Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC Prediction

Jämtkraft Arena, Ostersund·Karlsson Niclas 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Ostersunds FK Rest
7 days
Varbergs BoIS FC Rest
21 days

Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC: result, form and history

Ostersunds FK and Varbergs BoIS FC drew 1-1 in the Superettan on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Varbergs BoIS FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Ostersunds FK tend to win more corners, 8.4 a game to 5.9 for Varbergs BoIS FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.00
X
28%3.35
2
27%3.48
Double Chance
1X
73%1.28
X2
56%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.21 = 2.65
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.97
Over 3.5
28%3.40
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.79
Under 3.5
72%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'Emil Hellman
41'Isak VidjeskogAssist: Gustav Broman
61'Yannick AdjoumaniAssist: Sunday Anyanwu
62'Dennis Widgren INJonathan westerberg out
62'Wilhelm Arlig INJonathan nilsson out
72'Albin Winbo INLucas Kåhed out
72'Dante Oliver Alfonsi INShanyder Borgelin out
79'Emil Özkan INMolls Donald Ntchamda out
87'Jabir Abdihakim Ali INMario Palomino out
87'Laorent Shabani INLucas·Sibelius out

Lineups

Ostersunds FK
3-4-3Coach: N. Miljanovic
Varbergs BoIS FC
4-3-3Coach: Victor Salwén
R. Forsell12R. Forsell
D. Widgren19D. Widgren
S. Anyanwu14S. Anyanwu
H. Azzi3H. Azzi
D. Miljanovic27D. Miljanovic
C. Edwards17C. Edwards
A. Begić16A. Begić
Y. Adjoumani28Y. Adjoumani
S. Marklund10S. Marklund
J. Ali22J. Ali
E. Özkan8E. Özkan
K. Strindholm29K. Strindholm
N. Dahlström22N. Dahlström
E. Tellgren17E. Tellgren
G. Broman2G. Broman
E. Hellman5E. Hellman
I. Vidjeskog21I. Vidjeskog
N. Johansson15N. Johansson
A. Winbo8A. Winbo
W. Ärlig7W. Ärlig
O. Alfonsi14O. Alfonsi
L. Shabani9L. Shabani

Ostersunds FK Substitutes

21L. Bozickovic
6Masllorens
7G. Odenlind
18M. Palomino87'for Jabir Abdihakim Ali
5A. Qasem
9A. Stensrud
1M. Uppenberg
4J. Westerberg62'for Dennis Widgren
15D. Molls79'for Emil Özkan

Varbergs BoIS FC Substitutes

3H. Zackrisson
20O. Werner
23L. Sibelius87'for Laorent Shabani
19J. Nilsson62'for Wilhelm Arlig
18J. Lindner
12L. Kåhed72'for Albin Winbo
1O. Ekman
24O. Brynéus
49S. Borgelin72'for Dante Oliver Alfonsi

Match Stats

Ostersunds FKVarbergs BoIS FC
66%Ball Possession34%
10Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal0
9Shots Inside Box4
11Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots0
17Fouls12
3Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
628Total Passes296
525Passes Accurate225
84%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK
Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC
1602Elo Rating 1602
1.41Attack 1.14
2.54Defense 1.93
41%Hit Rate 36%
11.1Shots per Game 11.5
4.6Shots on Target 5.4
8.4Corners per Game 5.9
0.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK2Wins · 25%
Draws113%
Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC5Wins · 62%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Superettan06/04/2026
Varbergs BoIS FCOstersunds FK
12
Superettan24/08/2025
Varbergs BoIS FCOstersunds FK
11
Superettan11/05/2025
Ostersunds FKVarbergs BoIS FC
01
Superettan27/07/2024
Ostersunds FKVarbergs BoIS FC
21
Superettan13/04/2024
Varbergs BoIS FCOstersunds FK
20
Svenska Cupen18/02/2023
Varbergs BoIS FCOstersunds FK
10
Allsvenskan30/10/2021
Varbergs BoIS FCOstersunds FK
30
Allsvenskan02/05/2021
Ostersunds FKVarbergs BoIS FC
12

Recent Form

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK
4W5D1L
03/10/2026
RosenborgOstersunds FK
20
L
18/09/2026
Falkenbergs FFOstersunds FK
00
D
14/09/2026
Ostersunds FKHelsingborg
10
W
10/09/2026
Ostersunds FKIK brage
11
D
07/09/2026
Orebro SKOstersunds FK
01
W
29/08/2026
Landskrona BoISOstersunds FK
11
D
24/08/2026
Ostersunds FKLjungskile SK
00
D
20/08/2026
ArlandaOstersunds FK
12
W
16/08/2026
IFK VarnamoOstersunds FK
11
D
07/08/2026
Ostersunds FKGIF Sundsvall
10
W
Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC
5W2D3L
19/09/2026
Varbergs BoIS FCIK brage
32
W
14/09/2026
Norrby IFVarbergs BoIS FC
12
W
10/09/2026
Varbergs BoIS FCIFK Norrkoping
02
L
05/09/2026
IFK VarnamoVarbergs BoIS FC
11
D
30/08/2026
Varbergs BoIS FCOddevold
31
W
25/08/2026
Orebro SKVarbergs BoIS FC
21
L
18/08/2026
BöljanVarbergs BoIS FC
05
W
15/08/2026
United NordicVarbergs BoIS FC
00
D
09/08/2026
Varbergs BoIS FCSandviken
01
L
01/08/2026
Varbergs BoIS FCFalkenbergs FF
21
W

Referee Profile

Karlsson Niclas3 matches analysed

3.90Cards per match
3.67Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 10% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Superettan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping28195458:18+4062WDWWD
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF28156752:38+1451LWWDW
3Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK281212438:26+1248WDDDW
4Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC27137745:34+1146DDWWL
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS27127845:32+1343LWWWL
6OddevoldOddevold28119848:37+1142WLWLD
7Osters IFOsters IF281331246:45+142WWLLW
8United NordicUnited Nordic28109941:47-639LWLLD
9SandvikenSandviken281081044:38+638WDLWD
10Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK28891137:38-133DWDLL
11HelsingborgHelsingborg28881237:48-1132DDLDL
12IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo28951435:48-1332LWLWL
13Orebro SKOrebro SK286111131:42-1129WDDLD
14Norrby IFNorrby IF285121131:41-1027LLWDL
15IK brageIK brage28681445:55-1026LLWLD
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall28612119:65-4619LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping2858:1862
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF2852:3851
3Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK2838:2648
4Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC2745:3446
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS2745:3243
6OddevoldOddevold2848:3742
7Osters IFOsters IF2846:4542
8United NordicUnited Nordic2841:4739
9SandvikenSandviken2844:3838
10Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK2837:3833
11HelsingborgHelsingborg2837:4832
12IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo2835:4832
13Orebro SKOrebro SK2831:4229
14Norrby IFNorrby IF2831:4127
15IK brageIK brage2845:5526
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall2819:6519
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About the Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ostersunds FK and Varbergs BoIS FC in the Superettan table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ostersunds FK are 3rd in the Superettan, 2 points ahead of Varbergs BoIS FC in 4th. League goal record so far: Ostersunds FK 38-26, Varbergs BoIS FC 45-34. The full standings are on the Superettan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.