Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza Prediction

Arka Gdynia
3-1
Finished
HT 3-0
Nieciecza
Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseHighGap-6.7%
Arka Gdynia Rest
5 days
Nieciecza Rest
4 days

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza: the result in context

Arka Gdynia beat Nieciecza 3-1 in the I Liga on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Nieciecza had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Arka Gdynia.

Nieciecza have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.13
X
25%3.49
2
37%2.89
Double Chance
1X
64%1.35
X2
62%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.50
No
41%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.5 = 2.76
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.63
Over 3.5
34%2.55
Under 1.5
21%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.17
Under 3.5
66%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'D. KocylaAssist: M. Ambrosiewicz
17'V. GutkovskisAssist: K. Lipkowski
32'K. Kubica
35'A. Sidibe
40'M. Ambrosiewicz
46'D. Hilbrycht INK. Zapolnik out
46'L. Masoero INM. Synos out
51'A. Putivtsev
55'K. ZapolnikAssist: R. Kurzawa
57'A. Sidibe IND. Kun out
57'F. Walus INM. Milewski out
67'D. Arndt INJ. Grobelny out
81'S. Dabrowski IND. Biniek out
82'V. Gutkovskis INE. Rama out
83'K. Solecki
83'D. Kocyla INN. Dziegielewski out
85'A. Putivtsev INA. Zarowny out
88'S. Szota

Team Comparison

Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia
NiecieczaNieciecza
1469Elo Rating 1511
1.40Attack 1.56
1.13Defense 1.66
27%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NiecieczaNieciecza
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
NiecieczaNieciecza6Wins · 60%
2.9Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa18/05/2026
Arka GdyniaNieciecza
23
Ekstraklasa21/11/2025
NiecieczaArka Gdynia
20
I Liga04/05/2025
Arka GdyniaNieciecza
21
I Liga26/10/2024
NiecieczaArka Gdynia
21
I Liga11/12/2023
NiecieczaArka Gdynia
21
I Liga21/07/2023
Arka GdyniaNieciecza
22
I Liga03/06/2023
NiecieczaArka Gdynia
21
I Liga06/11/2022
Arka GdyniaNieciecza
12
I Liga21/04/2021
Arka GdyniaNieciecza
11
I Liga25/09/2020
NiecieczaArka Gdynia
01

Recent Form

Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia
3W2D5L
18/10/2026
Lechia GdanskArka Gdynia
21
L
10/10/2026
Arka GdyniaPolonia Warszawa
12
L
03/10/2026
Arka GdyniaIFK Goteborg
32
W
20/09/2026
Pogoń SiedlceArka Gdynia
21
L
12/09/2026
Warta PoznańArka Gdynia
30
L
06/09/2026
Arka GdyniaŁKS Łódź
11
D
02/09/2026
Resovia RzeszówArka Gdynia
04
W
30/08/2026
Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
11
D
23/08/2026
Miedz LegnicaArka Gdynia
20
L
17/08/2026
Arka GdyniaPuszcza Niepołomice
30
W
NiecieczaNieciecza
6W2D2L
19/10/2026
NiecieczaPuszcza Niepołomice
20
W
10/10/2026
Unia SkierniewiceNieciecza
22
D
03/10/2026
Cracovia KrakowNieciecza
23
W
19/09/2026
NiecieczaOdra Opole
10
W
14/09/2026
Stal MielecNieciecza
12
W
04/09/2026
NiecieczaLechia Gdansk
21
W
01/09/2026
Wigry SuwałkiNieciecza
15
W
28/08/2026
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiNieciecza
22
D
22/08/2026
NiecieczaPolonia Warszawa
13
L
16/08/2026
ŁKS ŁódźNieciecza
21
L

League Table

I Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021LWWLW
2Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1263319:14+521DWWWD
3NiecieczaNieciecza1262419:17+220LWDWW
4Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1261522:19+319LWWWW
5Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1253418:11+718DWLLL
6Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1160519:15+418WLWWL
7Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1153314:11+318WWDDW
8ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1153314:11+318WLLWD
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1246220:20018WWWDD
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1152415:20-517WLWWW
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115WLLLW
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1242616:16014WLLLL
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1234513:15-213DLLLD
14Stal MielecStal Mielec1234516:27-1113DLWLL
15Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1240813:17-412WLWLL
16Odra OpoleOdra Opole123368:13-512LLWLL
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1118213:15-211LWDDD
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1232713:20-711LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1119:921
2Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1219:1421
3NiecieczaNieciecza1219:1720
4Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1222:1919
5Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1218:1118
6Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1119:1518
7Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1114:1118
8ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1114:1118
9Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1220:2018
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1115:2017
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1214:1515
12Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1216:1614
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1213:1513
14Stal MielecStal Mielec1216:2713
15Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1213:1712
16Odra OpoleOdra Opole128:1312
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1113:1511
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1213:2011
PromotionRelegation

About the Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza forecast

The forecasts for this I Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arka Gdynia and Nieciecza in the I Liga table

In the I Liga table, Nieciecza are 3rd and Arka Gdynia 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Arka Gdynia 16-16, Nieciecza 19-17. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nieciecza have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.