Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec Prediction

Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Rest
5 days
Stal Mielec Rest
6 days

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec in numbers

On form this looks evenly balanced, with Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on 2 wins from their last five and Stal Mielec on 1. They meet in the I Liga on 30 Oct 2026.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.06
X
3.50
2
3.00
Double Chance
1X
1.31
X2
1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.46
No
2.50
Goals
Over 1.5
1.15
Over 2.5
1.55
Over 3.5
2.31
Under 1.5
4.78
Under 2.5
2.31
Under 3.5
1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

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Team Comparison

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Stal MielecStal Mielec
1497Elo Rating 1410
1.78Attack 0.70
2.23Defense 0.68
56%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Stal MielecStal Mielec
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Stal MielecStal Mielec1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

I Liga06/04/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiStal Mielec
12
I Liga19/09/2025
Stal MielecPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
12

Recent Form

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
3W2D5L
25/10/2026
Ruch ChorzówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
20
L
17/10/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
01
L
10/10/2026
Chrobry GłogówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
04
W
02/10/2026
Radomiak RadomPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
72
L
19/09/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
20
W
13/09/2026
Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
32
L
04/09/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
10
W
01/09/2026
Podhale Nowy TargPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
31
L
28/08/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiNieciecza
22
D
22/08/2026
Polonia BytomPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
22
D
Stal MielecStal Mielec
2W2D6L
24/10/2026
Stal MielecChrobry Głogów
00
D
17/10/2026
Miedz LegnicaStal Mielec
30
L
11/10/2026
Stal MielecWarta Poznań
21
W
19/09/2026
Lechia GdanskStal Mielec
71
L
14/09/2026
Stal MielecNieciecza
12
L
05/09/2026
Stal MielecOdra Opole
11
D
02/09/2026
Górnik ŁęcznaStal Mielec
4232
L
29/08/2026
Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
20
L
23/08/2026
ŁKS ŁódźStal Mielec
40
L
16/08/2026
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
52
W

League Table

I Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1263319:11+821LLWWL
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1263316:11+521WWWDD
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1263319:14+521DWWWD
4ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1263315:11+421WWLLW
5NiecieczaNieciecza1262419:17+220LWDWW
6Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1261522:19+319LWWWW
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1253418:11+718DWLLL
8Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1260619:16+318LWLWW
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1246220:20018WWWDD
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1252516:22-617LWLWW
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115WLLLW
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1242616:16014WLLLL
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1228215:16-114WLWDD
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1234513:15-213DLLLD
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1234516:27-1113DLWLL
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1240813:17-412WLWLL
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole123368:13-512LLWLL
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1232713:20-711LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1219:1121
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1216:1121
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1219:1421
4ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1215:1121
5NiecieczaNieciecza1219:1720
6Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1222:1919
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1218:1118
8Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1219:1618
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1220:2018
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1216:2217
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1214:1515
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1216:1614
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1215:1614
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1213:1513
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1216:2713
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1213:1712
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole128:1312
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1213:2011
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About the Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec forecast

The forecasts for this I Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Stal Mielec in the I Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 1st in the I Liga, while Stal Mielec sit 15th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 19-11, Stal Mielec 16-27. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Stal Mielec have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.