PAU vs Dunkerque Prediction

PAU
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Dunkerque
Nouste Camp, Pau·Brendan Roffet 18/09/2026
PAUPAU
2-0
Finished
DunkerqueDunkerque

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
PAU Rest
7 days
Dunkerque Rest
6 days

PAU vs Dunkerque: result, form and history

PAU beat Dunkerque 2-0 in the Ligue 2 on 18 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Dunkerque have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.25
X
30%3.38
2
34%3.00
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
63%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.23 = 2.56
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.82
Over 3.5
30%3.05
Under 1.5
25%3.70
Under 2.5
47%1.98
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.1
Over 8.5
57%1.58
Over 9.5
45%1.98
Over 10.5
33%2.55
Under 8.5
43%2.15
Under 9.5
55%1.70
Under 10.5
67%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

11'Victor Mayela
16'Anthony BriançonFoul
17'Gaëtan Robail INBram Lagae out
32'Abdel Hakim AbdallahFoul
49'Jessy Benet(Penalty)
52'Bram LagaeFoul
58'Axel Bamba INAxel Dodote out
63'Albert Sánchez SauraDissent
66'Jeremy Sebas INAbdoulaye Mbaye out
67'Jordan Morel INOusmane Touré out
67'Abdel Hakim Abdallah INSouleymane Basse out
68'Egor Prutsev INEnzo Mayilla out
77'Théna Massock INFranck Leroy Atoen out
77'Souleymane Keita INPape Dieng out
81'Enzo MayillaFoul
83'Tom Saettel INLorenzo Rajot out
88'Abdoulaye MbayeAssist: Lorenzo Rajot

Lineups

PAU
5-3-2Coach: Thierry Debes
Dunkerque
4-2-3-1Coach: Albert Sánchez
Avg rating7.26
Avg rating6.30
B. Maubleu7.11B. Maubleu
T. Pouilly7.62T. Pouilly
G. Paquiez7.929G. Paquiez
A. Briançon7.723A. Briançon
A. Bamba7.688A. Bamba
A. Abdallah7.097A. Abdallah
C. Fall7.06C. Fall
J. Benet7.821J. Benet
J. Sebas6.318J. Sebas
B. Leye6.69B. Leye
T. Saettel6.719T. Saettel
Moha Airam7.473M. Airam
A. Linguet6.127A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté6.326O. Sanganté
V. Mayela5.322V. Mayela
L. Vallier6.724L. Vallier
J. Morel6.76J. Morel
Théna Massock6.218T. Massock
K. Ayari6.67K. Ayari
S. Keita6.519S. Keita
E. Prutsev6.411E. Prutsev
G. Robail6.09G. Robail

PAU Substitutes

8S. Basse67'for Abdel Hakim Abdallah7.1
10B. Brahimi
4A. Dodote58'for Axel Bamba7.5
27L. Gadegbeku
11A. Lefebvre
56Abdoulaye Mbaye66'for Jeremy Sebas88'7.7
5L. Rajot83'for Tom Saettel7.2
30E. Salles
39M. Tourraine

Dunkerque Substitutes

30Abner
16M. Prévot
33Noah Nemorin
94E. Mayilla68'for Egor Prutsev81'6.0
4B. Lagae17'for Gaëtan Robail52'5.9
21L. Loussilaho
17P. M. Dieng77'for Souleymane Keita6.1
25Franck Atoen77'for Théna Massock6.2
2O. Touré67'for Jordan Morel6.4

Match Stats

PAUDunkerque
67%Ball Possession33%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots6
10Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots0
16Fouls15
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves8
557Total Passes282
495Passes Accurate210
15Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

PAUPAU
DunkerqueDunkerque
1594Elo Rating 1586
1.91Attack 1.24
1.97Defense 1.61
86%Hit Rate 37%
14.2Shots per Game 9.7
5.5Shots on Target 2.9
3.5Corners per Game 3.9
3.2Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PAUPAU
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
DunkerqueDunkerque
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PAUPAU1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
DunkerqueDunkerque6Wins · 60%
2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 216/01/2026
DunkerquePAU
31
Ligue 224/10/2025
PAUDunkerque
03
Ligue 210/01/2025
PAUDunkerque
11
Ligue 220/09/2024
DunkerquePAU
32
Ligue 209/03/2024
DunkerquePAU
10
Ligue 202/12/2023
PAUDunkerque
11
Ligue 212/03/2022
DunkerquePAU
10
Ligue 224/09/2021
PAUDunkerque
12
Ligue 220/03/2021
PAUDunkerque
31
Ligue 228/11/2020
DunkerquePAU
22

Recent Form

PAUPAU
2W2D6L
11/09/2026
MontpellierPAU
10
L
04/09/2026
PAUSochaux
11
D
28/08/2026
RodezPAU
22
D
21/08/2026
PAUNancy
01
L
14/08/2026
DijonPAU
01
W
08/08/2026
PAUAnnecy
01
L
01/08/2026
PAUReal Unión
12
L
25/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIPAU
40
L
21/07/2026
EspanyolPAU
40
L
11/07/2026
Real SociedadPAU
01
W
DunkerqueDunkerque
5W3D2L
12/09/2026
DunkerqueSaint Etienne
21
W
04/09/2026
DunkerqueClermont Foot
11
D
28/08/2026
NancyDunkerque
20
L
21/08/2026
DunkerqueMontpellier
01
L
14/08/2026
ReimsDunkerque
33
D
08/08/2026
DunkerqueGrenoble
42
W
01/08/2026
KV MechelenDunkerque
00
D
25/07/2026
DunkerqueKVC Westerlo
31
W
22/07/2026
DunkerqueSamsunspor
21
W
18/07/2026
DunkerqueStandard Liege
20
W

Referee Profile

Brendan Roffet98 matches

4.45Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Brendan Roffet4.45
Other referees4.14

4.45 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.14).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
3MontpellierMontpellier953111:5+618WWDWL
4ReimsReims945019:11+817WDDWD
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93952212:10+217LWWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
14BoulogneBoulogne91626:609WDLDD
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2NancyNancy1012:819
3MontpellierMontpellier911:518
4ReimsReims919:1117
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93912:1017
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13RodezRodez1016:2210
14BoulogneBoulogne96:69
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the PAU vs Dunkerque forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PAU and Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, PAU are 5th and Dunkerque 10th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: PAU 13-10, Dunkerque 14-16. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.