Birmingham vs Brentford Prediction

Birmingham
1-6
Finished
HT 1-3
Brentford
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham· Tim Robinson, England 25/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalSOLIDModel62%RiskMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.78
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+7.6%
Birmingham Rest
3 days
Brentford Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%4.38
X
18%3.84
2
61%1.78
Double Chance
1X
39%2.00
X2
79%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.63
No
49%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.92 + 1.53 = 2.45
Over 1.5
83%1.21
Over 2.5
47%1.69
Over 3.5
28%2.65
Under 1.5
17%4.15
Under 2.5
53%2.13
Under 3.5
72%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'C. WilsonAssist: Y. Yarmolyuk
26'J. SchusterFoul
28'D. GrayAssist: Paik Seung-Ho
35'A. Hickey
37'J. E. Solis RomeroFoul
40'N. CollinsAssist: J. Anthony
46'D. Ouattara INK. Schade out
48'Y. Yarmolyuk INM. Sangare out
55'B. Osayi-SamuelFoul
61'K. Fujimoto INJ. Stansfield out
61'L. Vazquez INA. Priske out
61'K. Lund INA. Cochrane out
62'C. Wilson INI. Thiago out
70'M. DamsgaardAssist: J. Anthony
71'R. Henry INK. Lewis-Potter out
71'V. Janelt INM. Kayode out
73'I. ThiagoAssist: J. Anthony
75'D. Gray INP. Neumann out
77'N. CollinsAssist: M. Sangare
83'Paik Seung-Ho INT. Iwata out

Lineups

Birmingham
4-2-3-1Coach: Chris Davies
Brentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith Andrews
Ryan Allsop21R. AllsopRyan Allsop
Bright Osayi-Samuel26B. Osayi-SamuelBright Osayi-Samuel
Dael Fry23D. FryDael Fry
Christoph Klarer4C. KlarerChristoph Klarer
Kristoffer Lund25K. LundKristoffer Lund
Jhon Solís14J. SolísJhon Solís
Seung Ho Paik8S. Ho PaikSeung Ho Paik
Carlos Vicente7C. VicenteCarlos Vicente
Kanya Fujimoto27K. FujimotoKanya Fujimoto
Demarai Gray10D. GrayDemarai Gray
Luis Vázquez32L. VázquezLuis Vázquez
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson12H. Rafn ValdimarssonHákon Rafn Valdimarsson
Aaron Hickey2A. HickeyAaron Hickey
Jannik Schuster44J. SchusterJannik Schuster
Nathan Collins22N. CollinsNathan Collins
Rico Henry3R. HenryRico Henry
Yehor Yarmoliuk6Y. YarmoliukYehor Yarmoliuk
Vitaly Janelt27V. JaneltVitaly Janelt
Dango Ouattara11D. OuattaraDango Ouattara
Mikkel Damsgaard24M. DamsgaardMikkel Damsgaard
Jaidon Anthony19J. AnthonyJaidon Anthony
Callum Wilson13C. WilsonCallum Wilson

Birmingham Substitutes

20Alex CochraneD
9August PriskeF
28Jay StansfieldF
5Phil NeumannD
24Tomoki IwataM
1James BeadleG
2Ethan LairdD
16Patrick RobertsM
33Marvin DuckschF

Brentford Substitutes

18Mamadou SangareM
7Kevin SchadeM
9Igor ThiagoF
33Michael KayodeD
23Keane Lewis-PotterF
1Caoimhin KelleherG
20Kristoffer AjerD
8Mathias JensenM
14Fabio CarvalhoM

Match Stats

BirminghamBrentford
31%Ball Possession69%
4Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots17
2Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box13
6Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
238Total Passes521
155Passes Accurate435
65%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

BirminghamBirmingham
BrentfordBrentford
1661Elo Rating 1856
1.61Attack 2.38
1.58Defense 1.87
41%Hit Rate 31%
15.1Shots per Game 15.1
6.0Shots on Target 4.3
6.1Corners per Game 4.1
2.0Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BirminghamBirmingham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BrentfordBrentford
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Birmingham 46%Draw 54%0% Brentford
0.46Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BirminghamBirmingham
3W2D0L
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D
15/08/2026
Sheffield UtdBirmingham
00
D
08/08/2026
SwanseaBirmingham
01
W
31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
3222
W
25/07/2026
CreweBirmingham
12
W
BrentfordBrentford
3W2D0L
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
W
15/08/2026
BrentfordEintracht Frankfurt
70
W
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
W
24/05/2026
LiverpoolBrentford
11
D
17/05/2026
BrentfordCrystal Palace
22
D

Referee Profile

Tim Robinson, England · 3 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
22.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Birmingham vs Brentford Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Brentford have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Birmingham and Brentford have met 2 times recently, averaging 0.46 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.