Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction

24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Puszcza Niepołomice Rest
4 days
Lechia Gdansk Rest
5 days

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk: the result in context

Puszcza Niepołomice beat Lechia Gdansk 2-1 in the I Liga on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Lechia Gdansk had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Puszcza Niepołomice.

Puszcza Niepołomice have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.70
X
25%3.49
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.53
X2
66%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.54 = 2.95
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
37%2.45
Under 1.5
20%4.50
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'B. Szczepankiewicz
36'Goal Disallowed - video reviewM. Cholewiak
45+2'M. Cholewiak
46'O. Kocar INK. Wolowiec out
53'K. Iwao
58'H. Ivanov INJ. Adkonis out
58'J. Mena INT. Wojtowicz out
58'M. Glogowski INV. Blanuta out
60'A. TrubehaAssist: F. Nascimento
71'A. Trubeha INW. Kaminski out
71'K. Iwao INO. Gerstenstein out
80'K. Dodaj INI. Bambecki out
80'B. Szczepankiewicz INB. Sonko out
80'A. Gjoni
83'A. Gjoni INB. Kurzeja out
88'K. Kasolik
90+2'F. Nascimento INI. Pieprzyca out
90+5'

Team Comparison

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk
1479Elo Rating 1512
1.41Attack 2.56
1.49Defense 1.73
46%Hit Rate 73%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Cup29/10/2025
Puszcza NiepołomiceLechia Gdansk
1131
Ekstraklasa23/02/2025
Lechia GdanskPuszcza Niepołomice
02
Ekstraklasa16/08/2024
Puszcza NiepołomiceLechia Gdansk
41
Cup09/02/2021
Puszcza NiepołomiceLechia Gdansk
31

Recent Form

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice
3W0D7L
19/10/2026
NiecieczaPuszcza Niepołomice
20
L
15/10/2026
Pogoń SiedlcePuszcza Niepołomice
13
W
11/10/2026
Puszcza NiepołomicePolonia Bytom
01
L
02/10/2026
Wieczysta KrakówPuszcza Niepołomice
43
L
18/09/2026
Warta PoznańPuszcza Niepołomice
32
L
11/09/2026
Puszcza NiepołomiceŁKS Łódź
12
L
01/09/2026
Wisła Płock IIPuszcza Niepołomice
02
W
29/08/2026
Puszcza NiepołomicePodbeskidzie
20
W
23/08/2026
Puszcza NiepołomiceUnia Skierniewice
01
L
17/08/2026
Arka GdyniaPuszcza Niepołomice
30
L
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk
8W0D2L
18/10/2026
Lechia GdanskArka Gdynia
21
W
12/10/2026
Stal RzeszówLechia Gdansk
12
W
03/10/2026
Ruch ChorzówLechia Gdansk
13
W
19/09/2026
Lechia GdanskStal Mielec
71
W
13/09/2026
Lechia GdanskMiedz Legnica
21
W
04/09/2026
NiecieczaLechia Gdansk
21
L
01/09/2026
KluczborkLechia Gdansk
12
W
29/08/2026
Polonia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
24
W
21/08/2026
Lechia GdanskPogoń Siedlce
10
W
14/08/2026
Ruch ChorzówLechia Gdansk
10
L

League Table

I Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1263319:11+821LLWWL
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1263316:11+521WWWDD
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1263319:14+521DWWWD
4ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1263315:11+421WWLLW
5NiecieczaNieciecza1262419:17+220LWDWW
6Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1261522:19+319LWWWW
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1253418:11+718DWLLL
8Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1260619:16+318LWLWW
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1246220:20018WWWDD
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1252516:22-617LWLWW
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115WLLLW
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1242616:16014WLLLL
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1228215:16-114WLWDD
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1234513:15-213DLLLD
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1234516:27-1113DLWLL
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1240813:17-412WLWLL
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole123368:13-512LLWLL
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1232713:20-711LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1219:1121
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1216:1121
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1219:1421
4ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1215:1121
5NiecieczaNieciecza1219:1720
6Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1222:1919
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1218:1118
8Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1219:1618
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1220:2018
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1216:2217
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1214:1515
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1216:1614
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1215:1614
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1213:1513
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1216:2713
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1213:1712
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole128:1312
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1213:2011
PromotionRelegation

About the Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk forecast

The forecasts for this I Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Puszcza Niepołomice and Lechia Gdansk in the I Liga table

In the I Liga table, Lechia Gdansk are 6th and Puszcza Niepołomice 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Puszcza Niepołomice 13-17, Lechia Gdansk 22-19. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lechia Gdansk have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.