Kalamata vs Panathinaikos Prediction

Kalamata
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Panathinaikos
Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata·Anastasios Papapetrou 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Kalamata Rest
3 days
Panathinaikos Rest
4 days

Kalamata vs Panathinaikos: result, form and history

Panathinaikos beat Kalamata 1-0 in the Super League 1 on 20 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Panathinaikos had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kalamata.

Referee Anastasios Papapetrou averages 4.30 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%10.00
X
19%5.45
2
70%1.28
Double Chance
1X
31%3.50
X2
89%1.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.82 = 2.78
Over 1.5
80%1.15
Over 2.5
58%1.59
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.55
Under 2.5
42%2.29
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.68
Over 9.5
54%2.10
Over 10.5
41%2.70
Under 8.5
37%2.10
Under 9.5
46%1.66
Under 10.5
59%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.32
Over 4.5
44%1.65
Under 3.5
37%3.20
Under 4.5
56%2.15

Match Events

33'Andrews Tetteh
42'Julio AlonsoDissent
44'Kings KangwaFoul
57'M. Bakayoko INJ. Cataldi out
65'Azzedine Ounahi INCyriel Dessers out
65'Kings Kangwa INImrân Louza out
73'Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de OliveiraFoul
78'Erik Hamza INJulián Bonetto out
79'Andrews Tetteh INTriantafyllos Tsapras out
84'Djibril Diarra INIlias Chatzitheodoridis out
84'Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro INDavid Kurminowski out
84'Julio Alonso INArgyrios Liatsikouras out
90'Levi García INElmin Rastoder out
90+3'J. CataldiFoul

Lineups

Kalamata
5-3-2Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas
Panathinaikos
4-1-4-1Coach: Jacob Neestrup
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating7.13
N. Vasiljević7.740N. Vasiljević
P. Kaloutsikidis6.622P. Kaloutsikidis
M. J. Bakayoko5.919M. J. Bakayoko
S. Stroungis6.64S. Stroungis
Rodrigues6.597Rodrigues
Julio Alonso5.617J. Alonso
E. Hamza6.024E. Hamza
G. Piñeiro6.723G. Piñeiro
D. Diarra6.26D. Diarra
J. Bolívar5.99J. Bolívar
A. Mendes Moreira6.120A. Mendes Moreira
Iñaki Peña6.91I. Peña
D. Calabria7.22D. Calabria
S. de Vrij7.96S. de Vrij
R. van Drongelen7.755R. van Drongelen
G. Kiriakopoulos7.377G. Kiriakopoulos
E. Camara7.222E. Camara
L. García6.699L. García
K. Kangwa7.442K. Kangwa
A. Ounahi7.121A. Ounahi
Santino Andino7.010S. Andino
A. Tetteh7.67A. Tetteh

Kalamata Substitutes

7J. Cataldi57'for M. Bakayoko90+3'6.3
32J. Bonetto78'for Erik Hamza6.4
12I. Chatzitheodoridis84'for Djibril Diarra6.3
16E. Frimpong
1I. Gelios
26P. Ginis
44A. Guessand
29U. Ignjatović
91D. Kurminowski84'for Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro6.5
8A. Liatsikouras84'for Julio Alonso6.2
5Aarón
3Álex Perez

Panathinaikos Substitutes

5A. Salah-Eddine
74E. Rastoder90'for Levi García
28F. Pellistri
14E. Palmer-Brown
26I. Louza65'for Kings Kangwa6.9
70K. Kotsaris
18S. Kontouris
8Adriano Jagušić
9C. Dessers65'for Azzedine Ounahi6.3
4Pedro Chirivella
12L. Chaves
19T. Tsapras79'for Andrews Tetteh6.8

Match Stats

KalamataPanathinaikos
35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
15Fouls16
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
288Total Passes540
224Passes Accurate457
15Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

KalamataKalamata
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
1659Elo Rating 1792
2.35Attack 3.02
1.46Defense 2.14
64%Hit Rate 83%
13.3Shots per Game 18.7
6.5Shots on Target 6.2
2.4Corners per Game 7.3
2.9Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

KalamataKalamata
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

KalamataKalamata
4W4D2L
17/09/2026
KalamataLarisa
11
D
13/09/2026
KalamataVolos NFC
31
W
06/09/2026
AtromitosKalamata
11
D
01/09/2026
Volos NFCKalamata
22
D
29/08/2026
PanetolikosKalamata
20
L
22/08/2026
KalamataAris Thessalonikis
23
L
19/08/2026
KalamataPanetolikos
42
W
10/08/2026
Volos NFCKalamata
02
W
28/03/2026
KalamataIraklis 1908
10
W
21/03/2026
MarkoKalamata
00
D

Referee Profile

Anastasios Papapetrou134 matches

4.30Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anastasios Papapetrou4.30
Other referees5.02

4.30 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.02).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos870118:4+1421WWLWW
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus861112:2+1019WWWWL
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC752021:3+1817WWWDW
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis851213:14-116WWWDL
5PAOKPAOK850316:11+515LWLWW
6OFIOFI841313:12+113WLLDW
7KifisiaKifisia832310:11-111WLWWD
8KalamataKalamata831413:17-410LWWLW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190882339:11-29LLWDD
10PanetolikosPanetolikos83058:16-89LLLLL
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis81347:15-86DLWDD
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80350:11-113DDLLD
13AtromitosAtromitos70256:12-62LLLDD
14Volos NFCVolos NFC80356:13-70LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos818:421
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus812:219
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC721:317
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis813:1416
5PAOKPAOK816:1115
6OFIOFI813:1213
7KifisiaKifisia810:1111
8KalamataKalamata813:1710
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190889:119
10PanetolikosPanetolikos88:169
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis87:156
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80:113
13AtromitosAtromitos76:122
14Volos NFCVolos NFC86:130
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Kalamata vs Panathinaikos forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kalamata and Panathinaikos in the Super League 1 table

In the Super League 1 table, Panathinaikos are 1st and Kalamata 8th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Kalamata 13-17, Panathinaikos 18-4. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Panathinaikos have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Kalamata and Panathinaikos have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.