Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu Prediction

Toho, Fukushima 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-6.9%
Fukushima United Rest
3 days
Kitakyushu Rest
3 days

Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu: the result in context

Fukushima United beat Kitakyushu 2-1 in the J3 League on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fukushima United have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.08
X
25%3.58
2
33%2.81
Double Chance
1X
67%1.34
X2
58%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.44
No
39%2.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.39 = 2.75
Over 1.5
80%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.48
Over 3.5
38%2.24
Under 1.5
20%4.70
Under 2.5
42%2.38
Under 3.5
62%1.56
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

47'H. Higuchi
54'K. Kano
58'M. Nishimura INR. Hirahara out
58'M. Yoshinaga INK. Hara out
58'H. Izawa INY. Sakashita out
61'H. Higuchi
65'D. Takahashi(Penalty)
73'J. Yoshida INA. Higuchi out
73'H. Higuchi INK. Okuda out
77'K. Fukumori INF. Yoshihara out
81'S. Koh
82'N. Sasaki INM. Uehara out
82'K. Ashibe INT. Nakamura out
87'S. Yasumitsu INS. Kawabe out
88'T. Harigaya INK. Tsuchiya out
90+4'

Team Comparison

Fukushima UnitedFukushima United
KitakyushuKitakyushu
1390Elo Rating 1352
2.15Attack 1.90
1.28Defense 1.75
50%Hit Rate 61%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Fukushima UnitedFukushima United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
KitakyushuKitakyushu
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Fukushima UnitedFukushima United5Wins · 63%
Draws225%
KitakyushuKitakyushu1Wins · 12%
2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

J3 League09/11/2025
KitakyushuFukushima United
12
J3 League12/04/2025
Fukushima UnitedKitakyushu
10
J3 League31/08/2024
Fukushima UnitedKitakyushu
10
J3 League29/06/2024
KitakyushuFukushima United
21
J3 League26/11/2023
KitakyushuFukushima United
12
J3 League22/07/2023
Fukushima UnitedKitakyushu
11
J3 League25/09/2022
Fukushima UnitedKitakyushu
21
J3 League12/06/2022
KitakyushuFukushima United
11

Recent Form

Fukushima UnitedFukushima United
3W2D5L
17/10/2026
FC GifuFukushima United
10
L
10/10/2026
Fukushima UnitedBiwako Shiga
22
D
04/10/2026
Kagoshima UnitedFukushima United
32
L
29/09/2026
Fukushima UnitedMito Hollyhock
07
L
26/09/2026
Fukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
43
W
18/09/2026
OsakaFukushima United
41
L
12/09/2026
Fukushima UnitedRoasso Kumamoto
12
L
09/09/2026
Fukushima UnitedVegalta Sendai
43
W
05/09/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaFukushima United
13
W
29/08/2026
Fukushima UnitedNara Club
22
D
KitakyushuKitakyushu
4W1D5L
17/10/2026
KitakyushuOsaka
31
W
10/10/2026
Nara ClubKitakyushu
20
L
03/10/2026
KitakyushuKochi United
20
W
29/09/2026
KitakyushuNagoya Grampus
13
L
26/09/2026
KitakyushuKagoshima United
11
D
20/09/2026
SagamiharaKitakyushu
12
W
12/09/2026
KitakyushuGainare Tottori
24
L
09/09/2026
FC RyukyuKitakyushu
30
L
05/09/2026
Ehime FCKitakyushu
42
L
02/09/2026
KitakyushuIwaki
10
W

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1392227:16+1129LWWLW
2Ehime FCEhime FC1382330:19+1126LWLWW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1382319:9+1026WLWWW
4OsakaOsaka1365223:13+1023WWLDL
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1365215:7+823WWWLD
6Nara ClubNara Club1372423:21+223LLWWW
7FC GifuFC Gifu1371524:13+1122LWWWL
8SagamiharaSagamihara1364321:14+722DLWWW
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1362516:15+120WWWLL
10KanazawaKanazawa1352623:19+417WLLDW
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1352617:19-217LLWWL
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1344519:22-316WLWLW
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1343613:23-1015DLDLW
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1342726:29-314WWLDL
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1335512:15-314LWLWL
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1335512:16-414DWLLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1342717:24-714LLLDD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1341812:22-1013WLDWL
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1322915:25-108LWLLD
20Kochi UnitedKochi United131395:28-236DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1327:1629
2Ehime FCEhime FC1330:1926
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1319:926
4OsakaOsaka1323:1323
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1315:723
6Nara ClubNara Club1323:2123
7FC GifuFC Gifu1324:1322
8SagamiharaSagamihara1321:1422
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1316:1520
10KanazawaKanazawa1323:1917
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1317:1917
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1319:2216
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1313:2315
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1326:2914
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1312:1514
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1312:1614
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1317:2414
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1312:2213
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1315:258
20Kochi UnitedKochi United135:286
PromotionRelegation

About the Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu forecast

The forecasts for this J3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fukushima United and Kitakyushu in the J3 League table

Kitakyushu and Fukushima United are close in the J3 League table, 12th and 14th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Fukushima United 26-29, Kitakyushu 19-22. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.