Oldham vs Chesterfield Prediction

Oldham
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
Boundary Park, Oldham 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Oldham Rest
7 days
Chesterfield Rest
7 days

Oldham vs Chesterfield: result, form and history

Chesterfield beat Oldham 2-1 in the League Two on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Chesterfield tend to win more corners, 9.1 a game to 3.8 for Oldham.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.10
X
28%3.34
2
29%3.30
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
57%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.18 = 2.58
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.85
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
47%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.57
Over 9.5
54%1.95
Over 10.5
41%2.40
Under 8.5
37%2.27
Under 9.5
46%1.80
Under 10.5
59%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
56%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
44%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

18'Lee Bonis(Penalty missed)
18'Lee Bonis
28'Oliver NorburnFoul
30'Remeao HuttonFoul
37'Kyle McFadzeanFoul
50'Favour fawunmiAssist: Jamie Robson
52'Dilan MarkandayAssist: Josh Koroma
55'Ryan DelaneyFoul
57'Favour fawunmi INNoah Chilvers out
57'Ryan Delaney INEmmanuel Monthe out
61'Ryan Stirk INTom Naylor out
66'Oliver Norburn INTom Pett out
70'Louie Marsh INLiam Mandeville out
78'Calum Kavanagh INKai Payne out
78'Kane drummond INElliott Nevitt out
80'Remeao Hutton INJunior Eccleston out
80'George McEachran INKiano Dyer out
81'Josh Koroma INJoel Randall out
82'Junior EcclestonFoul

Lineups

Oldham
4-2-3-1Coach: Micky Mellon
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Cook
Avg rating6.19
Avg rating6.58
M. Hudson6.71M. Hudson
G. Scott-Morriss5.72G. Scott-Morriss
D. Daniels6.65D. Daniels
R. Delaney5.423R. Delaney
J. Robson5.63J. Robson
O. Norburn6.18O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson6.37K. Appiah-Forson
F. Fawunmi7.217F. Fawunmi
C. Kavanagh6.310C. Kavanagh
K. Drummond6.015K. Drummond
M. Fondop-Talum6.39M. Fondop-Talum
R. Boot6.823R. Boot
R. Hutton6.133R. Hutton
K. McFadzean6.15K. McFadzean
J. Simpson6.36J. Simpson
L. Gordon6.619L. Gordon
G. McEachran6.020G. McEachran
R. Stirk6.38R. Stirk
D. Markanday7.924D. Markanday
J. Koroma7.237J. Koroma
L. Bonis7.410L. Bonis
L. Marsh6.718L. Marsh

Oldham Substitutes

22Wilson Wilson
14N. Chilvers57'for Favour fawunmi5.9
20E. Nevitt78'for Kane drummond6.4
6E. Monthe57'for Ryan Delaney6.7
26Kai Payne78'for Calum Kavanagh5.9
4T. Pett66'for Oliver Norburn6.0
24L. Temple

Chesterfield Substitutes

26J. Eccleston80'for Remeao Hutton82'6.2
27K. Dyer80'for George McEachran6.5
9F. Bryden
7L. Mandeville70'for Louie Marsh6.5
4T. Naylor61'for Ryan Stirk6.4
15A. Pond
31J. Randall81'for Josh Koroma6.4

Match Stats

OldhamChesterfield
47%Ball Possession53%
1Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots3
16Fouls10
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
390Total Passes423
270Passes Accurate312
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

OldhamOldham
ChesterfieldChesterfield
1522Elo Rating 1574
1.84Attack 1.46
1.01Defense 1.50
42%Hit Rate 17%
15.1Shots per Game 18.7
4.1Shots on Target 6.0
3.8Corners per Game 9.1
1.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

OldhamOldham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ChesterfieldChesterfield
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

OldhamOldham2Wins · 33%
Draws350%
ChesterfieldChesterfield1Wins · 17%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

League Two17/03/2026
ChesterfieldOldham
03
League Two01/01/2026
OldhamChesterfield
11
National League16/03/2024
OldhamChesterfield
22
National League19/08/2023
ChesterfieldOldham
11
National League25/02/2023
ChesterfieldOldham
01
National League03/09/2022
OldhamChesterfield
02

Recent Form

OldhamOldham
4W1D5L
05/09/2026
TranmereOldham
20
L
01/09/2026
Fleetwood TownOldham
11
D
29/08/2026
OldhamSwindon Town
30
W
22/08/2026
ColchesterOldham
21
L
15/08/2026
OldhamPort Vale
20
W
08/08/2026
Stoke CityOldham
20
L
01/08/2026
OldhamSheffield Wednesday
40
W
28/07/2026
OldhamStockport County
01
L
21/07/2026
OldhamBolton
13
L
02/05/2026
OldhamAccrington ST
30
W
ChesterfieldChesterfield
1W5D4L
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
11
D
29/08/2026
RotherhamChesterfield
21
L
22/08/2026
Salford CityChesterfield
01
W
15/08/2026
ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
01
L
08/08/2026
Fleetwood TownChesterfield
10
L
31/07/2026
ScunthorpeChesterfield
11
D
14/07/2026
FC Halifax TownChesterfield
32
L
11/07/2026
ChesterfieldSheffield Utd
00
D
15/05/2026
Notts CountyChesterfield
00
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1281319:12+725WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1063123:15+821LWWWW
3CreweCrewe1256115:11+421LWWWD
4WalsallWalsall1147016:7+919WDDDW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1253421:22-118WLLLW
6YorkYork1145219:13+617DDDWL
7GillinghamGillingham1245317:14+317DLWDL
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1252513:17-417WWLWD
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1244418:16+216DLDWL
10Exeter CityExeter City124448:6+216WDWWL
11Accrington STAccrington ST1236317:16+115DWDWD
12Newport CountyNewport County1236316:15+115DDWDW
13TranmereTranmere1236315:15015WLDLD
14RochdaleRochdale1243515:17-215DLDWW
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1243513:16-315WDLLD
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1250716:20-415LLLLW
17GrimsbyGrimsby1235415:15014DLLLL
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1235414:15-114LWDLL
19ColchesterColchester1126311:14-312DDLDD
20Port ValePort Vale103346:10-412DWWLW
21OldhamOldham1132613:17-411LWDLL
22RotherhamRotherham1225514:20-611DLLLD
23NorthamptonNorthampton102446:8-210LWDLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1012711:20-95LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1219:1225
2BarnetBarnet1023:1521
3CreweCrewe1215:1121
4WalsallWalsall1116:719
5CheltenhamCheltenham1221:2218
6YorkYork1119:1317
7GillinghamGillingham1217:1417
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1213:1717
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1218:1616
10Exeter CityExeter City128:616
11Accrington STAccrington ST1217:1615
12Newport CountyNewport County1216:1515
13TranmereTranmere1215:1515
14RochdaleRochdale1215:1715
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1213:1615
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1216:2015
17GrimsbyGrimsby1215:1514
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1214:1514
19ColchesterColchester1111:1412
20Port ValePort Vale106:1012
21OldhamOldham1113:1711
22RotherhamRotherham1214:2011
23NorthamptonNorthampton106:810
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1011:205
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About the Oldham vs Chesterfield forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Oldham and Chesterfield in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Chesterfield are 9th and Oldham 21st, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Oldham 13-17, Chesterfield 18-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chesterfield have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.