Austin vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Austin
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Seattle Sounders
Q2 Stadium, Austin· R. Montero 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.73
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+11.1%
Austin Rest
14 days
Seattle Sounders Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.21
X
30%3.60
2
43%2.13
Double Chance
1X
57%1.69
X2
74%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.35 = 2.52
Over 1.5
72%1.20
Over 2.5
49%1.67
Over 3.5
30%2.63
Under 1.5
28%4.33
Under 2.5
51%2.20
Under 3.5
70%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.40
Over 9.5
50%1.70
Over 10.5
36%1.99
Under 8.5
39%2.75
Under 9.5
50%2.02
Under 10.5
64%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.3 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%1.43
Over 4.5
55%1.95
Under 3.5
28%2.66
Under 4.5
45%1.80

Match Events

11'I. SanchezAssist: B. Sabovic
26'P. Rothrock
59'J. Ragen
60'B. Sabovic
62'D. Musovski INO. De Rosario out
62'B. Sabovic INO. Wolff out
62'J. Rosales INP. Placheta out
63'B. Hines-Ike INM. Djordjevic out
66'P. Kingston INK. Kossa-Rienzi out
67'S. Brunell INP. Arriola out
83'B. Vazquez INC. Ramirez out
83'F. Torres INE. Torres out
86'M. UzuniAssist: E. Torres
88'M. Uzuni
88'Nouhou INS. Gomez out
90+1'C. RamirezAssist: E. Torres
90+4'J. Ragen
90+4'J. Ragen

Lineups

Austin
3-4-3Coach: Davy Arnaud
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Brad Stuver1B. StuverBrad Stuver
Brendan Hines-Ike4B. Hines-IkeBrendan Hines-Ike
Oleksandr Svatok5O. SvatokOleksandr Svatok
Guilherme Biro29G. BiroGuilherme Biro
Joseph Rosales30J. RosalesJoseph Rosales
Besard Sabović14B. SabovićBesard Sabović
Ilie Sánchez6I. SánchezIlie Sánchez
Jon Gallagher17J. GallagherJon Gallagher
Facundo Torres11F. TorresFacundo Torres
Brandon Vázquez9B. VázquezBrandon Vázquez
Myrto Uzuni10M. UzuniMyrto Uzuni
Andrew Thomas26A. ThomasAndrew Thomas
Peter Kingston45P. KingstonPeter Kingston
Stuart Hawkins39S. HawkinsStuart Hawkins
Jackson Ragen25J. RagenJackson Ragen
Nouhou Tolo5N. ToloNouhou Tolo
Snyder Brunell37S. BrunellSnyder Brunell
Hassani Dotson31H. DotsonHassani Dotson
Jesús Ferreira9J. FerreiraJesús Ferreira
Albert Rusnák11A. RusnákAlbert Rusnák
Paul Rothrock14P. RothrockPaul Rothrock
Daniel Musovski19D. MusovskiDaniel Musovski

Austin Substitutes

77Przemysław PłachetaM
33Owen WolffM
35Mateja ĐorđevićD
38Ervin TorresM
21Christian RamirezF
12Damian LasG
23Žan KolmaničD
20Nicolas DubersarskyM
7Jayden NelsonF

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

95Osaze De RosarioF
85Kalani Kossa-RienziM
17Paul ArriolaF
90Sebastian GomezM
50Max AnchorG
24Stefan FreiG
35Antino LopezD
28Yeimar GómezD
53Gallatin SandnesD

Match Stats

AustinSeattle Sounders
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
10Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots4
5Fouls12
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total Passes383
365Passes Accurate340
87%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1584Elo Rating 1559
1.29Attack 0.97
1.86Defense 1.89
44%Hit Rate 0%
9.6Shots per Game 15.4
2.2Shots on Target 5.6
4.8Corners per Game 5.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Austin 27%Draw 17%56% Seattle Sounders
1.88Avg Goals
41%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AustinAustin
1W0D4L
08/07/2026
AustinSporting JAX
40
W
03/07/2026
AustinClub Queretaro
01
L
23/05/2026
St. Louis CityAustin
30
L
17/05/2026
AustinSporting Kansas City
12
L
14/05/2026
San DiegoAustin
50
L
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1W1D3L
17/07/2026
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
15
L
25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
10
L
17/05/2026
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
02
L
14/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes
32
W
10/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
11
D

Referee Profile

R. Montero · 13 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
25.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 71% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Austin vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

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Key Factors for This Match

Austin and Seattle Sounders have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.88 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.