Racing Santander vs Elche Prediction

Racing Santander
3-2
Finished
HT 3-0
Elche
El Sardinero, Santander· Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
2.20
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+12.8%
Racing Santander Rest
4 days
Elche Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.06
X
29%3.60
2
29%3.60
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
58%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.56
No
43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.25 = 2.53
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
45%1.69
Over 3.5
19%2.66
Under 1.5
26%4.28
Under 2.5
55%2.20
Under 3.5
81%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.52
Over 9.5
46%1.91
Over 10.5
34%2.38
Under 8.5
42%2.38
Under 9.5
54%1.85
Under 10.5
66%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.46
Over 4.5
42%1.94
Under 3.5
37%2.52
Under 4.5
58%1.80

Match Events

15'Y. Zabiri
21'Y. Zabiri
36'Y. ZabiriAssist: I. Vicente
43'F. GonzalezHolding
45'A. MantillaFoul
46'A. Houary INE. Ponce out
46'M. Aguado INTete Morente out
59'A. Martin INM. Prati out
62'P. Bigas INJ. Morcillo out
63'F. BuonanotteFoul
69'F. Buonanotte INL. Cepeda out
69'Y. Zabiri INA. Villalibre out
69'I. Vicente ING. Guliashvili out
78'Buba SangareAssist: L. Cepeda
79'F. NinoAssist: Tete Morente
84'Buba Sangare INJosan out
85'S. Canales INM. Gueye out

Lineups

Racing Santander
4-2-3-1Coach: Jose Lopez
Elche
5-4-1Coach: Martin Anselmi
Julen Agirrezabala13J. AgirrezabalaJulen Agirrezabala
Alvaro Mantilla2A. MantillaAlvaro Mantilla
Manu Hernando4M. HernandoManu Hernando
Facundo González16F. GonzálezFacundo González
Jorge Salinas17J. SalinasJorge Salinas
Iván Martín23I. MartínIván Martín
Gustavo Puerta8G. PuertaGustavo Puerta
Andrés Martín11A. MartínAndrés Martín
Sergio Canales20S. CanalesSergio Canales
Iñigo Vicente10I. VicenteIñigo Vicente
Yassir Zabiri21Y. ZabiriYassir Zabiri
Matías Dituro1M. DituroMatías Dituro
Buba Sangaré2B. SangaréBuba Sangaré
David Affengruber22D. AffengruberDavid Affengruber
Víctor Chust23V. ChustVíctor Chust
Pedro Bigas6P. BigasPedro Bigas
Germán Valera11G. ValeraGermán Valera
Facundo Buonanotte10F. BuonanotteFacundo Buonanotte
Gonzalo Villar12G. VillarGonzalo Villar
Marc Aguado8M. AguadoMarc Aguado
Ali Houary29A. HouaryAli Houary
Fernando Niño14F. NiñoFernando Niño

Racing Santander Substitutes

18Matteo PratiM
7Giorgi GuliashviliF
12Asier VillalibreF
1Simon ErikssonG
5Pablo RamónD
30Carlos SánchezD
36Sergio MartinezM
34Diego DíazM
14Maguette GueyeM
6Íñigo Sáinz-MazaM
38Hugo PérezF
9Juan Carlos AranaF

Elche Substitutes

20Tete MorenteF
9Ezequiel PonceF
47Javi MorcilloM
21Lucas CepedaF
43Alejandro IturbeG
26Matia BarzićD
16Martim NetoM
5Federico RedondoM
17JosanM
19Grady DianganaF
30Alvaro PadillaF
24Abiel OsorioF

Match Stats

Racing SantanderElche
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots6
16Fouls19
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
376Total Passes546
302Passes Accurate474
80%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
ElcheElche
1715Elo Rating 1692
1.86Attack 1.26
1.21Defense 0.49
46%Hit Rate 0%
10.9Shots per Game 11.4
4.1Shots on Target 4.9
5.3Corners per Game 4.9
2.4Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend42% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
ElcheElche
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Racing Santander 54%Draw 19%27% Elche
2.72Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
49%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
1W1D3L
23/08/2026
GetafeRacing Santander
10
L
16/08/2026
Racing SantanderVillarreal
22
D
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
W
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
L
ElcheElche
1W3D1L
23/08/2026
ElcheBarcelona
05
L
17/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaElche
11
D
31/07/2026
ElcheCordoba
22
D
28/07/2026
ElcheAl Ain
22
D
18/07/2026
ElcheKaizer Chiefs
21
W

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona660028:6+2218WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis65018:6+215WWWLW
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid641114:6+813WWLWD
5SevillaSevilla64119:6+313WWDLW
6AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna62319:7+29LDWWD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander621311:16-57LWLWL
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
13OsasunaOsasuna62135:12-77LLLWW
14VillarrealVillarreal612310:11-15WLLLD
15LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
16GetafeGetafe61233:7-45LDDLW
17Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
18ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
19MalagaMalaga60333:11-83LDDLD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona628:618
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis68:615
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid614:613
5SevillaSevilla69:613
6AlavesAlaves611:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna69:79
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander611:167
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
13OsasunaOsasuna65:127
14VillarrealVillarreal610:115
15LevanteLevante57:95
16GetafeGetafe63:75
17Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
18ValenciaValencia62:104
19MalagaMalaga63:113
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Racing Santander vs Elche Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Racing Santander and Elche have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.72 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.