Austin vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Austin
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Seattle Sounders
Q2 Stadium, Austin·R. Montero 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
Austin Rest
14 days
Seattle Sounders Rest
5 days

Austin vs Seattle Sounders: result, form and history

Austin beat Seattle Sounders 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.21
X
30%3.60
2
43%2.13
Double Chance
1X
57%1.69
X2
74%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.35 = 2.52
Over 1.5
72%1.20
Over 2.5
49%1.67
Over 3.5
30%2.63
Under 1.5
28%4.33
Under 2.5
51%2.19
Under 3.5
70%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.43
Over 9.5
50%1.70
Over 10.5
36%2.12
Under 8.5
39%2.60
Under 9.5
50%2.00
Under 10.5
64%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.3 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%1.43
Over 4.5
55%1.95
Under 3.5
28%2.66
Under 4.5
45%1.80

Match Events

11'I. SanchezAssist: B. Sabovic
26'P. Rothrock
59'J. Ragen
60'B. Sabovic
62'D. Musovski INO. De Rosario out
62'B. Sabovic INO. Wolff out
62'J. Rosales INP. Placheta out
63'B. Hines-Ike INM. Djordjevic out
66'P. Kingston INK. Kossa-Rienzi out
67'S. Brunell INP. Arriola out
83'B. Vazquez INC. Ramirez out
83'F. Torres INE. Torres out
86'M. UzuniAssist: E. Torres
88'M. Uzuni
88'Nouhou INS. Gomez out
90+1'C. RamirezAssist: E. Torres
90+4'J. Ragen
90+4'J. Ragen

Lineups

Austin
3-4-3Coach: Davy Arnaud
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Avg rating7.07
Avg rating6.43
Brad Stuver6.61B. Stuver
Brendan Hines-Ike6.64B. Hines-Ike
Oleksandr Svatok7.05O. Svatok
Guilherme Biro7.029G. Biro
Joseph Rosales6.330J. Rosales
Besard Sabović7.014B. Sabović
Ilie SánchezC8.36I. Sánchez
Jon Gallagher6.717J. Gallagher
Facundo Torres7.311F. Torres
Brandon Vázquez7.29B. Vázquez
Myrto Uzuni7.610M. Uzuni
Andrew Thomas6.326A. Thomas
Peter Kingston6.545P. Kingston
Stuart Hawkins6.239S. Hawkins
Jackson Ragen6.225J. Ragen
Nouhou ToloC6.95N. Tolo
Snyder Brunell6.037S. Brunell
Hassani Dotson6.731H. Dotson
Jesús Ferreira6.99J. Ferreira
Albert Rusnák6.211A. Rusnák
Paul Rothrock6.014P. Rothrock
Daniel Musovski6.719D. Musovski

Austin Substitutes

77Przemysław Płacheta62'for J. Rosales6.6
33Owen Wolff62'for B. Sabovic6.6
35Mateja Đorđević63'for B. Hines-Ike6.9
38Ervin Torres83'for F. Torres7.9
21Christian Ramirez83'for B. Vazquez90+1'7.5
12Damian Las
23Žan Kolmanič
20Nicolas Dubersarsky
7Jayden Nelson

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

95Osaze De Rosario62'for D. Musovski6.2
85Kalani Kossa-Rienzi66'for P. Kingston6.3
17Paul Arriola67'for S. Brunell6.9
90Sebastian Gomez88'for Nouhou6.5
50Max Anchor
24Stefan Frei
35Antino Lopez
28Yeimar Gómez
53Gallatin Sandnes

Match Stats

AustinSeattle Sounders
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
10Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots4
5Fouls12
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total Passes383
365Passes Accurate340
87%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1520Elo Rating 1580
1.19Attack 0.82
0.51Defense 0.73
19%Hit Rate 0%
13.1Shots per Game 16.0
4.6Shots on Target 4.9
5.5Corners per Game 6.9
1.4Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AustinAustin2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders5Wins · 50%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer22/09/2025
AustinSeattle Sounders
21
Major League Soccer29/06/2025
Seattle SoundersAustin
20
Major League Soccer14/07/2024
AustinSeattle Sounders
01
Major League Soccer03/03/2024
Seattle SoundersAustin
00
Major League Soccer31/08/2023
AustinSeattle Sounders
12
Major League Soccer18/05/2023
Seattle SoundersAustin
12
Major League Soccer11/09/2022
Seattle SoundersAustin
30
Major League Soccer20/03/2022
AustinSeattle Sounders
11
Major League Soccer23/07/2021
AustinSeattle Sounders
01
Major League Soccer31/05/2021
Seattle SoundersAustin
00

Recent Form

AustinAustin
3W2D5L
08/07/2026
AustinSporting JAX
40
W
03/07/2026
AustinClub Queretaro
01
L
23/05/2026
St. Louis CityAustin
30
L
17/05/2026
AustinSporting Kansas City
12
L
14/05/2026
San DiegoAustin
50
L
11/05/2026
Minnesota United FCAustin
22
D
03/05/2026
AustinSt. Louis City
20
W
26/04/2026
AustinHouston Dynamo
20
W
23/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesAustin
51
L
18/04/2026
Toronto FCAustin
33
D
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
4W2D4L
17/07/2026
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
15
L
25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
10
L
17/05/2026
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
02
L
14/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes
32
W
10/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
11
D
02/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders
11
D
26/04/2026
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
21
W
19/04/2026
Seattle SoundersSt. Louis City
41
W
16/04/2026
Seattle SoundersTigres UANL
31
W
09/04/2026
Tigres UANLSeattle Sounders
20
L

Referee Profile

R. Montero132 matches

4.34Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Montero4.34
Other referees4.21

4.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Austin vs Seattle Sounders forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Austin and Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Seattle Sounders are 8th and Austin 14th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Austin 42-65, Seattle Sounders 44-46. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.