Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Valencia
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia·Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap+13.2%
Valencia Rest
13 days
Celta Vigo Rest
13 days

Valencia vs Celta Vigo: the result in context

Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0-0 in the La Liga on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.53
X
30%3.11
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
60%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.90
No
40%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.18 = 2.93
Over 1.5
78%1.40
Over 2.5
57%2.25
Over 3.5
35%4.13
Under 1.5
22%2.88
Under 2.5
43%1.65
Under 3.5
65%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.9 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.68
Over 9.5
46%2.08
Over 10.5
34%2.70
Under 8.5
42%2.08
Under 9.5
54%1.68
Under 10.5
66%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.44
Over 4.5
35%1.86
Under 3.5
43%2.62
Under 4.5
65%1.91

Match Events

38'J. De HaasFoul
39'S. DimitrievskiFoul
46'J. De Haas INM. Diakhaby out
57'S. CarreiraFoul
57'H. Alvarez INW. Swedberg out
57'R. Sato INU. Sadiq out
64'F. Jutgla INP. Duran out
64'J. El Abdellaoui INJ. Rueda out
64'J. Galan INI. Aspas out
67'J. RuedaFoul
69'J. Gaya INP. Maffeo out
69'F. Ugrinic INA. Dieng out
77'A. Febas INI. Moriba out
80'I. RaduDelay of game
83'A. Danjuma INH. Duro out

Lineups

Valencia
5-4-1Coach: Carlos Corberan
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giraldez
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.69
Stole Dimitrievski6.71S. Dimitrievski
Jesús Vázquez6.621J. Vázquez
César Tárrega7.65C. Tárrega
Pepelu7.318Pepelu
Justin De Haas6.312J. De Haas
José Luis GayàC6.614J. Luis Gayà
Ryunosuke Sato6.739R. Sato
Filip Ugrinić7.323F. Ugrinić
Guido Rodríguez7.52G. Rodríguez
Javier Guerra6.78J. Guerra
Arnaut Danjuma6.67A. Danjuma
Ionuț Radu6.913I. Radu
Javi Rodríguez7.020J. Rodríguez
Yoel Lago7.029Y. Lago
Marcos AlonsoC7.23M. Alonso
Sergio Carreira7.05S. Carreira
Miguel Román7.28M. Román
Aleix Febas6.614A. Febas
Javi Galán6.722J. Galán
Jones El-Abdellaoui6.239J. El-Abdellaoui
Ferran Jutglà6.09F. Jutglà
Hugo Álvarez6.323H. Álvarez

Valencia Substitutes

13Cristian Rivero
36Iker Cordoba
41Marcos Navarro
4Mouctar Diakhaby46'for J. De Haas6.9
24Pablo Maffeo69'for J. Gaya6.3
38Jaume Durá
15Aliou Dieng69'for F. Ugrinic6.2
10André Almeida
9Hugo Duro83'for A. Danjuma6.5
27David Otorbi
19Dani Raba
6Umar Sadiq57'for R. Sato6.5

Celta Vigo Substitutes

1Altay Bayındır
2Carl Starfelt
4Abdoulaye Faye
15Alvaro Núñez
17Javier Rueda64'for J. El Abdellaoui67'6.2
30Hugo Burcio
6Ilaix Moriba77'for A. Febas6.7
16Hugo González
19Williot Swedberg57'for H. Alvarez6.6
10Iago Aspas64'for J. Galan6.7
11Pablo Durán64'for F. Jutgla6.7
7Borja Iglesias

Match Stats

ValenciaCelta Vigo
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots7
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
4Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
17Fouls17
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
486Total Passes616
427Passes Accurate551
88%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

ValenciaValencia
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1714Elo Rating 1771
1.13Attack 1.01
1.57Defense 2.24
14%Hit Rate 42%
13.1Shots per Game 11.9
3.7Shots on Target 2.9
4.5Corners per Game 2.8
3.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ValenciaValencia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ValenciaValencia4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Celta VigoCelta Vigo4Wins · 40%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga05/04/2026
ValenciaCelta Vigo
23
La Liga03/01/2026
Celta VigoValencia
41
La Liga02/02/2025
ValenciaCelta Vigo
21
La Liga23/08/2024
Celta VigoValencia
31
La Liga26/05/2024
Celta VigoValencia
22
Copa del Rey17/01/2024
ValenciaCelta Vigo
13
La Liga25/11/2023
ValenciaCelta Vigo
00
La Liga14/05/2023
Celta VigoValencia
12
La Liga17/09/2022
ValenciaCelta Vigo
30
La Liga21/05/2022
ValenciaCelta Vigo
20

Recent Form

ValenciaValencia
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
ValenciaNewcastle
12
L
01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
11
D
28/07/2026
DerbyValencia
12
W
25/07/2026
ValenciaCastellón
12
L
22/07/2026
ValenciaEldense
30
W
18/07/2026
Petro de LuandaValencia
31
L
23/05/2026
ValenciaBarcelona
31
W
17/05/2026
Real SociedadValencia
34
W
14/05/2026
ValenciaRayo Vallecano
11
D
10/05/2026
Athletic ClubValencia
01
W
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
5W4D1L
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
W
29/07/2026
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu
22
D
25/07/2026
Celta VigoSporting Gijon
10
W
18/07/2026
SC BragaCelta Vigo
22
D
23/05/2026
Celta VigoSevilla
10
W
17/05/2026
Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
11
D
12/05/2026
Celta VigoLevante
23
L
09/05/2026
Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
01
W
03/05/2026
Celta VigoElche
31
W

Referee Profile

Jesus Gil Manzano201 matches

4.65Cards per match
4.43Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jesus Gil Manzano4.65
Other referees4.70

4.65 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona11100146:12+3430WLWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1190228:10+1827WWWWL
4Real BetisReal Betis1172218:15+323WDLWD
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1161420:20019LWWWW
6SevillaSevilla1152417:19-217LWLDL
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1043314:10+415WLDDD
8Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1135315:14+114WLDLD
9VillarrealVillarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
11AlavesAlaves1133515:17-212LDLLD
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415:20-512LDDDW
13GetafeGetafe113358:16-812WLDLW
14EspanyolEspanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
15OsasunaOsasuna1132611:22-1111LLWLD
16Racing SantanderRacing Santander1132615:29-1411LWLDL
17ElcheElche1124514:18-410LWDDW
18LevanteLevante1124516:21-510LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia112368:17-99WLDDL
20MalagaMalaga110568:21-135LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1146:1230
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1122:828
3Real MadridReal Madrid1128:1027
4Real BetisReal Betis1118:1523
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1120:2019
6SevillaSevilla1117:1917
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1014:1015
8Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1115:1414
9VillarrealVillarreal1115:1512
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1110:1012
11AlavesAlaves1115:1712
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1015:2012
13GetafeGetafe118:1612
14EspanyolEspanyol1113:1411
15OsasunaOsasuna1111:2211
16Racing SantanderRacing Santander1115:2911
17ElcheElche1114:1810
18LevanteLevante1116:2110
19ValenciaValencia118:179
20MalagaMalaga118:215
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Valencia vs Celta Vigo forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valencia and Celta Vigo in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo are 10th and Valencia 19th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Valencia 8-17, Celta Vigo 10-10. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.