Panetolikos vs PAOK Prediction

Panetolikos
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
PAOK
Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinon·Konstantinos Katikos 20/09/2026
PanetolikosPanetolikos
1-3
Finished
PAOKPAOK

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.49
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.69
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Panetolikos Rest
6 days
PAOK Rest
4 days

Panetolikos vs PAOK: the result in context

PAOK beat Panetolikos 3-1 in the Super League 1 on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

PAOK have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%6.50
X
23%4.10
2
62%1.49
Double Chance
1X
38%2.49
X2
85%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.86
No
49%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.99 + 1.53 = 2.52
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.80
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.75
Under 2.5
48%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
60%2.27
Over 9.5
46%2.92
Over 10.5
35%4.22
Under 8.5
40%1.56
Under 9.5
54%1.30
Under 10.5
65%1.16
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.1 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.23
Over 4.5
49%1.47
Under 3.5
33%3.90
Under 4.5
51%2.57

Match Events

30'Gustav GranathFoul
33'Taha AliAssist: Kristijan Jakić
39'Cherif NdiayeAssist: Abdul Rahman Baba
40'Konstantinos ThymianisDissent
45'Apostolos Apostolopoulos INChristian Manrique out
45'Lazar Kojić INDiego Esteban out
48'Taha Ali INShola Shoretire out
51'Diego Esteban
64'Moussa Djenepo INSalifou Soumah out
64'Kwadwo Opoku INKosta Aleksic out
65'Marvelous NakambaDissent
70'Yannis AnastasiouDissent
73'Jiří Pavlenka INAntonis Tsiftsis out
73'Aritz Elustondo INDimitris Bataoulas out
73'Dimitrios Pelkas INOgnjen ugresic out
81'Diego EstebanFoul
86'Marvelous Nakamba INMateo Mejia out
86'Christos Zafeiris INBaptiste Santamaria out
89'Kristijan JakićFoul
90+5'Abdul Rahman BabaFoul
90+8'Shola ShoretireAssist: Ognjen ugresic

Lineups

Panetolikos
4-2-3-1Coach: Y. Anastasiou
PAOK
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Lisci
Avg rating6.06
Avg rating6.66
Y. Kucherenko5.799Y. Kucherenko
C. Mavrias6.335C. Mavrias
G. Granath5.82G. Granath
K. Thymianis6.28K. Thymianis
A. Apostolopoulos6.065A. Apostolopoulos
M. Nakamba6.06M. Nakamba
L. Kojić5.628L. Kojić
K. Opoku5.990K. Opoku
N. Eraković6.244N. Eraković
M. Djenepo5.912M. Djenepo
2020Y. Badji
J. Pavlenka6.21J. Pavlenka
J. Kenny5.93J. Kenny
Elustondo6.96Elustondo
G. Michailidis6.55G. Michailidis
A. Baba6.721A. Baba
C. Zafeiris6.120C. Zafeiris
K. Jakić6.818K. Jakić
A. Živković6.614A. Živković
D. Pelkas6.210D. Pelkas
T. Ali7.522T. Ali
C. Ndiaye8.127C. Ndiaye

Panetolikos Substitutes

23V. Xenopoulos
49N. Stajić
11S. Soumah64'for Moussa Djenepo6.2
5A. Prodromitis
4E. Olsson
14K. Aleksić64'for Kwadwo Opoku6.4
19A. Bregou
22Diego Esteban45'for Lazar Kojić51'81'6.6
45David Galiatsos
15Christian Manrique45'for Apostolos Apostolopoulos5.8
9José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita86'for Marvelous Nakamba6.4
77E. Nikolaou

PAOK Substitutes

2M. Camara
97D. Bataoulas73'for Aritz Elustondo6.4
52D. Chatsidis
78G. Kosidis
41D. Monastirlis
56A. Mythou
7B. Santamaría86'for Christos Zafeiris6.3
47S. Shoretire48'for Taha Ali90+8'7.5
32G. Taylor
99A. Tsiftsis73'for Jiří Pavlenka6.3
16O. Ugresić73'for Dimitrios Pelkas6.5
24S. Banza

Match Stats

PanetolikosPAOK
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards2
2Total Shots16
1Shots on Goal5
0Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box12
0Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
12Fouls22
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves0
401Total Passes320
318Passes Accurate249
22Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

PanetolikosPanetolikos
PAOKPAOK
1488Elo Rating 1702
0.17Attack 1.80
0.00Defense 1.85
0%Hit Rate 77%
8.7Shots per Game 17.0
2.1Shots on Target 4.4
4.0Corners per Game 4.9
3.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PanetolikosPanetolikos
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PAOKPAOK
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PanetolikosPanetolikos0Wins · 0%
Draws110%
PAOKPAOK9Wins · 90%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League 110/01/2026
PanetolikosPAOK
03
Super League 120/09/2025
PAOKPanetolikos
00
Super League 115/12/2024
PanetolikosPAOK
01
Super League 125/08/2024
PAOKPanetolikos
20
Super League 125/02/2024
PanetolikosPAOK
13
Super League 112/11/2023
PAOKPanetolikos
21
Super League 122/12/2022
PanetolikosPAOK
02
Super League 120/08/2022
PAOKPanetolikos
10
Super League 112/01/2022
PAOKPanetolikos
20
Super League 122/09/2021
PanetolikosPAOK
12

Recent Form

PanetolikosPanetolikos
4W3D3L
13/09/2026
PanathinaikosPanetolikos
30
L
06/09/2026
LevadiakosPanetolikos
02
W
29/08/2026
PanetolikosKalamata
20
W
23/08/2026
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
31
W
19/08/2026
KalamataPanetolikos
42
L
14/08/2026
Estac TroyesPanetolikos
11
D
21/05/2026
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
12
L
17/05/2026
PanserraikosPanetolikos
11
D
12/05/2026
PanetolikosLarisa
11
D
09/05/2026
AtromitosPanetolikos
12
W

Referee Profile

Konstantinos Katikos28 matches

6.07Cards per match
5.67Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
31.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Konstantinos Katikos6.07
Other referees5.59

6.07 cards a match, 0.48 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.59).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos870118:4+1421WWLWW
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus861112:2+1019WWWWL
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC752021:3+1817WWWDW
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis851213:14-116WWWDL
5PAOKPAOK850316:11+515LWLWW
6OFIOFI841313:12+113WLLDW
7KifisiaKifisia832310:11-111WLWWD
8KalamataKalamata831413:17-410LWWLW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190882339:11-29LLWDD
10PanetolikosPanetolikos83058:16-89LLLLL
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis81347:15-86DLWDD
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80350:11-113DDLLD
13AtromitosAtromitos70256:12-62LLLDD
14Volos NFCVolos NFC80356:13-70LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos818:421
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus812:219
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC721:317
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis813:1416
5PAOKPAOK816:1115
6OFIOFI813:1213
7KifisiaKifisia810:1111
8KalamataKalamata813:1710
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190889:119
10PanetolikosPanetolikos88:169
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis87:156
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80:113
13AtromitosAtromitos76:122
14Volos NFCVolos NFC86:130
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Panetolikos vs PAOK forecast

The forecasts for this Super League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Panetolikos and PAOK in the Super League 1 table

In the Super League 1 table, PAOK are 5th and Panetolikos 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Panetolikos 8-16, PAOK 16-11. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PAOK have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.