Sandviken vs Orebro SK Prediction

Sandviken
4-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Orebro SK
Jernvallens Arena, Sandviken·Max Persson 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Sandviken Rest
3 days
Orebro SK Rest
4 days

Sandviken vs Orebro SK: the result in context

Sandviken beat Orebro SK 4-2 in the Superettan on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.22
X
23%3.45
2
24%2.95
Double Chance
1X
76%1.35
X2
47%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.56
No
44%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.07 = 2.86
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.69
Over 3.5
31%2.70
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.10
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'christopher rogers
7'Karl HolmbergAssist: Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul
24'Karl HolmbergAssist: Erdal Rakip
36'Victor BackmanAssist: Karl Bohm
39'Jakub·Ojrzynski
45'Victor Backman
50'Johan Arvidsson
67'Karl Bohm INDaniel Bergman out
67'christopher rogers INMohammed Sadat Abubakari out
71'Fabian AnderssonAssist: Victor Backman
74'Samuel Wikman INJacob Ortmark out
79'Mohammed Sadat Abubakari
80'Erdal Rakip INEdwin Ibrahimbegovic out
82'Wilhelm Nilsson INNils Kasper Zidane·Harletun out
87'Victor Backman INYabets yaya yaliso out
87'Mohammed Mahammed INIsac·Lindholm out
88'Yabets yaya yaliso
88'Manasse Kusu INChristopher Redenstrand out
89'Johan Arvidsson
90+1'

Lineups

Sandviken
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Lagerlöf
Orebro SK
4-4-2Coach: R. Norling
H. Sveijer1H. Sveijer
L. Tagesson26L. Tagesson
G. Thörn2G. Thörn
W. Nilsson17W. Nilsson
C. Rogers18C. Rogers
M. Mahammed14M. Mahammed
F. Andersson15F. Andersson
V. Backman11V. Backman
J. Arvidsson7J. Arvidsson
A. Carleton12A. Carleton
K. Bohm8K. Bohm
J. Ojrzyński75J. Ojrzyński
H. Söderström16H. Söderström
J. Haliti19J. Haliti
J. Stenberg32J. Stenberg
C. Amatkarijo25C. Amatkarijo
S. Wikman7S. Wikman
E. Rakip23E. Rakip
M. Kusu8M. Kusu
Ahmed Yassin99A. Yassin
R. Wiedesheim-Paul10R. Wiedesheim-Paul
K. Holmberg17K. Holmberg

Sandviken Substitutes

16M. Abubakari67'for christopher rogers79'
22D. Bergman67'for Karl Bohm
23K. Harletun82'for Wilhelm Nilsson
13I. Lindholm87'for Mohammed Mahammed
28A. Lund
27A. Persson
6L. Vabö
20Nicholas Vainio
24Y. Yaya87'for Victor Backman88'

Orebro SK Substitutes

11C. Redenstrand88'for Manasse Kusu
30B. Runheim
12D. Salihović
3V. Sandberg
21F. Wahlstrom
5J. Ortmark74'for Samuel Wikman
6E. Ibrahimbegovic80'for Erdal Rakip
28Amar Catic
22Giuseppe Bovalina

Match Stats

SandvikenOrebro SK
58%Ball Possession42%
7Corner Kicks6
5Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

SandvikenSandviken
Orebro SKOrebro SK
1549Elo Rating 1474
1.39Attack 1.34
1.68Defense 1.34
37%Hit Rate 23%
9.5Shots per Game 11.4
3.1Shots on Target 4.1
3.8Corners per Game 5.0
1.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SandvikenSandviken
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Orebro SKOrebro SK
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

SandvikenSandviken3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
Orebro SKOrebro SK2Wins · 33%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Superettan22/06/2026
Orebro SKSandviken
11
Superettan30/08/2025
SandvikenOrebro SK
21
Superettan13/06/2025
Orebro SKSandviken
01
Superettan18/09/2024
Orebro SKSandviken
10
Superettan06/04/2024
SandvikenOrebro SK
21
Svenska Cupen01/09/2021
SandvikenOrebro SK
01

Recent Form

SandvikenSandviken
4W3D3L
15/09/2026
IK brageSandviken
11
D
09/09/2026
SandvikenOddevold
01
L
05/09/2026
HelsingborgSandviken
02
W
30/08/2026
SandvikenOsters IF
11
D
23/08/2026
Norrby IFSandviken
11
D
18/08/2026
IF KarlstadSandviken
02
W
15/08/2026
SandvikenIFK Norrkoping
14
L
09/08/2026
Varbergs BoIS FCSandviken
01
W
01/08/2026
SandvikenGIF Sundsvall
50
W
26/07/2026
Ljungskile SKSandviken
21
L
Orebro SKOrebro SK
3W4D3L
14/09/2026
Orebro SKUnited Nordic
11
D
10/09/2026
GIF SundsvallOrebro SK
03
W
07/09/2026
Orebro SKOstersunds FK
01
L
01/09/2026
HelsingborgOrebro SK
11
D
25/08/2026
Orebro SKVarbergs BoIS FC
21
W
18/08/2026
SollentunaOrebro SK
14
W
14/08/2026
IK brageOrebro SK
33
D
10/08/2026
Norrby IFOrebro SK
31
L
03/08/2026
Orebro SKIFK Varnamo
13
L
27/07/2026
Orebro SKOddevold
00
D

Referee Profile

Max Persson4 matches analysed

4.17Cards per match
4.02Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 31% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Superettan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping30215463:18+4568WWWDW
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF30166854:40+1454LWLWW
3Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC30149750:37+1351WDDDD
4Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK301213538:29+949DLWDD
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS30139849:35+1448DWDLW
6OddevoldOddevold301210850:38+1246DWWLW
7Osters IFOsters IF301441250:46+446DWWWL
8United NordicUnited Nordic301191046:52-642LWLWL
9SandvikenSandviken301181148:41+741WLWDL
10Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK308111140:41-135DDDWD
11IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo301051538:50-1235LWLWL
12HelsingborgHelsingborg30981338:51-1335WLDDL
13Orebro SKOrebro SK306121233:45-1230DLWDD
14Norrby IFNorrby IF305131232:45-1328DLLLW
15IK brageIK brage30691547:58-1127DLLLW
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall30612321:71-5019LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping3063:1868
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF3054:4054
3Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC3050:3751
4Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK3038:2949
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS3049:3548
6OddevoldOddevold3050:3846
7Osters IFOsters IF3050:4646
8United NordicUnited Nordic3046:5242
9SandvikenSandviken3048:4141
10Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK3040:4135
11IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo3038:5035
12HelsingborgHelsingborg3038:5135
13Orebro SKOrebro SK3033:4530
14Norrby IFNorrby IF3032:4528
15IK brageIK brage3047:5827
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall3021:7119
PromotionRelegation

About the Sandviken vs Orebro SK forecast

The forecasts for this Superettan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sandviken and Orebro SK in the Superettan table

In the Superettan table, Sandviken are 9th and Orebro SK 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Sandviken 48-41, Orebro SK 33-45. The full standings are on the Superettan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Orebro SK have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.