Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: result, form and history
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves drew 1-1 in the La Liga on 20 Aug 2026. Alaves had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Rayo Vallecano.
Rayo Vallecano have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 1.7 goals a game. Rayo Vallecano tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.3 for Alaves.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
13A. Batalla
2A. Ratiu
24F. Lejeune
22P. Fernandez
33J. Vertrouwd
6P. Ciss
19J. de Frutos
C7I. Palazon
8U. Lopez
21F. Perez
10S. Camello
1A. Sivera
7A. Perez
14N. Tenaglia
16V. Koski
17J. Otto
21A. Rebbach
19P. Ibanez
C8A. Blanco
18M. Rodriguez
15L. Boye
11T. MartinezRayo Vallecano Substitutes
Alaves Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.56 cards a match, 0.32 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).
Cards come from 147 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46:12 | +34 | 30 | WLWWW | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 28 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 | +18 | 27 | WWWWL | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | +3 | 23 | WDLWD | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 17 | LWLDL | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | LWDLW | |
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | LDWDW | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 12 | LDLLD | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | LDDDW | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 12 | WLDLW | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | WLLDL | |
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL | |
| 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 | LWLDL | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 | LWDDW | |
| 18 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 10 | LLWDD | |
| 19 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 | WLDDL | |
| 20 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 46:12 | 30 | |
| 2 | 11 | 22:8 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 28:10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | 18:15 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 19:18 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 17:19 | 17 | |
| 7 | 9 | 12:9 | 12 | |
| 8 | 11 | 15:15 | 12 | |
| 9 | 11 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 15:17 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 15:20 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 8:16 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 13:13 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 13:14 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 10:20 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 15:29 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 14:18 | 10 | |
| 18 | 11 | 16:21 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | 8:17 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 8:21 | 5 |
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About the Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Rayo Vallecano (11th) and Alaves (10th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: Rayo Vallecano 15-20, Alaves 15-17. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


