Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Valencia
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia· Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel40%RiskHighGap+13.2%
Valencia Rest
13 days
Celta Vigo Rest
13 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.53
X
30%3.11
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
60%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.90
No
40%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.18 = 2.93
Over 1.5
78%1.40
Over 2.5
57%2.25
Over 3.5
35%4.13
Under 1.5
22%2.88
Under 2.5
43%1.65
Under 3.5
65%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.9 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.68
Over 9.5
46%2.08
Over 10.5
34%2.70
Under 8.5
42%2.08
Under 9.5
54%1.68
Under 10.5
66%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.44
Over 4.5
35%1.86
Under 3.5
43%2.62
Under 4.5
65%1.91

Match Events

38'J. De HaasFoul
39'S. DimitrievskiFoul
46'J. De Haas INM. Diakhaby out
57'S. CarreiraFoul
57'H. Alvarez INW. Swedberg out
57'R. Sato INU. Sadiq out
64'F. Jutgla INP. Duran out
64'J. El Abdellaoui INJ. Rueda out
64'J. Galan INI. Aspas out
67'J. RuedaFoul
69'J. Gaya INP. Maffeo out
69'F. Ugrinic INA. Dieng out
77'A. Febas INI. Moriba out
80'I. RaduDelay of game
83'A. Danjuma INH. Duro out

Lineups

Valencia
5-4-1Coach: Carlos Corberan
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giraldez
Stole Dimitrievski1S. DimitrievskiStole Dimitrievski
Jesús Vázquez21J. VázquezJesús Vázquez
César Tárrega5C. TárregaCésar Tárrega
Pepelu18PepeluPepelu
Justin De Haas12J. De HaasJustin De Haas
José Luis Gayà14J. Luis GayàJosé Luis Gayà
Ryunosuke Sato39R. SatoRyunosuke Sato
Filip Ugrinić23F. UgrinićFilip Ugrinić
Guido Rodríguez2G. RodríguezGuido Rodríguez
Javier Guerra8J. GuerraJavier Guerra
Arnaut Danjuma7A. DanjumaArnaut Danjuma
Ionuț Radu13I. RaduIonuț Radu
Javi Rodríguez20J. RodríguezJavi Rodríguez
Yoel Lago29Y. LagoYoel Lago
Marcos Alonso3M. AlonsoMarcos Alonso
Sergio Carreira5S. CarreiraSergio Carreira
Miguel Román8M. RománMiguel Román
Aleix Febas14A. FebasAleix Febas
Javi Galán22J. GalánJavi Galán
Jones El-Abdellaoui39J. El-AbdellaouiJones El-Abdellaoui
Ferran Jutglà9F. JutglàFerran Jutglà
Hugo Álvarez23H. ÁlvarezHugo Álvarez

Valencia Substitutes

13Cristian RiveroG
36Iker CordobaD
41Marcos NavarroD
4Mouctar DiakhabyD
24Pablo MaffeoD
38Jaume DuráM
15Aliou DiengM
10André AlmeidaM
9Hugo DuroF
27David OtorbiF
19Dani RabaF
6Umar SadiqF

Celta Vigo Substitutes

1Altay BayındırG
2Carl StarfeltD
4Abdoulaye FayeD
15Alvaro NúñezD
17Javier RuedaD
30Hugo BurcioM
6Ilaix MoribaM
16Hugo GonzálezM
19Williot SwedbergM
10Iago AspasF
11Pablo DuránF
7Borja IglesiasF

Match Stats

ValenciaCelta Vigo
43%Ball Possession57%
1Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
7Total Shots7
1Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
4Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
16Fouls16
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
462Total Passes611
407Passes Accurate548
88%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

ValenciaValencia
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1729Elo Rating 1731
0.19Attack 0.64
0.83Defense 1.89
0%Hit Rate 0%
7.1Shots per Game 11.2
1.7Shots on Target 3.0
3.6Corners per Game 2.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ValenciaValencia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Valencia 19%Draw 14%66% Celta Vigo
4.3Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ValenciaValencia
2W1D2L
08/08/2026
ValenciaNewcastle
12
L
01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
11
D
28/07/2026
DerbyValencia
12
W
25/07/2026
ValenciaCastellón
12
L
22/07/2026
ValenciaEldense
30
W
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
2W3D0L
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
W
29/07/2026
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu
22
D
25/07/2026
Celta VigoSporting Gijon
10
W
18/07/2026
SC BragaCelta Vigo
22
D

Referee Profile

Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain · 39 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
25.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 88% of referees analysed

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona550021:4+1715WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
4AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid531110:6+410WLWDW
6SevillaSevilla53118:6+210WDLWW
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna52309:6+39DWWDD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander52129:907WLWLD
11OsasunaOsasuna52125:8-37LLWWD
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona521:415
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis57:612
4AlavesAlaves611:610
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid510:610
6SevillaSevilla58:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna59:69
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander59:97
11OsasunaOsasuna55:87
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Valencia and Celta Vigo have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.