Ried vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction

Ried
4-1
Finished
HT 3-0
Wolfsberger AC
Josko Arena, Reed·Alexander Harkam 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.2%
Ried Rest
8 days
Wolfsberger AC Rest
7 days

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC: result, form and history

Ried beat Wolfsberger AC 4-1 in the Bundesliga on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches. Wolfsberger AC tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 2.8 for Ried.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.98
X
26%3.50
2
27%3.60
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
53%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.33 = 2.83
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.67
Over 3.5
36%2.60
Under 1.5
20%4.20
Under 2.5
42%2.15
Under 3.5
64%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.39
Over 9.5
54%1.73
Over 10.5
40%2.15
Under 8.5
37%2.58
Under 9.5
46%2.01
Under 10.5
60%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

3'Ante Bajic
9'Evan Eghosa AisowierenAssist: Philipp Pomer
38'Lukas GutlbauerFoul
40'Stefan Schwab(Penalty)
42'Stefan SchwabFoul
45'Dominik FitzFoul
45'Raffael Behounek INDonis Avdijaj out
45'Markus Pink INLuca Hassler out
45'Otar Mamageishvili INEmanuel Agyeman out
55'J. Rhodes INJoris Boguo out
56'Matteo KitzFoul
58'Simon PiesingerFoul
69'Evan Eghosa Aisowieren INIsaac Thelin out
69'Stefan Schwab INTobias·Lund Jensen out
71'Dominik Fitz INSankara William Karamoko out
75'Oliver SteurerTime wasting
81'Isaac ThelinAssist: Ante Bajic
83'Ante Bajic INLukas Malicsek out
83'Martin Rasner INNiama Sissoko out
85'Isaac ThelinNot retreating
87'Marco Alessandro Sulzner INThorsten Schriebl out
87'Matteo KitzAssist: Donis Avdijaj

Lineups

Ried
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Despotović
Wolfsberger AC
3-5-2Coach: T. Silberberger
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.37
A. Leitner6.81A. Leitner
D. Radonjic6.75D. Radonjic
S. Chukwudi7.328S. Chukwudi
O. Steurer6.330O. Steurer
M. Rasner6.38M. Rasner
Y. Maart7.16Y. Maart
S. Schwab7.022S. Schwab
P. Pomer7.717P. Pomer
A. Bajić9.012A. Bajić
J. Rhodes6.411J. Rhodes
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren8.247E. Eghosa Aisowieren
L. Gütlbauer6.91L. Gütlbauer
R. Behounek6.26R. Behounek
S. Piesinger6.08S. Piesinger
Matteo Kitz7.035M. Kitz
F. Wohlmuth7.231F. Wohlmuth
O. Mamageishvili5.719O. Mamageishvili
M. Sulzner6.430M. Sulzner
D. Fitz6.736D. Fitz
R. Renner6.277R. Renner
P. Verhounig6.323P. Verhounig
M. Pink6.632M. Pink

Ried Substitutes

33A. Goiginger
92I. Kiese Thelin69'for Evan Eghosa Aisowieren81'85'7.6
21T. Kusanovic
19T. Lund Jensen69'for Stefan Schwab6.4
4L. Malicsek83'for Ante Bajic6.5
9N. Sissoko83'for Martin Rasner6.7
7O. Sorg
77F. Wimmer
15J. Boguo55'for J. Rhodes6.5

Wolfsberger AC Substitutes

11A. Schwarz
20T. Schriebl87'for Marco Alessandro Sulzner5.8
17Marco Schabauer
49S. Karamoko71'for Dominik Fitz6.1
7L. Hassler45'for Markus Pink6.0
12L. Gliklich
10D. Avdijaj45'for Raffael Behounek6.5
34E. Agyemang45'for Otar Mamageishvili6.4
70David Đurić

Match Stats

RiedWolfsberger AC
47%Ball Possession53%
0Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots26
11Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal15
17Shots Inside Box17
3Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots6
9Fouls13
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves7
394Total Passes420
317Passes Accurate348
13Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

RiedRied
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
1637Elo Rating 1455
2.75Attack 0.14
1.04Defense 1.05
50%Hit Rate 0%
12.6Shots per Game 14.1
6.1Shots on Target 3.2
2.8Corners per Game 5.6
2.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+182 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RiedRied
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RiedRied4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga19/05/2026
RiedWolfsberger AC
21
Bundesliga09/05/2026
RiedWolfsberger AC
01
Bundesliga11/04/2026
Wolfsberger ACRied
00
Bundesliga29/11/2025
RiedWolfsberger AC
10
Bundesliga18/10/2025
Wolfsberger ACRied
12
Cup26/09/2023
RiedWolfsberger AC
12
Bundesliga02/06/2023
RiedWolfsberger AC
12
Bundesliga01/04/2023
Wolfsberger ACRied
10
Bundesliga19/03/2023
RiedWolfsberger AC
00
Bundesliga09/10/2022
Wolfsberger ACRied
12

Recent Form

RiedRied
4W2D4L
11/09/2026
RiedRed Bull Salzburg
11
D
04/09/2026
Wallern / MarienkirchenRied
15
W
30/08/2026
TSV HartbergRied
32
L
21/08/2026
RiedGrazer AK
10
W
14/08/2026
Lask LinzRied
41
L
09/08/2026
RiedRapid Vienna
12
L
02/08/2026
Austria LustenauRied
11
D
24/07/2026
DornbirnRied
15
W
18/07/2026
Mlada BoleslavRied
40
L
17/07/2026
RiedRot-Weiß Essen
30
W
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
5W2D3L
12/09/2026
Wolfsberger ACRapid Vienna
03
L
06/09/2026
ParndorfWolfsberger AC
4151
W
01/09/2026
Wolfsberger ACLask Linz
13
L
29/08/2026
Grazer AKWolfsberger AC
00
D
15/08/2026
Austria LustenauWolfsberger AC
21
L
09/08/2026
Wolfsberger ACRed Bull Salzburg
11
D
02/08/2026
Wolfsberger ACAustria Vienna
30
W
24/07/2026
LauterachWolfsberger AC
15
W
20/07/2026
VeldenWolfsberger AC
04
W
17/07/2026
Wolfsberger ACSV Kapfenberg
61
W

Referee Profile

Alexander Harkam149 matches

4.08Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alexander Harkam4.08
Other referees4.50

4.08 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.50).

Cards come from 108 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna11100133:9+2430WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1183029:6+2327WWWDW
3Lask LinzLask Linz1171326:13+1322WLWLD
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1154219:13+619DDWWL
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1152420:19+117WWLWD
6RiedRied1144319:18+116DDWWW
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1133514:17-312LDWLL
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1131711:17-610DWLWL
9Grazer AKGrazer AK112458:27-1910LDLDD
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1122713:29-168LLLLW
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1121810:22-127LLLLD
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC111378:20-126DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1133:930
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1129:627
3Lask LinzLask Linz1126:1322
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1119:1319
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1120:1917
6RiedRied1119:1816
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1114:1712
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1111:1710
9Grazer AKGrazer AK118:2710
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1113:298
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1110:227
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC118:206
PromotionRelegation

About the Ried vs Wolfsberger AC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ried and Wolfsberger AC in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Ried are 6th and Wolfsberger AC 12th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Ried 19-18, Wolfsberger AC 8-20. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ried have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.