Real Unión vs UD Ourense Prediction

Real Unión
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
UD Ourense
Stadium Gal, Irun·P. Monterrubio Torres 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-8.9%
Real Unión Rest
6 days
UD Ourense Rest
6 days

Real Unión vs UD Ourense: the result in context

Real Unión and UD Ourense drew 1-1 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 3 Oct 2026. Real Unión had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for UD Ourense.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.36
X
21%4.55
2
15%7.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.07
X2
36%2.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'A. Galarza(Penalty)
30'D. Tejon
35'J. Labrada
45+2'Goal Disallowed - video review
45+8'J. de la Mata
46'J. de la Mata INM. Mancisidor out
50'X. Dominguez
59'J. Cabrera
61'B. Gaubeka INE. Azkune out
61'U. Albizua INA. Mateo out
61'X. Dominguez INC. Carro out
78'Champi INI. Irazu out
78'J. Fontan INU. Medina out
82'N. Gonzalez INS. Pardo out
82'D. Ferreiro INR. Curras out
83'A. Martin
85'P. Alvarez INM. Hussaini Muhammad out
88'Goal Disallowed - video reviewS. Baldrich

Team Comparison

Real UniónReal Unión
UD OurenseUD Ourense
1590Elo Rating 1486
1.70Attack 0.36
1.82Defense 1.61
27%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+103 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Real UniónReal Unión
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UD OurenseUD Ourense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Recent Form

Real UniónReal Unión
4W3D3L
26/09/2026
Deportivo La Coruña IIReal Unión
20
L
19/09/2026
Real UniónMirandes
22
D
13/09/2026
Racing FerrolReal Unión
32
L
05/09/2026
Unionistas de SalamancaReal Unión
24
W
30/08/2026
Real UniónCD Coria
41
W
08/08/2026
Real UniónEibar
11
D
01/08/2026
PAUReal Unión
12
W
01/05/2026
Real UniónAlfaro
20
W
26/04/2026
Real Zaragoza IIReal Unión
31
L
18/04/2026
Real UniónAmorebieta
33
D
UD OurenseUD Ourense
3W3D4L
27/09/2026
UD OurenseCacereño
00
D
19/09/2026
Unionistas de SalamancaUD Ourense
31
L
12/09/2026
UD OurenseUD Logroñés
03
L
05/09/2026
MirandesUD Ourense
20
L
29/08/2026
UD OurensePonferradina
01
L
31/05/2026
ConquenseUD Ourense
02
W
24/05/2026
UD OurenseConquense
10
W
16/05/2026
UD OurenseReddis
21
W
09/05/2026
ReddisUD Ourense
00
D
03/05/2026
UD OurenseAtlético Astorga
11
D

League Table

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LugoLugo971116:8+822LWWWW
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés962120:12+820WDLWW
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol95139:7+216LWWWL
4CacereñoCacereño94328:5+315WLDLD
5MirandesMirandes942312:10+214WLDLW
6PontevedraPontevedra942312:11+114WWLLD
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924941416:10+613WDWWL
8Real UniónReal Unión934219:14+513WDDDL
9Mérida ADMérida AD941415:12+313DWWWL
10PonferradinaPonferradina93426:6013DDLWD
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II933314:12+212LLDLW
12ZamoraZamora933310:9+112LDDWW
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa933310:9+112LDWLD
14Real AvilésReal Avilés932415:13+211LWWLD
15BarakaldoBarakaldo92438:10-210DWLDD
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca931512:15-310WLDWL
17CD CoriaCD Coria923412:16-49DWLLD
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II92258:16-88LLLLW
19UD OurenseUD Ourense91263:15-125LLWDD
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo91267:22-155WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LugoLugo916:822
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés920:1220
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol99:716
4CacereñoCacereño98:515
5MirandesMirandes912:1014
6PontevedraPontevedra912:1114
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924916:1013
8Real UniónReal Unión919:1413
9Mérida ADMérida AD915:1213
10PonferradinaPonferradina96:613
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II914:1212
12ZamoraZamora910:912
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa910:912
14Real AvilésReal Avilés915:1311
15BarakaldoBarakaldo98:1010
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca912:1510
17CD CoriaCD Coria912:169
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II98:168
19UD OurenseUD Ourense93:155
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo97:225
PromotionRelegation

About the Real Unión vs UD Ourense forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Unión and UD Ourense in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Real Unión are 8th and UD Ourense 19th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Unión 19-14, UD Ourense 3-15. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Unión have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Real Unión and UD Ourense have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.