nicolas Pépé6.3
5A. Ouattara
3A. Kanté
24B. Touré
6E. Zabi
20E. Agbadou90+2'for Malick Yalcouyé

Gambia Substitutes

20A. Bojang
25A. Barry63'for Mahmudu Bajo6.1
21Abdoulie Ceesay63'for Muhammed Badammosi6.3
24J. Colley
17Karamba Gassama83'replaced by Ebou Adams
1E. Jarju
14A. Manneh
7Y. Minteh45'for Ebrima Colley6.5
11A. Sanyang76'for Joseph Ceesay6.3
3S. Sanyang
22S. Sibi
12S. Sinyan

Match Stats

Ivory CoastGambia
63%Ball Possession37%
12Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards0
21Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots2
13Fouls14
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
498Total Passes284
452Passes Accurate222
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Ivory CoastIvory Coast
GambiaGambia
1683Elo Rating 1514
1.66Attack 2.87
2.33Defense 1.31
66%Hit Rate 81%
14.1Shots per Game 9.4
4.1Shots on Target 4.5
7.9Corners per Game 1.5
1.0Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+169 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Ivory CoastIvory Coast
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
GambiaGambia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Ivory CoastIvory Coast2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
GambiaGambia0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

World Cup - Qualification Africa24/03/2025
Ivory CoastGambia
10
World Cup - Qualification Africa20/11/2023
GambiaIvory Coast
02

Recent Form

Ivory CoastIvory Coast
6W0D4L
03/10/2026
Ivory CoastCameroon
01
L
29/09/2026
SomaliaIvory Coast
02
W
24/09/2026
Ivory CoastGhana
20
W
30/06/2026
Ivory CoastNorway
12
L
25/06/2026
CuraçaoIvory Coast
02
W
20/06/2026
GermanyIvory Coast
21
L
15/06/2026
Ivory CoastEcuador
10
W
09/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IIIvory Coast
02
W
04/06/2026
FranceIvory Coast
12
W
10/01/2026
EgyptIvory Coast
32
L
GambiaGambia
5W1D4L
29/09/2026
GhanaGambia
24
W
25/09/2026
GambiaSomalia
21
W
29/05/2026
IranGambia
31
L
14/10/2025
SeychellesGambia
07
W
10/10/2025
GambiaGabon
34
L
09/09/2025
GambiaBurundi
20
W
05/09/2025
KenyaGambia
13
W
09/05/2025
AlgeriaGambia
30
L
03/05/2025
GambiaAlgeria
00
D
24/03/2025
Ivory CoastGambia
10
L

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ivory CoastIvory Coast33006:1+59WWW
2GambiaGambia32017:5+26LWW
3GhanaGhana31024:6-23WLL
4SomaliaSomalia30031:6-50LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ivory CoastIvory Coast36:19
2GambiaGambia37:56
3GhanaGhana34:63
4SomaliaSomalia31:60
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About the Ivory Coast vs Gambia forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Ivory Coast and Gambia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ivory Coast are 1st in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, 3 points ahead of Gambia in 2nd. League goal record so far: Ivory Coast 6-1, Gambia 7-5. The full standings are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ivory Coast have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Gambia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ivory Coast and Gambia have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.