Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island Prediction

Heart Health Park 09/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalNEUTRALModel40%RiskHighGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.69
SignalGOODModel29%RiskHighGap+7.2%
Sacramento Republic Rest
17 days
Rhode Island Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.13
X
30%3.14
2
36%3.22
Double Chance
1X
64%1.28
X2
66%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.82
No
56%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.35
Over 2.5
38%2.06
Over 3.5
18%3.70
Under 1.5
36%3.00
Under 2.5
62%1.69
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'K. EdwardsAssist: M. Kaye
24'H. Bacharach CapdevilaAssist: A. Shapiro-Thompson
26'R. SpauldingFoul
44'M. MalangoAssist: M. Kaye
51'A. SanchezUnsportsmanlike conduct
58'A. Sanchez INJ. Kwizera out
58'N. Scardina INA. Rodriguez out
66'K. Edwards INF. Ajago out
74'J. Casas IND. Crisostomo out
74'N. Fuson IND. Atkinson out
74'M. Malango INT. Wolff out
81'A. Rodriguez INB. Willey out
82'A. Shapiro-Thompson INK. Vang out
82'Leo Afonso IND. Rovira out

Team Comparison

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Rhode IslandRhode Island
1544Elo Rating 1547
1.17Attack 1.53
2.24Defense 2.13
41%Hit Rate 44%

Game State Tendencies

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Sacramento Republic 54%Draw 46%0% Rhode Island
2.92Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
2W0D3L
Rhode IslandRhode Island
3W1D1L
05/07/2026
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
11
D
14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
W
07/06/2026
Rhode IslandWestchester SC
30
W
31/05/2026
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
L
24/05/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
41
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026

USL Championship — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies25156445:23+2251WLWDL
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery25134850:31+1943WDLWW
3Detroit CityDetroit City24117629:19+1040WLDDW
4Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds261151028:26+238LWDDL
5Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic25911527:24+338DWWDW
6Louisville CityLouisville City25106941:40+136WLDDL
7Indy ElevenIndy Eleven2396832:28+433WDDLW
8Rhode IslandRhode Island2395935:26+932LWDLW
9Miami FCMiami FC25691030:43-1327WDDLL
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion243111032:42-1020LDDDL
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United243111027:42-1520LLLLD
12BrooklynBrooklyn24461425:45-2018DLDLW
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX25351730:65-3514LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies2545:2351
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery2550:3143
3Detroit CityDetroit City2429:1940
4Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds2628:2638
5Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic2527:2438
6Louisville CityLouisville City2541:4036
7Indy ElevenIndy Eleven2332:2833
8Rhode IslandRhode Island2335:2632
9Miami FCMiami FC2530:4327
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion2432:4220
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United2427:4220
12BrooklynBrooklyn2425:4518
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX2530:6514

USL Championship — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive25144744:31+1346WWWWW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United24127537:27+1043DDDWL
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs25115940:37+338DWWWL
4LexingtonLexington251141043:30+1337WWLLL
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa24107729:23+637DLDWW
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2399530:20+1036WDDDW
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2599734:40-636LLDDL
8San AntonioSan Antonio2499629:28+136LDWLL
9Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights25961032:35-333DWLLL
10Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2589835:35033LWDWD
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2469929:35-627LDWDL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay25461525:43-1818LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2544:3146
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2437:2743
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2540:3738
4LexingtonLexington2543:3037
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa2429:2337
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2330:2036
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2534:4036
8San AntonioSan Antonio2429:2836
9Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2532:3533
10Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2535:3533
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2429:3527
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2525:4318

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Sacramento Republic and Rhode Island have met 2 times recently, averaging 2.92 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.