Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Subaru Park, Chester· T. Ford 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalSOLIDModel45%RiskMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.55
SignalGOODModel43%RiskHighGap+11.2%
Philadelphia Union Rest
3 days
Seattle Sounders Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.91
X
34%3.75
2
23%3.69
Double Chance
1X
77%1.27
X2
57%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.55
No
29%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.3 = 2.86
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.61
Over 3.5
37%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.60
Under 2.5
40%2.30
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.7
Over 8.5
51%1.39
Over 9.5
39%1.68
Over 10.5
29%2.07
Under 8.5
49%2.79
Under 9.5
61%2.08
Under 10.5
71%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.1 = 4.7
Over 3.5
71%1.41
Over 4.5
54%1.89
Under 3.5
29%2.63
Under 4.5
46%1.83

Match Events

12'H. Dotson
31'M. IloskiAssist: F. Westfield
59'A. Lopez ING. Sandnes out
60'K. Kossa-Rienzi INP. Kingston out
60'P. Arriola INJ. Ferreira out
65'I. Vassilev INQ. Sullivan out
65'B. Damiani INE. Alladoh out
80'O. De Rosario IND. Musovski out
80'D. Jean Jacques INJ. Bueno out
80'H. Dotson INS. Gomez out
89'C. Sullivan INA. Bedoya out

Lineups

Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Bradley Carnell
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Andre Blake18A. BlakeAndre Blake
Frankie Westfield39F. WestfieldFrankie Westfield
Neil Pierre44N. PierreNeil Pierre
Nathan Harriel26N. HarrielNathan Harriel
Kai Wagner27K. WagnerKai Wagner
Cavan Sullivan6C. SullivanCavan Sullivan
Danley Jean Jacques21D. Jean JacquesDanley Jean Jacques
Jovan Lukić4J. LukićJovan Lukić
Indiana Vassilev19I. VassilevIndiana Vassilev
Milan Iloski10M. IloskiMilan Iloski
Bruno Damiani9B. DamianiBruno Damiani
Andrew Thomas26A. ThomasAndrew Thomas
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi85K. Kossa-RienziKalani Kossa-Rienzi
Stuart Hawkins39S. HawkinsStuart Hawkins
Antino Lopez35A. LopezAntino Lopez
Nouhou Tolo5N. ToloNouhou Tolo
Hassani Dotson31H. DotsonHassani Dotson
Snyder Brunell37S. BrunellSnyder Brunell
Paul Arriola17P. ArriolaPaul Arriola
Albert Rusnák11A. RusnákAlbert Rusnák
Paul Rothrock14P. RothrockPaul Rothrock
Osaze De Rosario95O. De RosarioOsaze De Rosario

Philadelphia Union Substitutes

33Quinn SullivanM
23Ezekiel AlladohF
8Jesus BuenoM
11Alejandro BedoyaM
76Andrew RickG
5Japhet Sery LarsenD
2Geiner MartínezD
28Agustin AnelloF
16Ben BenderM

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

53Gallatin SandnesD
45Peter KingstonM
9Jesús FerreiraF
90Sebastian GomezM
19Daniel MusovskiF
50Max AnchorG
24Stefan FreiG
28Yeimar GómezD

Match Stats

Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
44%Ball Possession56%
6Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
348Total Passes451
249Passes Accurate350
72%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1698Elo Rating 1559
3.52Attack 0.97
2.69Defense 1.89
86%Hit Rate 0%
18.1Shots per Game 15.4
5.6Shots on Target 5.6
5.9Corners per Game 5.3
1.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+139 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1 in first half)
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Philadelphia Union 0%Draw 0%100% Seattle Sounders
5Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1W1D3L
23/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls
31
W
25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
64
L
17/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
11
D
14/05/2026
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
43
L
10/05/2026
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
21
L
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1W0D4L
23/07/2026
AustinSeattle Sounders
31
L
17/07/2026
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
15
L
25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
10
L
17/05/2026
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
02
L
14/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes
32
W

Referee Profile

T. Ford · 70 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 16% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders have met 1 times recently, averaging 5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.