Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Rennes
2-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Paris Saint Germain
Roazhon Park, Rennes· Bastien Dechepy, France 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel52%RiskMediumGap-2.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.87
SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+14.4%
Rennes Rest
8 days
Paris Saint Germain Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%5.50
X
28%4.71
2
53%1.51
Double Chance
1X
47%2.50
X2
81%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.58
No
39%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.71 = 2.95
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.47
Over 3.5
36%2.22
Under 1.5
19%5.50
Under 2.5
40%2.65
Under 3.5
64%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 4.9 = 8.8
Over 8.5
58%1.42
Over 9.5
46%1.72
Over 10.5
34%2.11
Under 8.5
42%2.65
Under 9.5
54%2.04
Under 10.5
66%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
59%2.50
Over 4.5
40%3.45
Under 3.5
41%1.49
Under 4.5
60%1.28

Match Events

9'S. SzymanskiAssist: A. Thomasson
38'E. LepaulAssist: P. Frankowski
42'Adrien ThomassonFoul
46'O. Dembele INF. Torres out
46'K. Kvaratskhelia INM. Godts out
60'J. Neves INF. Ruiz out
60'W. Zaire-Emery INM. Akliouche out
63'Mousa TamariFoul
69'Vitinha INL. Beraldo out
71'F. TorresAssist: F. Ruiz
72'M. Tamari INL. Blas out
76'MarquinhosArgument
78'M. Nagida INQ. Merlin out
78'S. Szymanski INH. Do Marcolino out
82'F. TorresAssist: F. Ruiz
84'Achraf HakimiTime wasting
88'P. Frankowski INB. Reynolds out
88'I. Soumare INA. Nordin out

Lineups

Rennes
4-1-4-1Coach: Franck Haise
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3Coach: Enrique Luis
B. Samba30B. SambaB. Samba
P. Frankowski95P. FrankowskiP. Frankowski
C. Cresswell4C. CresswellC. Cresswell
A. Ait Boudlal48A. Ait BoudlalA. Ait Boudlal
M. Nagida18M. NagidaM. Nagida
V. Rongier21V. RongierV. Rongier
M. Tamari11M. TamariM. Tamari
S. Szymanski17S. SzymanskiS. Szymanski
A. Thomasson28A. ThomassonA. Thomasson
I. Soumare90I. SoumareI. Soumare
E. Lepaul9E. LepaulE. Lepaul
M. Safonov39M. SafonovM. Safonov
A. Hakimi2A. HakimiA. Hakimi
Marquinhos5MarquinhosMarquinhos
W. Pacho51W. PachoW. Pacho
L. Hernandez21L. HernandezL. Hernandez
W. Zaire-Emery33W. Zaire-EmeryW. Zaire-Emery
Vitinha17VitinhaVitinha
J. Neves87J. NevesJ. Neves
D. Doue14D. DoueD. Doue
O. Dembele10O. DembeleO. Dembele
K. Kvaratskhelia7K. KvaratskheliaK. Kvaratskhelia

Rennes Substitutes

60K. BelazzougG
14B. ReynoldsD
26Q. MerlinD
24A. RouaultD
10L. BlasF
70A. NordinF
35E. LegendreF
12E. MayendaF
65H. Do MarcolinoF

Paris Saint Germain Substitutes

30L. ChevalierG
12L. DigneD
6I. ZabarnyiD
4L. BeraldoD
8F. RuizM
27D. FernandezM
9F. TorresF
11M. AklioucheM
22M. GodtsF

Match Stats

RennesParis Saint Germain
31%Ball Possession69%
0Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
3Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots9
7Fouls6
0Offsides7
3Goalkeeper Saves0
322Total Passes735
250Passes Accurate665
78%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

RennesRennes
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
1845Elo Rating 1960
1.78Attack 2.45
1.63Defense 1.77
69%Hit Rate 50%
18.7Shots per Game 22.2
5.9Shots on Target 8.4
5.2Corners per Game 5.5
1.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RennesRennes
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Rennes 27%Draw 0%73% Paris Saint Germain
4Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
86%Over 2.5

Recent Form

RennesRennes
1W1D3L
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford U21
12
L
02/08/2026
GalatasarayRennes
33
D
25/07/2026
RennesClub Brugge KV
21
W
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2W1D2L
16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
10
L
12/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainAston Villa
21
W
08/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainManchester United
11
D
05/08/2026
MallorcaParis Saint Germain
30
L
30/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainArsenal
4131
W

Referee Profile

Bastien Dechepy, France · 18 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
24.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 75% of referees analysed

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LilleLille43107:2+510WWDW
2MonacoMonaco43106:2+410DWWW
3RennesRennes43108:5+310WWWD
4LyonLyon42206:2+48DWDW
5Paris FCParis FC42206:2+48DWWD
6StrasbourgStrasbourg42119:8+17DWWL
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2941216:605LWDD
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain41216:605WLDD
9LorientLorient41214:405DWLD
10LensLens41128:7+14DLLW
11AngersAngers41124:5-14DLWL
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes41124:9-54LLWD
13MarseilleMarseille41036:603LLLW
14Le MansLe Mans40317:8-13DDLD
15AuxerreAuxerre41035:11-63WLLL
16Le HavreLe Havre40222:4-22DLDL
17ToulouseToulouse40224:7-32DLDL
18NiceNice40221:5-42LDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1LilleLille47:210
2MonacoMonaco46:210
3RennesRennes48:510
4LyonLyon46:28
5Paris FCParis FC46:28
6StrasbourgStrasbourg49:87
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2946:65
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain46:65
9LorientLorient44:45
10LensLens48:74
11AngersAngers44:54
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes44:94
13MarseilleMarseille46:63
14Le MansLe Mans47:83
15AuxerreAuxerre45:113
16Le HavreLe Havre42:42
17ToulouseToulouse44:72
18NiceNice41:52
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Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ligue 1 fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ligue 1

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Key Factors for This Match

Rennes have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Paris Saint Germain have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rennes and Paris Saint Germain have met 5 times recently, averaging 4 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.