Stoke City vs Oldham Prediction

Stoke City
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Oldham
bet365 Stadium, Stoke 08/08/2026
Stoke CityStoke City
2-0
Finished
OldhamOldham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseHighGap+8.0%
Stoke City Rest
6 days
Oldham Rest
6 days

Stoke City vs Oldham: the result in context

Stoke City beat Oldham 2-0 in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%1.40
X
22%4.80
2
49%6.61
Double Chance
1X
51%1.10
X2
72%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.73
No
54%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.87 + 2.63 = 3.50
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
51%1.53
Over 3.5
32%2.38
Under 1.5
17%4.80
Under 2.5
49%2.37
Under 3.5
68%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Bosun LawalFoul
31'Ryan DelaneyFoul
48'Ollie NorburnOG
62'Tom Pett INThomas Hill out
65'Ethan Galbraith INDjibril Soumaré out
66'Million Manhoef INJun-Ho Bae out
66'Sam Gallagher INRóbert Boženík out
68'Jun-Ho BaeTime wasting
74'Donervon Daniels INLewis Temple out
74'Calum Kavanagh INJosh Hawkes out
74'Mike Fondop INElliott Nevitt out
82'Róbert BoženíkAssist: Jun-Ho Bae
85'Bosun Lawal INMaksym Talovierov out
85'Ollie Norburn INKai Payne out

Lineups

Stoke City
Coach: Mark Robins
Oldham
Coach: Micky Mellon

Stoke City Starting XI

1Viktor JohanssonC10.0
16Ben Wilmot7.2
18Bosun Lawal19'85'replaced by Maksym Talovierov7.2
5Luke Graham7.2
17Eric Bocat7.7
8Ethan Galbraith65'replaced by Djibril Soumaré6.5
6Svante Ingelsson7.0
11Lamine Cissé6.9
42Million Manhoef66'replaced by Jun-Ho Bae6.2
7Sorba Thomas6.7
20Sam Gallagher66'replaced by Róbert Boženík6.9
Avg rating7.19

Oldham Starting XI

1Mathew Hudson7.2
2Gus Scott-Morriss6.7
5Donervon Daniels74'replaced by Lewis Temple6.2
23Ryan Delaney31'5.5
3Jamie Robson6.7
4Tom Pett62'replaced by Thomas Hill6.7
8Ollie NorburnC48'85'replaced by Kai Payne6.2
7Keenan Appiah-Forson6.5
15Kane Drummond7.0
9Mike Fondop74'replaced by Elliott Nevitt7.3
10Calum Kavanagh74'replaced by Josh Hawkes6.3
Avg rating6.52

Stoke City Substitutes

27Djibril Soumaré65'for Ethan Galbraith6.7
10Jun-Ho Bae66'for Million Manhoef68'7.2
9Róbert Boženík66'for Sam Gallagher82'7.6
40Maksym Talovierov85'for Bosun Lawal6.9
24Joshua Griffiths
23Ben Gibson
4Ben Pearson
19Tomáš Rigo
49Milan Smit

Oldham Substitutes

30Thomas Hill62'for Tom Pett6.6
24Lewis Temple74'for Donervon Daniels6.2
21Josh Hawkes74'for Calum Kavanagh6.3
20Elliott Nevitt74'for Mike Fondop6.2
26Kai Payne85'for Ollie Norburn6.7
22Aston Wilson
6Manny Monthe
19Zain Tahir
14Noah Chilvers

Match Stats

Stoke CityOldham
59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box0
1Blocked Shots1
14Fouls11
4Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves2
404Total Passes269
330Passes Accurate181
82%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

Stoke CityStoke City
OldhamOldham
1619Elo Rating 1528
1.23Attack 1.71
2.11Defense 1.52
54%Hit Rate 36%
10.5Shots per Game 15.1
2.7Shots on Target 4.2
4.8Corners per Game 3.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.5 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stoke CityStoke City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
OldhamOldham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Stoke CityStoke City
2W3D5L
01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
11
D
28/07/2026
Stoke CityEverton
10
W
21/07/2026
ChesterStoke City
01
W
18/07/2026
CreweStoke City
11
D
10/07/2026
Stoke CitySC Braga
01
L
02/05/2026
Bristol CityStoke City
20
L
25/04/2026
Stoke CityPortsmouth
13
L
21/04/2026
Stoke CityMillwall
13
L
18/04/2026
WrexhamStoke City
20
L
11/04/2026
Stoke CityBlackburn
11
D
OldhamOldham
3W1D6L
01/08/2026
OldhamSheffield Wednesday
40
W
28/07/2026
OldhamStockport County
01
L
21/07/2026
OldhamBolton
13
L
02/05/2026
OldhamAccrington ST
30
W
25/04/2026
Newport CountyOldham
32
L
18/04/2026
OldhamSalford City
12
L
14/04/2026
BarrowOldham
32
L
11/04/2026
ShrewsburyOldham
10
L
06/04/2026
OldhamMilton Keynes Dons
11
D
03/04/2026
ColchesterOldham
13
W

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Stoke City vs Oldham forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stoke City and Oldham have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.