Stoke City vs Oldham Prediction

Stoke City
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Oldham
bet365 Stadium, Stoke 08/08/2026
Stoke CityStoke City
2-0
Finished
OldhamOldham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel36%RiskHighGap+8.0%
Stoke City Rest
6 days
Oldham Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%1.40
X
22%4.80
2
49%6.61
Double Chance
1X
51%1.10
X2
72%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.73
No
54%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.87 + 2.63 = 3.50
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
51%1.53
Over 3.5
32%2.38
Under 1.5
17%4.80
Under 2.5
49%2.37
Under 3.5
68%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Bosun LawalFoul
31'Ryan DelaneyFoul
48'Ollie NorburnOG
62'Tom Pett INThomas Hill out
65'Ethan Galbraith INDjibril Soumaré out
66'Million Manhoef INJun-Ho Bae out
66'Sam Gallagher INRóbert Boženík out
68'Jun-Ho BaeTime wasting
74'Donervon Daniels INLewis Temple out
74'Calum Kavanagh INJosh Hawkes out
74'Mike Fondop INElliott Nevitt out
82'Róbert BoženíkAssist: Jun-Ho Bae
85'Bosun Lawal INMaksym Talovierov out
85'Ollie Norburn INKai Payne out

Lineups

Stoke City
Coach: Mark Robins
Oldham
Coach: Micky Mellon

Stoke City Starting XI

1Viktor JohanssonG
16Ben WilmotD
18Bosun LawalD
5Luke GrahamD
17Eric BocatD
8Ethan GalbraithM
6Svante IngelssonM
11Lamine CisséM
42Million ManhoefM
7Sorba ThomasM
20Sam GallagherF

Oldham Starting XI

1Mathew HudsonG
2Gus Scott-MorrissD
5Donervon DanielsD
23Ryan DelaneyD
3Jamie RobsonD
4Tom PettM
8Ollie NorburnM
7Keenan Appiah-ForsonM
15Kane DrummondM
9Mike FondopF
10Calum KavanaghF

Stoke City Substitutes

27Djibril SoumaréM
10Jun-Ho BaeM
9Róbert BoženíkF
40Maksym TalovierovD
24Joshua GriffithsG
23Ben GibsonD
4Ben PearsonM
19Tomáš RigoM
49Milan SmitF

Oldham Substitutes

30Thomas HillM
24Lewis TempleD
21Josh HawkesM
20Elliott NevittF
26Kai PayneM
22Aston WilsonG
6Manny MontheD
19Zain TahirD
14Noah ChilversM

Match Stats

Stoke CityOldham
59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box0
1Blocked Shots1
14Fouls11
4Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves2
404Total Passes269
330Passes Accurate181
82%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

Stoke CityStoke City
OldhamOldham
1593Elo Rating 1535
1.85Attack 1.10
1.94Defense 1.53
63%Hit Rate 17%
14.8Shots per Game 15.3
5.4Shots on Target 5.9
5.3Corners per Game 6.4
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.5 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stoke CityStoke City
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
OldhamOldham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Stoke CityStoke City
2W2D1L
01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
11
D
28/07/2026
Stoke CityEverton
10
W
21/07/2026
ChesterStoke City
01
W
18/07/2026
CreweStoke City
11
D
10/07/2026
Stoke CitySC Braga
01
L
OldhamOldham
2W0D3L
01/08/2026
OldhamSheffield Wednesday
40
W
28/07/2026
OldhamStockport County
01
L
21/07/2026
OldhamBolton
13
L
02/05/2026
OldhamAccrington ST
30
W
25/04/2026
Newport CountyOldham
32
L

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Stoke City vs Oldham Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Stoke City have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Oldham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stoke City and Oldham have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.