North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II Prediction

North Texas
0-0
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 4-3
Houston Dynamo FC II
Choctaw Stadium 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
North Texas Rest
3 days
Houston Dynamo FC II Rest
3 days

North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II: result, form and history

North Texas beat Houston Dynamo FC II on penalties (4-3) after a 0-0 draw in the MLS Next Pro on 14 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: North Texas had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Houston Dynamo FC II.

Houston Dynamo FC II have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.50
X
21%3.60
2
32%2.30
Double Chance
1X
68%1.50
X2
53%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.40
No
36%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.47 = 3.20
Over 1.5
86%1.11
Over 2.5
66%1.47
Over 3.5
44%2.16
Under 1.5
14%5.15
Under 2.5
34%2.43
Under 3.5
56%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'N. Simmonds(Penalty missed)
24'S. Starnes
46'Gustavo Dohmann ING. Rivera out
63'J. Bell INT. Cottle out
67'R. Louis INU. Pela out
69'S. Mohammad
74'A. Brummett INK. Walsh out
74'S. Mohammad INAlan out
75'V. Silva
82'V. Silva INVitor Andre out
90+3'E. Nys INM. Luccin out
90+3'D. Garcia INI. Charles out

Penalty Shootout4 - 3

1G. Rivera(Penalty)
1N. Simmonds(Penalty)
2Vitor Andre(Penalty)
2M. Luccin(Penalty)
3K. Walsh(Penalty)
3U. Pela(Penalty)
4D. Herrera(Penalty missed)
4I. Charles(Penalty)
5N. Betancourt(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

North TexasNorth Texas
Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II
1449Elo Rating 1481
1.46Attack 1.49
1.57Defense 1.16
17%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

North TexasNorth Texas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

North TexasNorth Texas3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II6Wins · 60%
3.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro10/09/2026
North TexasHouston Dynamo FC II
23
MLS Next Pro21/03/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IINorth Texas
20
MLS Next Pro14/07/2025
Houston Dynamo FC IINorth Texas
30
MLS Next Pro19/05/2025
North TexasHouston Dynamo FC II
21
MLS Next Pro24/03/2025
Houston Dynamo FC IINorth Texas
51
MLS Next Pro18/08/2024
North TexasHouston Dynamo FC II
41
MLS Next Pro22/07/2024
Houston Dynamo FC IINorth Texas
40
MLS Next Pro29/04/2024
North TexasHouston Dynamo FC II
5242
MLS Next Pro18/09/2023
Houston Dynamo FC IINorth Texas
13
MLS Next Pro17/07/2023
Houston Dynamo FC IINorth Texas
21

Recent Form

North TexasNorth Texas
6W0D4L
10/09/2026
North TexasHouston Dynamo FC II
23
L
05/09/2026
North TexasReal Monarchs
41
W
29/08/2026
St. Louis City IINorth Texas
7181
W
23/08/2026
North TexasMinnesota United II
5141
W
20/08/2026
North TexasAustin II
3010
W
16/08/2026
North TexasPortland Timbers II
03
L
09/08/2026
North TexasTacoma Defiance
31
W
01/08/2026
Ventura CountyNorth Texas
61
L
26/07/2026
North TexasLos Angeles FC II
1242
L
19/07/2026
The TownNorth Texas
01
W
Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II
5W0D5L
10/09/2026
North TexasHouston Dynamo FC II
23
W
05/09/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIAustin II
02
L
31/08/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIMinnesota United II
02
L
24/08/2026
St. Louis City IIHouston Dynamo FC II
1232
W
20/08/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIThe Town
3151
L
15/08/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIVentura County
02
L
09/08/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIReal Monarchs
30
W
01/08/2026
Sporting KC IIHouston Dynamo FC II
32
L
27/07/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIAustin II
5141
W
19/07/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIColorado Rapids II
21
W

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Frontier Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
5North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
5North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221

Eastern Conference — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
3Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
8The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
10North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
3Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
8The TownThe Town2851:3642
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
10North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221
Promotion

About the North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

North Texas and Houston Dynamo FC II in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, Houston Dynamo FC II are 2nd and North Texas 5th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: North Texas 42-41, Houston Dynamo FC II 53-33. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.