Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction

Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski·M. Kochanek 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.58
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Ruch Chorzów Rest
8 days
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Rest
8 days

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: result, form and history

Ruch Chorzów beat Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2-0 in the I Liga on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.58
X
23%3.90
2
21%4.65
Double Chance
1X
79%1.16
X2
44%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.66
No
44%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.16 = 2.87
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.61
Over 3.5
36%2.52
Under 1.5
22%4.25
Under 2.5
43%2.13
Under 3.5
64%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

42'M. ChrapekAssist: P. Szwedzik
55'D. SzczepanAssist: P. Szwedzik
61'M. Ruszkiewicz INH. Uzoigwe out
61'D. Szczepan INA. Coscia out
69'D. Jaron INH. Turski out
69'J. Niewiadomski INJ. Jedrasik out
69'J. Zbrog INB. Dembek out
70'P. Szwedzik INS. Nagamatsu out
82'B. Ciepiela
84'T. Sutherland INK. Rostek out
84'M. Chrapek IND. Ventura out
86'N. Niski INJ. Miazgowski out

Team Comparison

Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1541Elo Rating 1497
2.19Attack 1.78
2.36Defense 2.23
64%Hit Rate 56%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0Wins · 0%
3.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

I Liga27/04/2026
Ruch ChorzówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
22
I Liga17/10/2025
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
22
II Liga - East12/03/2022
Ruch ChorzówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
41
II Liga - East28/08/2021
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
11

Recent Form

Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów
6W2D2L
16/10/2026
Ruch ChorzówOdra Opole
30
W
11/10/2026
ŁKS ŁódźRuch Chorzów
02
W
03/10/2026
Ruch ChorzówLechia Gdansk
13
L
18/09/2026
Polonia BytomRuch Chorzów
00
D
12/09/2026
Ruch ChorzówPodbeskidzie
33
D
07/09/2026
Ruch ChorzówUnia Skierniewice
31
W
02/09/2026
Lechia Zielona GóraRuch Chorzów
02
W
30/08/2026
Chrobry GłogówRuch Chorzów
20
L
24/08/2026
Stal RzeszówRuch Chorzów
01
W
14/08/2026
Ruch ChorzówLechia Gdansk
10
W
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
3W3D4L
17/10/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
01
L
10/10/2026
Chrobry GłogówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
04
W
02/10/2026
Radomiak RadomPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
72
L
19/09/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
20
W
13/09/2026
Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
32
L
04/09/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
10
W
01/09/2026
Podhale Nowy TargPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
31
L
28/08/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiNieciecza
22
D
22/08/2026
Polonia BytomPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
22
D
14/08/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiStal Rzeszów
11
D

Referee Profile

M. Kochanek98 matches

4.10Cards per match
3.93Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Kochanek4.10
Other referees4.24

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).

Cards come from 30 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

I Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1263319:11+821LLWWL
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1263316:11+521WWWDD
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1263319:14+521DWWWD
4NiecieczaNieciecza1262419:17+220LWDWW
5Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1261522:19+319LWWWW
6Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1253418:11+718DWLLL
7Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1160519:15+418WLWWL
8ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1153314:11+318WLLWD
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1246220:20018WWWDD
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1252516:22-617LWLWW
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115WLLLW
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1242616:16014WLLLL
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1228215:16-114WLWDD
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1234513:15-213DLLLD
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1234516:27-1113DLWLL
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1240813:17-412WLWLL
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole123368:13-512LLWLL
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1232713:20-711LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1219:1121
2Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1216:1121
3Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1219:1421
4NiecieczaNieciecza1219:1720
5Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1222:1919
6Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1218:1118
7Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1119:1518
8ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1114:1118
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1220:2018
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1216:2217
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1214:1515
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1216:1614
13PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1215:1614
14Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1213:1513
15Stal MielecStal Mielec1216:2713
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1213:1712
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole128:1312
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1213:2011
PromotionRelegation

About the Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ruch Chorzów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the I Liga table

In the I Liga table, Ruch Chorzów (2nd) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1st) are level on 21 points. League goal record so far: Ruch Chorzów 16-11, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 19-11. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.