Espanyol vs Real Madrid Prediction

Espanyol
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Real Madrid
RCDE Stadium, Cornella· José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel53%RiskMediumGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.00
SignalGOODModel53%RiskMediumGap+12.3%
Espanyol Rest
6 days
Real Madrid Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%7.15
X
27%4.70
2
53%1.44
Double Chance
1X
47%2.75
X2
80%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.80
No
39%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.76 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.65
Over 3.5
36%2.60
Under 1.5
17%4.45
Under 2.5
41%2.26
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.4 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.45
Over 9.5
41%1.74
Over 10.5
27%2.21
Under 8.5
42%2.56
Under 9.5
59%2.00
Under 10.5
73%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 1.8 = 4.5
Over 3.5
63%1.62
Over 4.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
37%2.20
Under 4.5
56%1.67

Match Events

9'J. BellinghamAssist: A. Guler
30'A. CalatravaAssist: J. Hernandez
32'Vinicius JuniorUnsportsmanlike conduct
32'A. CalatravaUnsportsmanlike conduct
59'C. RiedelTripping
64'A. Carreras INM. Cucurella out
64'A. Guler INY. Diomande out
66'C. Riedel INV. Drkusic out
66'A. Calatrava INR. Bauza out
75'U. Gonzalez INP. Lozano out
75'J. Hernandez INP. Milla out
80'D. Dumfries INT. Alexander-Arnold out
80'B. Silva INE. Camavinga out
80'J. Bellingham INC. Espi out
84'ExpositoTripping
88'Exposito INJofre out
90'C. Espi
90+1'P. MillaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'P. Lozano

Lineups

Espanyol
4-4-2Coach: Manolo Gonzalez
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1Coach: Jose Mourinho
Marko Dmitrović13M. DmitrovićMarko Dmitrović
Omar El Hilali23O. El HilaliOmar El Hilali
Clemens Riedel5C. RiedelClemens Riedel
Unai Núñez14U. NúñezUnai Núñez
Roger Hinojo21R. HinojoRoger Hinojo
Álex Calatrava22Á. CalatravaÁlex Calatrava
Urko González4U. GonzálezUrko González
Edu Expósito8E. ExpósitoEdu Expósito
Tyrhys Dolan24T. DolanTyrhys Dolan
Roberto Fernández9R. FernándezRoberto Fernández
Javier Hernández28J. HernándezJavier Hernández
Thibaut Courtois1T. CourtoisThibaut Courtois
Denzel Dumfries24D. DumfriesDenzel Dumfries
Ibrahima Konaté16I. KonatéIbrahima Konaté
Dean Huijsen4D. HuijsenDean Huijsen
Álvaro Carreras18Á. CarrerasÁlvaro Carreras
Bernardo Silva20B. SilvaBernardo Silva
Federico Valverde8F. ValverdeFederico Valverde
Arda Güler15A. GülerArda Güler
Jude Bellingham5J. BellinghamJude Bellingham
Vinícius Júnior7V. JúniorVinícius Júnior
Kylian Mbappé10K. MbappéKylian Mbappé

Espanyol Substitutes

31Llorenç SerredG
1Angel FortunoG
27Adama TimeraF
32José Ángel LópezD
3Quilindschy HartmanD
16Vanja DrkušićD
26Rafael BauzàM
20Gabriel MoscardoM
17Jofre CarrerasF
10Pol LozanoM
11Pere MillaM
18Marcos FernándezF

Real Madrid Substitutes

26Sergio MestreG
13Andriy LuninG
17Marc CucurellaD
33Mario RivasD
12Trent Alexander-ArnoldD
22Antonio RüdigerD
21Brahim DíazM
36Alexis CiriaM
29Jorge CesteroM
6Eduardo CamavingaM
25Yan DiomandeF
19Carlos EspíF

Match Stats

EspanyolReal Madrid
35%Ball Possession65%
1Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal1
2Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots0
7Fouls1
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
129Total Passes242
112Passes Accurate229
87%Pass Accuracy95%

Team Comparison

EspanyolEspanyol
Real MadridReal Madrid
1741Elo Rating 1980
1.55Attack 2.76
2.05Defense 2.17
41%Hit Rate 81%
9.6Shots per Game 19.7
3.3Shots on Target 9.1
2.0Corners per Game 7.7
2.6Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend31% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EspanyolEspanyol
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
Real MadridReal Madrid
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Espanyol 19%Draw 0%81% Real Madrid
2.58Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

EspanyolEspanyol
1W3D1L
16/08/2026
EspanyolLevante
30
W
08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
31
L
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
29/07/2026
BurnleyEspanyol
22
D
25/07/2026
EspanyolSabadell
11
D
Real MadridReal Madrid
4W1D0L
16/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Real Madrid
03
W
12/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaReal Madrid
01
W
08/08/2026
Ferencvarosi TCReal Madrid
12
W
01/08/2026
Real MadridFiorentina
22
D
28/07/2026
Real MadridLeganes
41
W

Referee Profile

José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain · 18 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
25.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 61% of referees analysed

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona660028:6+2218WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid641114:6+813WWLWD
4SevillaSevilla64119:6+313WWDLW
5Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
6AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna62319:7+29LDWWD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander621311:16-57WLWLD
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
13OsasunaOsasuna62135:12-77LLLWW
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona628:618
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid614:613
4SevillaSevilla69:613
5Real BetisReal Betis57:612
6AlavesAlaves611:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna69:79
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander611:167
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
13OsasunaOsasuna65:127
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Espanyol vs Real Madrid Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About La Liga

ScorePredicts covers Spain football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Madrid have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Espanyol and Real Madrid have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.58 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.