Ried vs Austria Vienna Prediction

Ried
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Austria Vienna
Josko Arena, Reed·Manuel Baumann 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.55
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Ried Rest
7 days
Austria Vienna Rest
7 days

Ried vs Austria Vienna: result, form and history

Ried beat Austria Vienna 3-2 in the Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Austria Vienna have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Austria Vienna tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.6 for Ried.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.38
X
27%3.60
2
34%2.69
Double Chance
1X
65%1.44
X2
61%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.55
No
35%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.52 = 3.16
Over 1.5
81%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.63
Over 3.5
38%2.63
Under 1.5
19%4.20
Under 2.5
40%2.15
Under 3.5
62%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 5.1 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.50
Over 9.5
58%1.83
Over 10.5
47%2.33
Under 8.5
30%2.40
Under 9.5
42%1.85
Under 10.5
53%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

18'Johannes EggesteinAssist: Manfred Fischer
23'Stefan SchwabAssist: Martin Rasner
25'J. RhodesFoul
28'Philipp PomerAssist: Moegamat Yusuf Maart
45'Sanel Saljic INJulian Hettwer out
55'Ante BajicFoul
66'Evan Eghosa Aisowieren INIsaac Thelin out
66'Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer INDejan Radonjic out
66'J. Rhodes INOliver Sorg out
68'Stefan SchwabFoul
71'Lee Tae-seok INMatteo Schablas out
73'Martin Rasner INLukas Malicsek out
75'Vasilije Markovic INKelvin Owusu Boateng out
79'Moegamat Yusuf MaartFoul
82'Isaac Thelin(Penalty)
83'Ante Bajic INJoris Boguo out
90'Manfred Fischer INFlorian Wustinger out
90+2'Johannes Eggestein

Lineups

Ried
4-3-3Coach: M. Despotović
Austria Vienna
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Helm
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.38
A. Leitner6.61A. Leitner
F. Rossdorfer6.618F. Rossdorfer
S. Chukwudi6.128S. Chukwudi
O. Steurer6.330O. Steurer
P. Pomer6.517P. Pomer
M. Rasner7.08M. Rasner
Y. Maart6.36Y. Maart
S. Schwab6.922S. Schwab
A. Bajić6.412A. Bajić
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren6.247E. Eghosa Aisowieren
J. Rhodes5.911J. Rhodes
S. Şahin-Radlinger6.61S. Şahin-Radlinger
R. Ranftl6.326R. Ranftl
J. Handl6.546J. Handl
I. Buhari6.53I. Buhari
Lee Tae-Seok6.117L. Tae-Seok
V. Müller5.95V. Müller
V. Markovic5.07V. Markovic
Daniel Nnodim6.040D. Nnodim
M. Fischer7.130M. Fischer
S. Saljic5.810S. Saljic
J. Eggestein9.219J. Eggestein

Ried Substitutes

29L. Capan
13H. Hankič
92I. Kiese Thelin66'for Evan Eghosa Aisowieren82'7.7
4L. Malicsek73'for Martin Rasner6.1
10J. Nasrawe
5D. Radonjic66'for Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer5.7
9N. Sissoko
7O. Sorg66'for J. Rhodes6.0
15J. Boguo83'for Ante Bajic6.7

Austria Vienna Substitutes

22F. Wustinger90'for Manfred Fischer
44V. Toifl
21Matteo Schablas71'for Lee Tae-seok6.2
6Philipp Maybach
16Lee Kang-Hee
99M. Kos
20J. Hettwer45'for Sanel Saljic5.9
42D. Ewemade
14K. Boateng75'for Vasilije Markovic6.1

Match Stats

RiedAustria Vienna
40%Ball Possession60%
4Corner Kicks10
4Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots4
7Fouls11
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
321Total Passes464
243Passes Accurate378
10Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

RiedRied
Austria ViennaAustria Vienna
1625Elo Rating 1559
2.92Attack 1.34
1.73Defense 0.91
83%Hit Rate 14%
12.7Shots per Game 13.0
6.1Shots on Target 3.1
3.6Corners per Game 5.9
2.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RiedRied
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Austria ViennaAustria Vienna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RiedRied2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Austria ViennaAustria Vienna7Wins · 70%
3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga08/03/2026
RiedAustria Vienna
02
Bundesliga20/09/2025
Austria ViennaRied
32
Bundesliga04/03/2023
RiedAustria Vienna
13
Bundesliga18/09/2022
Austria ViennaRied
30
Bundesliga23/10/2021
Austria ViennaRied
41
Bundesliga25/07/2021
RiedAustria Vienna
21
Bundesliga21/05/2021
RiedAustria Vienna
32
Bundesliga20/04/2021
Austria ViennaRied
22
Bundesliga23/01/2021
RiedAustria Vienna
01
Bundesliga20/09/2020
Austria ViennaRied
21

Recent Form

RiedRied
4W3D3L
10/10/2026
WSG WattensRied
12
W
02/10/2026
RiedSKU Amstetten
33
D
20/09/2026
RiedWolfsberger AC
41
W
11/09/2026
RiedRed Bull Salzburg
11
D
04/09/2026
Wallern / MarienkirchenRied
15
W
30/08/2026
TSV HartbergRied
32
L
21/08/2026
RiedGrazer AK
10
W
14/08/2026
Lask LinzRied
41
L
09/08/2026
RiedRapid Vienna
12
L
02/08/2026
Austria LustenauRied
11
D

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1090131:9+2227WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg963021:4+1721WDWDW
3Lask LinzLask Linz961223:9+1419WLDLW
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1053218:12+618DWWLW
5RiedRied1043318:17+115DWWWD
6TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1042416:19-314WLWDD
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1033413:15-212DWLLD
8Grazer AKGrazer AK102448:23-1510DLDDW
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1030710:16-69WLWLL
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1022612:24-128LLLWL
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1021710:20-107LLLDW
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC101277:19-125LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1031:927
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg921:421
3Lask LinzLask Linz923:919
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1018:1218
5RiedRied1018:1715
6TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1016:1914
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1013:1512
8Grazer AKGrazer AK108:2310
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1010:169
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1012:248
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1010:207
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC107:195
PromotionRelegation

About the Ried vs Austria Vienna forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ried and Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Ried are 5th and Austria Vienna 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Ried 18-17, Austria Vienna 10-20. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ried have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.