UD Ourense vs Barakaldo Prediction

UD Ourense
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Barakaldo
Estadio de O Couto 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
UD Ourense Rest
7 days
Barakaldo Rest
7 days

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo: result, form and history

UD Ourense beat Barakaldo 1-0 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.50
X
28%3.30
2
43%1.95
Double Chance
1X
58%1.70
X2
71%1.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'A. ZoiloFoul
32'B. GomezFoul
53'S. BaldrichAssist: S. Pardo
56'E. Mateos INJ. Cabo out
56'J. Huidobro INA. Pena out
58'X. Dominguez INC. Carro out
60'S. BaldrichFoul
69'X. Sola INOkolo out
69'X. Fernandez INC. Mattheus out
75'D. Ferreiro INN. Gonzalez out
82'A. BastidaFoul
82'B. Gomez INA. Muguruza out
84'Champi INR. Curras out
84'S. Baldrich INR. Jansonas out
90+1'J. CabreraFoul
90+4'S. PardoFoul

Team Comparison

UD OurenseUD Ourense
BarakaldoBarakaldo
1486Elo Rating 1539
0.36Attack 1.05
1.61Defense 2.22
19%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

UD OurenseUD Ourense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
BarakaldoBarakaldo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Recent Form

UD OurenseUD Ourense
3W3D4L
03/10/2026
Real UniónUD Ourense
11
D
27/09/2026
UD OurenseCacereño
00
D
19/09/2026
Unionistas de SalamancaUD Ourense
31
L
12/09/2026
UD OurenseUD Logroñés
03
L
05/09/2026
MirandesUD Ourense
20
L
29/08/2026
UD OurensePonferradina
01
L
31/05/2026
ConquenseUD Ourense
02
W
24/05/2026
UD OurenseConquense
10
W
16/05/2026
UD OurenseReddis
21
W
09/05/2026
ReddisUD Ourense
00
D
BarakaldoBarakaldo
3W4D3L
03/10/2026
BarakaldoArenas Getxo
11
D
27/09/2026
BarakaldoReal Avilés
33
D
19/09/2026
Racing FerrolBarakaldo
10
L
11/09/2026
BarakaldoExtremadura 1924
10
W
05/09/2026
CD CoriaBarakaldo
41
L
30/08/2026
BarakaldoCultural Leonesa
00
D
14/08/2026
PortugaleteBarakaldo
20
L
23/05/2026
BarakaldoCelta de Vigo II
11
D
17/05/2026
Real AvilésBarakaldo
14
W
09/05/2026
BarakaldoMérida AD
20
W

League Table

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LugoLugo971116:8+822LWWWW
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés962120:12+820WDLWW
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol95139:7+216LWWWL
4CacereñoCacereño94328:5+315WLDLD
5MirandesMirandes942312:10+214WLDLW
6PontevedraPontevedra942312:11+114WWLLD
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924941416:10+613WDWWL
8Real UniónReal Unión934219:14+513WDDDL
9Mérida ADMérida AD941415:12+313DWWWL
10PonferradinaPonferradina93426:6013DDLWD
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II933314:12+212LLDLW
12ZamoraZamora933310:9+112LDDWW
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa933310:9+112LDWLD
14Real AvilésReal Avilés932415:13+211LWWLD
15BarakaldoBarakaldo92438:10-210DWLDD
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca931512:15-310WLDWL
17CD CoriaCD Coria923412:16-49DWLLD
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II92258:16-88LLLLW
19UD OurenseUD Ourense91263:15-125LLWDD
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo91267:22-155WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LugoLugo916:822
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés920:1220
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol99:716
4CacereñoCacereño98:515
5MirandesMirandes912:1014
6PontevedraPontevedra912:1114
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924916:1013
8Real UniónReal Unión919:1413
9Mérida ADMérida AD915:1213
10PonferradinaPonferradina96:613
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II914:1212
12ZamoraZamora910:912
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa910:912
14Real AvilésReal Avilés915:1311
15BarakaldoBarakaldo98:1010
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca912:1510
17CD CoriaCD Coria912:169
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II98:168
19UD OurenseUD Ourense93:155
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo97:225
PromotionRelegation

About the UD Ourense vs Barakaldo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

UD Ourense and Barakaldo in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Barakaldo are 15th and UD Ourense 19th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: UD Ourense 3-15, Barakaldo 8-10. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

UD Ourense and Barakaldo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.