Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Providence Park, Portland· E. Arreguin 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.46
SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+6.7%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+14.3%
Portland Timbers Rest
3 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.40
X
25%3.80
2
25%2.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.46
X2
50%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.38
No
29%2.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.24 = 2.87
Over 1.5
81%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.44
Over 3.5
38%2.08
Under 1.5
19%6.20
Under 2.5
40%2.80
Under 3.5
62%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.1 = 9
Over 8.5
52%1.40
Over 9.5
41%1.71
Over 10.5
29%2.13
Under 8.5
48%2.67
Under 9.5
59%2.03
Under 10.5
71%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%1.40
Over 4.5
54%1.85
Under 3.5
29%2.65
Under 4.5
46%1.83

Match Events

10'C. Bassett
18'J. SanabriaAssist: M. Guilavogui
34'M. Guilavogui
41'D. Chara
55'S. Solans
56'F. MoraAssist: A. Lassiter
57'A. Lassiter INAntony out
58'D. Yedlin INS. Junqua out
67'F. MoraAssist: K. Velde
72'D. Chara INJ. Caicedo out
72'F. Mora INA. Aravena out
74'D. Luna INS. Lobjanidze out
74'S. Solans INV. Olatunji out
74'L. Engel INJ. J. Arias out
85'J. Sanabria INA. Katranis out
86'C. Bassett INJ. Ortiz out

Lineups

Portland Timbers
4-1-4-1Coach: Jack Cassidy
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
James Pantemis41J. PantemisJames Pantemis
Brandon Bye5B. ByeBrandon Bye
Finn Surman20F. SurmanFinn Surman
Kamal Miller4K. MillerKamal Miller
Jímer Fory27J. ForyJímer Fory
Diego Chará21D. CharáDiego Chará
Ariel Lassiter7A. LassiterAriel Lassiter
Cole Bassett17C. BassettCole Bassett
David Pereira Da Costa10D. Pereira Da CostaDavid Pereira Da Costa
Kristoffer Velde99K. VeldeKristoffer Velde
Felipe Mora9F. MoraFelipe Mora
Rafael Cabral1R. CabralRafael Cabral
DeAndre Yedlin2D. YedlinDeAndre Yedlin
Philip Quinton26P. QuintonPhilip Quinton
Lukas Engel4L. EngelLukas Engel
Zavier Gozo72Z. GozoZavier Gozo
Stijn Spierings6S. SpieringsStijn Spierings
Noel Caliskan92N. CaliskanNoel Caliskan
Juan Sanabria8J. SanabriaJuan Sanabria
Diego Luna10D. LunaDiego Luna
Sergi Solans22S. SolansSergi Solans
Morgan Guilavogui9M. GuilavoguiMorgan Guilavogui

Portland Timbers Substitutes

11Antony AlvesF
30José CaicedoM
28Alexander AravenaF
80Joao OrtízM
25Trey MuseG
23Ian SmithD
6Alex BonetigD
15Eric MillerD
53Sawyer JuraD

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

29Sam JunquaD
21Juan Jose AriasD
12Saba LobzhanidzeM
17Victor OlatunjiF
98Alexandros KatranisD
31Mason StajduharG
23Zach BoothM
27Griffin DillonM
7Pablo RuízM

Match Stats

Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
61%Ball Possession39%
14Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots6
6Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots0
12Fouls13
4Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
526Total Passes340
465Passes Accurate264
88%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1616Elo Rating 1545
2.01Attack 0.62
0.75Defense 1.02
19%Hit Rate 0%
14.1Shots per Game 12.5
3.8Shots on Target 5.1
5.2Corners per Game 5.2
1.2Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
  • No tendency data available
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Portland Timbers 23%Draw 31%46% Real Salt Lake
2.5Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
1W2D2L
23/07/2026
Portland TimbersFC Dallas
22
D
17/07/2026
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
15
W
24/05/2026
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
13
L
18/05/2026
Inter MiamiPortland Timbers
20
L
14/05/2026
CF MontrealPortland Timbers
22
D
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
3W1D1L
23/07/2026
Los Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
31
L
16/07/2026
Real Salt LakeBurnley
41
W
23/05/2026
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
11
D
17/05/2026
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
21
W
14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
30
W

Referee Profile

E. Arreguin · 10 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
25.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 39% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.