Pontevedra vs Ponferradina Prediction

Pontevedra
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Ponferradina
M. B. Torres 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Pontevedra Rest
8 days
Ponferradina Rest
7 days

Pontevedra vs Ponferradina: the result in context

Pontevedra and Ponferradina drew 1-1 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.05
X
30%3.00
2
24%3.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.23
X2
54%1.66
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'D. Andujar
27'A. Comparada Gonzalez
46'Koke INO. Vacas out
46'U. Sabroso INJ. de Leon out
46'J. Chibozo INQ. Bari out
51'I. IvorraOG
61'I. Charid IND. Mba out
61'I. Elejalde INJ. Ramos out
63'C. Calderon
71'R. Ergouai IND. Alba out
73'J. Ramos
73'R. Marqueta
76'F. San Emeterio
77'L. Macias INA. Gil out
83'F. San Emeterio INP. Munoz out

Team Comparison

PontevedraPontevedra
PonferradinaPonferradina
1561Elo Rating 1553
1.10Attack 0.54
1.87Defense 2.24
50%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

PontevedraPontevedra
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
PonferradinaPonferradina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PontevedraPontevedra2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
PonferradinaPonferradina0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Primera División RFEF - Group 112/04/2026
PontevedraPonferradina
31
Primera División RFEF - Group 106/09/2025
PonferradinaPontevedra
01

Recent Form

PontevedraPontevedra
4W2D4L
18/09/2026
UD LogroñésPontevedra
11
D
12/09/2026
PontevedraAthletic Club II
13
L
05/09/2026
PontevedraArenas Getxo
41
W
28/08/2026
Real AvilésPontevedra
01
W
19/08/2026
CoruxoPontevedra
31
L
15/08/2026
PontevedraOurense CF
21
W
08/08/2026
EstradensePontevedra
05
W
01/08/2026
ArosaPontevedra
31
L
23/05/2026
PontevedraReal Avilés
22
D
17/05/2026
TenerifePontevedra
30
L
PonferradinaPonferradina
3W4D3L
19/09/2026
PonferradinaMérida AD
10
W
13/09/2026
Deportivo La Coruña IIPonferradina
21
L
04/09/2026
PonferradinaLugo
00
D
29/08/2026
UD OurensePonferradina
01
W
19/08/2026
PonferradinaReal Madrid II
22
D
08/08/2026
Marino de LuancoPonferradina
03
W
01/08/2026
PonferradinaReal Avilés
11
D
29/07/2026
OviedoPonferradina
40
L
20/06/2026
Celta de Vigo IIPonferradina
41
L
13/06/2026
PonferradinaCelta de Vigo II
00
D

League Table

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LugoLugo971116:8+822LWWWW
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés962120:12+820WDLWW
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol95139:7+216LWWWL
4CacereñoCacereño94328:5+315WLDLD
5MirandesMirandes942312:10+214WLDLW
6PontevedraPontevedra942312:11+114WWLLD
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924941416:10+613WDWWL
8Real UniónReal Unión934219:14+513WDDDL
9PonferradinaPonferradina93426:6013DDLWD
10Mérida ADMérida AD840415:12+312WWWLL
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II933314:12+212LLDLW
12ZamoraZamora933310:9+112LDDWW
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa933310:9+112LDWLD
14Real AvilésReal Avilés932415:13+211LWWLD
15BarakaldoBarakaldo92438:10-210DWLDD
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca931512:15-310WLDWL
17CD CoriaCD Coria822412:16-48WLLDD
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II92258:16-88LLLLW
19UD OurenseUD Ourense91263:15-125LLWDD
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo91267:22-155WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LugoLugo916:822
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés920:1220
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol99:716
4CacereñoCacereño98:515
5MirandesMirandes912:1014
6PontevedraPontevedra912:1114
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924916:1013
8Real UniónReal Unión919:1413
9PonferradinaPonferradina96:613
10Mérida ADMérida AD815:1212
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II914:1212
12ZamoraZamora910:912
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa910:912
14Real AvilésReal Avilés915:1311
15BarakaldoBarakaldo98:1010
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca912:1510
17CD CoriaCD Coria812:168
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II98:168
19UD OurenseUD Ourense93:155
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo97:225
PromotionRelegation

About the Pontevedra vs Ponferradina forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pontevedra and Ponferradina in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Pontevedra are 6th and Ponferradina 9th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Pontevedra 12-11, Ponferradina 6-6. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pontevedra and Ponferradina have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.