Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction

Nagano U Stadium, Nagano 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-9.3%
Parceiro Nagano Rest
8 days
Matsumoto Yamaga Rest
3 days

Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga: result, form and history

Parceiro Nagano beat Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 in the J3 League on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.99
X
27%3.12
2
41%2.15
Double Chance
1X
59%1.53
X2
68%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.25 = 2.61
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.98
Over 3.5
28%3.34
Under 1.5
30%2.97
Under 2.5
53%1.71
Under 3.5
72%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'R. Yamanaka
25'R. Sato
30'T. KondoAssist: K. Fujikawa
36'D. Morita
46'T. Shirai INY. Taguchi out
46'K. Kaneko INT. Miyabe out
59'Y. Hasegawa INK. Yoshida out
62'K. Kitazume INK. Saso out
67'Y. Taguchi
71'K. Tomita INK. Higuchi out
71'T. Kondo INK. Tanaka out
73'K. Fujikawa
77'K. Tanaka
84'S. Tanaka INK. Fujieda out
84'S. Yoshizawa INH. Shoji out
84'R. Yamanaka INK. Kutsuna out
87'H. Murakami INA. Inoue out

Team Comparison

Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
1351Elo Rating 1404
1.47Attack 0.93
1.58Defense 2.21
42%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

J2/J3 League26/04/2026
Matsumoto YamagaParceiro Nagano
01
J2/J3 League14/03/2026
Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
05
J3 League19/07/2025
Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
10
J3 League14/05/2025
Matsumoto YamagaParceiro Nagano
22
J3 League05/10/2024
Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
11
J3 League29/06/2024
Matsumoto YamagaParceiro Nagano
11
J3 League15/10/2023
Matsumoto YamagaParceiro Nagano
10
J3 League13/05/2023
Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
21
J3 League30/10/2022
Matsumoto YamagaParceiro Nagano
21
J3 League15/05/2022
Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
00

Recent Form

Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
Kochi UnitedParceiro Nagano
13
W
03/10/2026
Parceiro NaganoNara Club
01
L
26/09/2026
Fukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
43
L
20/09/2026
Parceiro NaganoFC Gifu
10
W
13/09/2026
Parceiro NaganoTochigi SC
11
D
09/09/2026
Parceiro NaganoMito Hollyhock
1040
L
05/09/2026
SagamiharaParceiro Nagano
11
D
30/08/2026
Parceiro NaganoThespakusatsu Gunma
12
L
26/08/2026
FC TokyoParceiro Nagano
60
L
22/08/2026
Roasso KumamotoParceiro Nagano
01
W
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
4W3D3L
14/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
11/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaKagoshima United
10
W
03/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaGainare Tottori
01
L
29/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaAlbirex Niigata
10
W
26/09/2026
Tochigi SCMatsumoto Yamaga
12
W
18/09/2026
Roasso KumamotoMatsumoto Yamaga
00
D
13/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSagamihara
13
L
09/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaShonan Bellmare
4333
W
05/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaOsaka
00
D
30/08/2026
KitakyushuMatsumoto Yamaga
11
D

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1392227:16+1129LWWLW
2Ehime FCEhime FC1382330:19+1126LWLWW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1382319:9+1026WLWWW
4OsakaOsaka1365223:13+1023WWLDL
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1365215:7+823WWWLD
6Nara ClubNara Club1372423:21+223LLWWW
7FC GifuFC Gifu1371524:13+1122LWWWL
8SagamiharaSagamihara1364321:14+722DLWWW
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1362516:15+120WWWLL
10KanazawaKanazawa1352623:19+417WLLDW
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1352617:19-217LLWWL
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1344519:22-316WLWLW
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1343613:23-1015DLDLW
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1342726:29-314WWLDL
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1335512:15-314LWLWL
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1335512:16-414DWLLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1342717:24-714LLLDD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1341812:22-1013WLDWL
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1322915:25-108LWLLD
20Kochi UnitedKochi United131395:28-236DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1327:1629
2Ehime FCEhime FC1330:1926
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1319:926
4OsakaOsaka1323:1323
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1315:723
6Nara ClubNara Club1323:2123
7FC GifuFC Gifu1324:1322
8SagamiharaSagamihara1321:1422
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1316:1520
10KanazawaKanazawa1323:1917
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1317:1917
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1319:2216
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1313:2315
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1326:2914
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1312:1514
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1312:1614
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1317:2414
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1312:2213
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1315:258
20Kochi UnitedKochi United135:286
PromotionRelegation

About the Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Parceiro Nagano and Matsumoto Yamaga in the J3 League table

In the J3 League table, Parceiro Nagano are 11th and Matsumoto Yamaga 15th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Parceiro Nagano 17-19, Matsumoto Yamaga 12-15. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.