O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors Prediction

O'Higgins
1-0
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 3-4
Boca Juniors
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua·W. Roldan 31/07/2026
O'HigginsO'Higgins
1-0
After Penalties
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
O'Higgins Rest
4 days
Boca Juniors Rest
4 days

O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors: result, form and history

Boca Juniors beat O'Higgins on penalties (4-3) after a 1-0 draw in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 31 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%4.20
X
29%3.25
2
46%1.95
Double Chance
1X
55%1.83
X2
75%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.04
No
57%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.06 = 2.16
Over 1.5
69%1.42
Over 2.5
37%2.35
Over 3.5
18%4.36
Under 1.5
31%2.77
Under 2.5
63%1.59
Under 3.5
82%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 3.6 = 8.2
Over 8.5
57%1.67
Over 9.5
44%2.05
Over 10.5
33%2.62
Under 8.5
43%2.10
Under 9.5
56%1.69
Under 10.5
67%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.3
Over 3.5
75%1.17
Over 4.5
62%1.42
Under 3.5
25%3.70
Under 4.5
38%2.47

Match Events

45+3'Ayrton Enrique Costa
57'Sebastián Villa INLeonel Benjamín Flores out
63'Bryan Rabello INBastián Yáñez out
65'Leandro LozanoFoul
68'Jorge Nicolás FigalFoul
69'Leandro ParedesDissent
72'Francisco González
78'Martín Sarrafiore INThiago Vecino out
78'Juan Leiva INTomas Avilés out
80'Leonel Benjamín FloresFoul
83'Tomas AvilésFoul
90+2'Felipe FaundezFoul

Extra Time0 - 0

97'Omar Carabali

Penalty Shootout3 - 4

1Francisco González(Penalty)
1Leandro Paredes(Penalty)
2Arnaldo Castillo(Penalty)
2Miguel Merentiel(Penalty)
3Thiago Vecino(Penalty missed)
3Jorge Nicolás Figal(Penalty)
4Luis Pavez(Penalty missed)
4Tomás Aranda(Penalty missed)
5Miguel Brizuela(Penalty)
5Lautaro Blanco(Penalty)

Lineups

O'Higgins
4-2-3-1Coach: Lucas Bovaglio
Boca Juniors
4-1-4-1Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating6.53
Omar Carabalí7.031O. Carabalí
Felipe Faúndez3F. Faúndez
Alan Robledo7.522A. Robledo
Miguel Brizuela7.633M. Brizuela
Luis Pavez Muñoz7.76L. Pavez Muñoz
Juan Leiva6.911J. Leiva
Felipe Ogaz7.18F. Ogaz
Francisco González8.224F. González
Bryan Rabello6.610B. Rabello
Martín Sarrafiore6.67M. Sarrafiore
Arnaldo Castillo6.29A. Castillo
Álvaro Montero6.71Á. Montero
Leandro Lozano6.217L. Lozano
Nicolás Figal6.04N. Figal
Ayrton Costa32A. Costa
Lautaro Blanco6.33L. Blanco
Leandro Paredes7.25L. Paredes
Sebastián Villa6.522S. Villa
Santiago Ascacíbar6.725S. Ascacíbar
Milton Delgado6.818M. Delgado
Tomás Aranda10T. Aranda
Miguel Merentiel6.316M. Merentiel

O'Higgins Substitutes

29Bastián Yáñez63'for Bryan Rabello6.5
17Tomás Avilés78'for Juan Leiva83'6.7
32Thiago Vecino78'for Martín Sarrafiore6.5
1Jorge Peña
21Nicolás Garrido
20Leandro Díaz
27José Movillo
2Cristian Morales
14Martín Maturana
30Joaquín Tapia
26Rodrigo Godoy
18Esteban Moreira

Boca Juniors Substitutes

19Leonel Flores57'for Sebastián Villa80'
12Leandro Brey
24Dylan Gorosito
2Lautaro Di Lollo
26Marco Pellegrino
20Alan Velasco
27Malcom Braida
15Williams Alarcón
23Camilo Rey Domenech
21Kevin Zenón
11Ángel Romero
9Milton Giménez

Match Stats

O'HigginsBoca Juniors
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box9
4Blocked Shots5
14Fouls9
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
448Total Passes468
358Passes Accurate384
80%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

O'HigginsO'Higgins
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
1597Elo Rating 1837
0.97Attack 1.41
2.38Defense 2.50
58%Hit Rate 86%
17.3Shots per Game 12.7
4.1Shots on Target 4.2
5.3Corners per Game 6.5
2.1Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

O'HigginsO'Higgins
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

O'HigginsO'Higgins0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
4W1D5L
27/07/2026
Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors
30
L
24/07/2026
Boca JuniorsO'Higgins
10
W
17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
02
W
09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
10
W
29/05/2026
Boca JuniorsU. Catolica
01
L
20/05/2026
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
11
D
10/05/2026
Boca JuniorsHuracan
2131
L
06/05/2026
Barcelona SCBoca Juniors
10
L
02/05/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoBoca Juniors
12
W
29/04/2026
CruzeiroBoca Juniors
10
L

Referee Profile

W. Roldan321 matches

5.42Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

W. Roldan5.42
Other referees5.53

5.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).

Cards come from 293 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sao PauloSao Paulo63306:1+512WDDDW
2O'HigginsO'Higgins63128:6+210WLDWL
3MillonariosMillonarios62227:708LDWDW
4Boston RiverBoston River61055:12-73LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sao PauloSao Paulo66:112
2O'HigginsO'Higgins68:610
3MillonariosMillonarios67:78
4Boston RiverBoston River65:123
Promotion

About the O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

O'Higgins and Boca Juniors have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.